Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumWhy the GOP Should Worry About Hillary Clinton's Poll Numbers _HRC GROUP POST
http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/why-gop-should-worry-about-hillary-clintons-poll-numbers-n389946With the 2016 general election a little less than 16 months away, key polling data for Hillary Clinton shows that her numbers look a lot like President Barack Obama's in 2012 and could be bad news for Republicans.
The American Communities Project took the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal polling data and ran it through its filter.
The numbers show Republicans may have a hard road ahead. Across the types for which we had sufficient numbers for a sample dense Big Cities, wealthy, diverse Urban Suburbs, and sprawling Exurbs figures for Clinton look eerily similar to those Obama scored in his re-election effort.
We also collected numbers from a group of less-populated rural communities groups counties ACP calls Rural Middle America, Graying America and the Aging Farmlands. These numbers show the familiar splits that favor Republicans.
Chart is at the link!
Gothmog
(145,335 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)One data set I find interesting is the HRC vs Bush - rural (relative to 2012): That has Bush picking up ground.
NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)are a smaller percentage of the electorate than in 2012, maybe by 1 or 2 points less. Just like the angry white men without college degrees are a smaller percentage than in 2008 and 2012. Plus, if Trump even sticks around for a while, he's going to piss even more people off, and the 70% of Hispanics and 75% of Asians that went for Obama may go even higher. (I'm hoping for Castro from TX as a potential VP candidate as well...)
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)Cryptoad
(8,254 posts)it is a group post.... I have many times open a post off the home page unaware of the fact that it is group post,,and replied in a manner I shouldn't have in a group forum.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)Wish to lend my appreciation for letting everyone know it's HRC room as well
Though, I try and shy away from getting into what I perceive as needless arguments with fellow DUers who are supporting other candidates
I posted in the HRC room about a month ago and would like to add to yours, she has one other thing working in her favor
She is known to almost everyone.
Her 20+ years in the public spotlight means almost everyone has an opinion on her
I believe (though cannot prove with polling numbers) that about 75-77% of people have made up their mind about her.
I think 40% will vote for her unless it's discovered she's a freeway sniper or something akin and about 33% will never vote for her no matter what
It's the 27% that are undecided that work in her favor
They will spend more time looking at the Republicans to try and learn more about them
That's not a pretty picture and I think about 3/5 will break her ways, 30% break against and 10% go looking elsewhere
Barring something unexpected, I don't see how it breaks in favor of the Republicans under any plausible scenario
Cosmocat
(14,566 posts)IF nothing major happens, she runs a safe, but humble campaign, it likely breaks her way.
A domestic terror event, a major international event or economic downturn could change things.
Rs r going to turn out, frenzied over having to deal w bho in the white house for 8 year s and not wanting it to be in d hands, regardless if it is hill, bernie or someone else.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)bother to vote, or there's some major trickery surrounding the voting machines, I think she's a lock for both the nomination and the GE.