Barack Obama

grantcart

(53,061 posts) Sat Mar 10, 2012, 12:19 PM Mar 2012

PPP: Dramatic new Maine #s from PPP Obama up 23 points; Obama 58- Romney 35

This is pretty big news. PPP did an extensive poll in Maine. Their tabulation results are here

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_0308.pdf

The headline for the article;

Obama Crushing Republican Field in Maine

It concludes that the results would be relevent for the rest of the NE as well with NH also improving for the President. If these numbers hold across the NE it would have huge implications including freeing up resources for swing and red states and for lifting Democrats running for the House.

Again these numbers are now and the President really hasn't started campaigning in ernest.

PPP has just completed a very comprehensive polling in Maine.

Obama did well in Maine 4 years ago but now he has increased it by even 6 more points. PPP also anticipates that NH is "much improved in New Hampshire and these numbers seem like they may reinforce the argument that he's getting stronger in the region."

And this is Romney's back yard.

Thank you Rush Limbaugh, Darrell Issa and the rest of the clowns. The dimensions of this type of movement is significant because it means that the President's campaign will be able to allocate more and more resources to swing and red states. It means that House Republicans in the NE will face a Tsunami if these numbers were maintained.

All of this comes after the Republicans have had 6 months bashing the President and the President has been waiting and saving his money.

Now if Romney can't do well in a place like Maine (or New Hampshire) then where in the hell is he going to out perform McCain?

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/03/obama-standing-much-improved-in-maine.html#more

Maine pretty well represents the significant upgrade Barack Obama's seen in his reelection prospects over the last four months. When PPP polled there in late October he led Mitt Romney by only 11 points, 49-38. That represented a 6 point tightening from Obama's margin of victory over John McCain there in 2008. Since then Obama's Maine lead has more than doubled to 23 points at 58-35 against Romney, representing a 6 point improvement on his 2008 numbers.

It's not hard to explain Obama's improved numbers: he's getting more popular, and Romney's getting less popular. In October Obama was slightly under water in the state at 47/48. Now he's quite popular with 55% of voters approving of him to 41% who disapprove.

There are two big reasons for his improvement, and these are things we're seeing most places right now:

-The Democratic base is unifying around him. In October he was at 75/17 with his party's voters, now it's 86/10. The more Democratic voters see the Republican candidate field, the more they forgive Obama for not being completely perfect and get behind him.

-Obama's flipped independents from giving him negative reviews (46/49) to positive ones (54/38).

Meanwhile Romney's headed in the opposite direction. His numbers were already poor in October at a 38/49 favorability spread. But they're much worse now with only 30% of voters seeing him favorably to 63% with a negative opinion.