Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumOne Math to Rule Them All...
At the end of the day (I know, trite phrase), the inevitability of the numbers is what will carry Hillary to the nomination.
I've been playing around with numbers tonight, so...first off, let's set aside the super-delegates for now, and that 1 weird unassigned delegate. According to the Wikipedia primary article, it stands at;
HRC: 1132
BS: 818
To win: 2383
With 2020 pledged delegates left to win, let's be pie-in-the-sky unicorns and leprechauns generous and give Sanders a run-the-table 60%-40% blowout in every remaining contest;
HRC: 1940
BS: 2030
That's it, a +90 after a miracle run. So let's pepper the numbers with a few bits of realism;
DC, Puerto Rico, 70% Hillary
Kentucky, 65% Hillary
NY, NJ, MD, AZ, even split
HRC: 2032
BC: 1938
+94. That's what it takes to give him +90 vs her +90; a miracle vs a few tweaks. This still leaves in 60-40s for Bernie we know are never going to happen, like California and Pennsylvania.
Slow and steady wins this race.
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)As time passes and his targets become even bigger and bigger, all the bravado will poop out.
Treant
(1,968 posts)about delegates not being bound. They're aware they can't possibly reach their targets.
DemonGoddess
(4,640 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Gaining delegates every week, I am thinking she will get the endorsement of all of the super delegates.
Sancho
(9,070 posts)Gothmog
(145,427 posts)Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)and hypnotizes all of Hillary's delegates to vote BS