Is a Winning Scenario For Sanders Even Possible?

[Iamaartist]

:http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/04/02/1509364/-Is-a-Winning-Scenario-For-Sanders-Even-Possible

Hes not going to win its math !!!!!!!!!!!!! its not even possible



For Sanders to have any chance at flipping more than a few superdelegates, he'll need to end the primaries with at least one more pledged delegate than Clinton. And that's not even considering Clinton's popular vote victory. Otherwise the superdelegates will stick with Hillary and give her the nomination...as they should.

So let's take a quick look at the upcoming contests to see if Nate's chart is feasible.

First up is Wisconsin, which is an open primary (good for Sanders) with early voting (good for Clinton). This is no gimme for Sanders though, as the polls have been tight for months. Also, Nate Silver only has him at a 57% chance to win with a projected margin of about one point. If Bernie loses here, he's truly toast...but I do think he will probably win by a few points. However, if he wins by anything less than +16...guess what? He's only falling further behind where he needs to be.

Next up is Wyoming on the following Saturday and it wouldn't surprise me if he hits his target of +57 here. The only problem is that a very tiny number of delegates are at stake.

Then New York, where he has to win. But apparently even the Sanders campaign knows that's not going to happen.

[CalvinballPro]

1. He's not winning every state left with 57% of the vote. It's just not going to happen.

Too many diverse states, too many states that are "liberal" but not "progressive" enough to swing heavily his way, too many states left that Clinton won back in 2008 that make for friendly territory again this time around.

But the money machine can't stop until every last penny has been wrung from the gullible.

[dlwickham]

2. It's possible

And you might see pigs take off from your local airport

[peggysue2]

3. The Short & Sweet Answer

NO.

Feel the Math!

[Treant]

4. It's possible.

The number of available delegates (let's call it N) is currently greater than the number he needs to win (let's call it W).

While N=>W, it's possible.

Now is it likely? No, it sure isn't likely.