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hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 12:26 AM Jan 2016

About that CNN poll. Hillary Room

HILLARY ROOM.


The main reason it should not be believed is that it oversamples men. Women always are the larger demo in Democratic Party primaries. In 2008 the exit polls 57 percent of Iowa Democratic Caucus voters were women yet this poll says 53 percent of this years caucus will be men. Balderdash!

Looks like our friends are celebrating a poll that is seriously flawed.

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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About that CNN poll. Hillary Room (Original Post) hrmjustin Jan 2016 OP
Let 'em! MADem Jan 2016 #1
They can have their dreams. Lol. hrmjustin Jan 2016 #4
I hate justifying polls. Treant Jan 2016 #2
I think both those polls were off. hrmjustin Jan 2016 #3
Ditto. Treant Jan 2016 #5
care Iliyah Jan 2016 #6
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #7
KnR Hekate Jan 2016 #8

Treant

(1,968 posts)
2. I hate justifying polls.
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 12:33 AM
Jan 2016

I'd say let's let Nate Silver work it into his polling database, give it the proper weight, and tell us Mrs. Clinton's chances of a win are not that much reduced before we panic.

Besides, there's a Hillary +9 poll fresh out that pretty much cancels this one anyway.

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
3. I think both those polls were off.
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 12:35 AM
Jan 2016

I think it is a close race but cnn should be called out for a major demographic error.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
5. Ditto.
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 12:38 AM
Jan 2016

Personally, if you pushed me to call it right now with the way things are right this second, I'd say that IA is Clinton +2, but with a broader support base than Sanders and, hence, several more delegates than one might think awarded.

Response to hrmjustin (Original post)

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