Polls and Predictions – Democratic Primaries through March 1st

[CajunBlazer]

The following are the results of the latest polls (sourc: realclearpolitics.com) and the projections of Nate Silver (source fivethirtyeight.com) for the Democratic primaries scheduled for 2/27/16 (South Carolina) and the twelve primaries scheduled for 3/1/16.

(I think Hillary supporters will be very pleased.)

Link: Polls and Predictions – Democratic Primaries through March 1st

[workinclasszero]

1. Looks great!

Thanks

[6chars]

2. Looks like Vermont is a lock for Sanders

[Lucinda]

4. The funny thing about VT, for me, is that Hillary has one more

superdelegate than Bernie, and Bernie himself is one of his own supers.

Such a strange election!

[CajunBlazer]

11. Can Bernie be a Democratic Super Delegate?

I thought he was still listed as the Independent Senator from Vermont, or has that changed?

[Lucinda]

20. He is listed on the superdelegate lists.

[CajunBlazer]

7. I understand that the Clinton campaign is going after the Vermont Super Delegates

But with the support Sanders has in the state, i don't know if it politically feasible for them to support Hillary.

[Lucinda]

21. Leahy says he will be voting Clinton. He committed to her before Bernie announced and he isnt going

break his word. Not sure how the others will go. But they are still in her column.

http://digital.vpr.net/post/however-vermont-votes-leahy-says-his-superdelegate-vote-clintons#stream/0

[Thinkingabout]

3. Thanks, everyone should know, Hillary is not going to abandon any state,

all states and territories. She surely will not abandon you when she is elected.

[workinclasszero]

5. Right

She is the only national democrat in the race, as far as I'm concerned.

[GusBob]

6. Nice blog. makes me hungry

Love me some Cajun vittles

[livetohike]

8. K&R

[yallerdawg]

9. There's that damn Vermont again!

Must be the Vermont Medicare for All coverage that makes him so popular!

[CajunBlazer]

10. Come back and visit anytime

....I serve virtual crawfish etouffee on Fridays.

[DesertRat]

12. Thanks!

k&r

[George II]

13. As I just posted in open GD-P (shudders!!!), when the dust settles on Tuesday Clinton will have....

....a 250 delegate lead, meaning that Sanders will need to get 54% in EVERY one of the remaining 35 states to overtake her for pledged delegates. Since he's not ahead in any of those remaining 35 states, the nomination will be over (and we're not even talking superdelegates here).

OUCH!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1337602

[CajunBlazer]

18. Hey George, how did you calculate the number of delegates Hillary should win?

Did you assume the delegate would be split using the same percentage as the poll data?

[George II]

19. Yes - it's a "ballpark" calculation, but shouldn't be too far off. Actually, the candidate with....

...the most raw votes usually winds up with a higher proportion of delegates than the actual vote split, so this is less accurate on the "safe" side. Could be more.

[CajunBlazer]

22. Okay, thanks

[peggysue2]

14. Been Checking 538

I go back and forth to Silver's projections. He's been pretty steady so far and the majority of these contests have overwhelming numbers for Hillary Clinton. As the wins mount up, the sheer force of the wave will take her in with an insurmountable delegate count and ultimately, the nomination.

Then we can all stop shouting at one another and turn our fury onto the real opposition: Republicans and/or The Trumpster.

And yes, this Hillary supporter is very pleased indeed.

[CajunBlazer]

17. Unfortunately with delegates being divided up proportional in every state..

...only huge wins in many states will give Hillary enough delegates to force closure early. Technically if he refuses to concede, Sanders could keep up the fight though every state and on up to the first vote of the convention. I have heard Sanders threaten to do exactly that. The longer he stays in, the longer he has a platform to preach revolution.

II think that the only way that this is going to end anytime soon is if Sanders' supporters get so discouraged by primary and caucus results that they quit sending in contributions. I wouldn't count of that happening anytime soon.

I'm afraid we are in it for the long haul.

[DemonGoddess]

15. K&R

[George II]

16. Looks like Vermont and possibly Massachusetts will be his last hurrah.