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Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
Mon May 23, 2016, 05:06 AM May 2016

One Chart Shows Why All The Trump Leading Clinton Polls Are Completely Worthless

http://www.politicususa.com/2016/05/22/chart-shows-trump-leading-clinton-polls-completely-worthless.html


What the media isn't saying about their national polls showing Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton is that they are worthless. A look at the past two election presidential cycles shows that the polls aren't measuring what the media thinks they are measuring.

What the media isn’t saying about their national polls showing Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton is that they are worthless. A look at the past two election presidential cycles shows that the polls aren’t measuring what the media thinks they are measuring.

On a nearly daily basis, national polls are being released showing the presidential race as a tie or with Trump having a small lead over Hillary Clinton. The media are passing off these polls as the current state of the presidential race, but, in reality, what they are measuring is a small bump for Donald Trump that is coming from Republicans rallying around their nominee.

Here is a chart of a Gallup poll from 2008 showing John McCain leading Barack Obama, after he had clinched the Republican nomination while Obama and Clinton were in the final stages of the Democratic primary.

What is going to happen next is that Hillary Clinton will get a bounce of her own once she clinches the Democratic nomination. Clinton will likely get a second bounce when Bernie Sanders ends his campaign and endorses her.

A problem with media organizations doing and reporting on their own polling is that it creates a conflict between making news and reporting the news. Networks do polls because they provide news content that they can shape into a dramatic storyline.


The current national polls mean nothing. Once Clinton is the official Democratic nominee, the state of the race will begin to take shape. However, the polling that really matters won’t be happening until the fall in the battleground states that will determine who the next president will be.

For now, do yourself a favor and ignore the head to head matchup national polls.

The media is the problem.....
11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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One Chart Shows Why All The Trump Leading Clinton Polls Are Completely Worthless (Original Post) Iamaartist May 2016 OP
The Media needs a close race GreydeeThos May 2016 #1
I Agree all about ratings.... Iamaartist May 2016 #2
But doesnt Hillary own the media? See how that is working for Hillary. Thinkingabout May 2016 #3
Thats true also .... Iamaartist May 2016 #4
Silly folks post that and believe it. Rude awaking in store for many of them riversedge May 2016 #7
The media will do everything in their power to make the race look close liberal N proud May 2016 #5
I agree you have to be smart enough in your own judgement.....also Iamaartist May 2016 #6
Plus wryter2000 May 2016 #8
Yes! shenmue May 2016 #9
I agree. LiberalFighter May 2016 #11
The point of these media polls is to motivate the campaigns to spend money on ads Yavin4 May 2016 #10

GreydeeThos

(958 posts)
1. The Media needs a close race
Mon May 23, 2016, 05:41 AM
May 2016

With a close race, people watch the news; with a blow out, people watch movies.

People watching the news equals advertisers paying top dollar for advertising slots.

The Media knows which side of their bread the butter goes on. Public polls are a technique to draw in the audience and the closer it is, the more audience they have. The best thing to do is find your own information through research and ignore the talking heads.

According to the news media, this race will be close with many lead changes right up to the point Trump collapses like a cheap tent in strong thunderstorm.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
3. But doesnt Hillary own the media? See how that is working for Hillary.
Mon May 23, 2016, 06:15 AM
May 2016

There is sway still left to convince some to vote for Sanders, he polls well when compared to Trump, why, the GOP wants Sanders in the GE.

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
4. Thats true also ....
Mon May 23, 2016, 06:25 AM
May 2016

But the media plays on our thinking to sway voters another way .....thinking that she is losing ...

liberal N proud

(60,336 posts)
5. The media will do everything in their power to make the race look close
Mon May 23, 2016, 06:43 AM
May 2016

But I fear that too many only rely on the media for their source of information and believe them.

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
6. I agree you have to be smart enough in your own judgement.....also
Mon May 23, 2016, 06:51 AM
May 2016

Most people follow monkey see monkey do...and believe everything they hear....I don't for me anyway.....

wryter2000

(46,051 posts)
8. Plus
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:05 AM
May 2016

I believe our convention is after theirs. When we get our convention bump, Hillary will leave Trump in her dust.

LiberalFighter

(50,950 posts)
11. I agree.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:50 AM
May 2016

Usually, people tend to remember best what they heard last.

After the convention, the voters should see a clear difference between the two candidates.

What also needs to happen is neuter any Sanders' supporters with bad feelings that doesn't look unfair and overshadow Clinton.

Yavin4

(35,442 posts)
10. The point of these media polls is to motivate the campaigns to spend money on ads
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:14 AM
May 2016

which goes to??? The media!!! See how that works.

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