Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumAbout that CNN poll. Hillary Room
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The main reason it should not be believed is that it oversamples men. Women always are the larger demo in Democratic Party primaries. In 2008 the exit polls 57 percent of Iowa Democratic Caucus voters were women yet this poll says 53 percent of this years caucus will be men. Balderdash!
Looks like our friends are celebrating a poll that is seriously flawed.
MADem
(135,425 posts)It's a long road that has no turning!
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Treant
(1,968 posts)I'd say let's let Nate Silver work it into his polling database, give it the proper weight, and tell us Mrs. Clinton's chances of a win are not that much reduced before we panic.
Besides, there's a Hillary +9 poll fresh out that pretty much cancels this one anyway.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)I think it is a close race but cnn should be called out for a major demographic error.
Personally, if you pushed me to call it right now with the way things are right this second, I'd say that IA is Clinton +2, but with a broader support base than Sanders and, hence, several more delegates than one might think awarded.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)Response to hrmjustin (Original post)
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