Here's a release on that 47-41 Wisconsin Poll for Clinton

[Godhumor]

For the record I think Bernie is winning Wisconsin, but this does run counter to the last few polls out:

http://www.wtmj.com/news/cruz-clinton-lead-respective-races-in-new-poll

The poll, conducted by Loras College in Du Buque Iowa, shows Cruz holding a 38% to 31% over Donald Trump in the GOP Primary race. 18% of people polled said they would vote for John Kasich and 13% said they were still undecided.

Poll author Dr. Christopher Budzisz says they surveyed 1,000 registered voters across the state, including 832 likely primary voters.

It is the first time Loras College has polled Wisconsin voters.

On the Democratic side, 47% of surveyed voters said they would vote for Hillary Clinton, a 6 point lead over Bernie Sanders who garnered 41% of the vote.

[metroins]

1. First time poll

I'm not going to get my hopes up.

I want to stay positive, I'll reserve that for the Mid Atlantic states. However team Hillary destroyed Super Tuesday 2.

Maybe we'll be drinking champaign after WI.

Thank you for posting the poll.

[BlueMTexpat]

2. That's very interesting.

RCP doesn't seem to have factored it in though. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary-3764.html

Like you, I believe that Bernie will have the edge in WI because it is an open primary where "Indies" and GOPers can and will cause mischief. But if the damage can be contained to single digits, it will be - almost - as good as a win and won't help Bernie all that much.

[Godhumor]

4. They generally don't update Saturday polls on Saturday

And I doubt Bernie gains 10 delegates on Clinton.

There is a reason both candidates have moved on to NY, each of their internal polling is probably showing that final outcome on Wisconsin will be something of a non-factor on the delegate spread regardless of who wins.

Bernie needs to 100% concentrate on keeping his path from non-existence after April 19. Considering I vote in NY, I don't plan on helping him in that goal.

[BlueMTexpat]

7. I salute you for that!

[Dawson Leery]

20. Hillary want to run up the margins in NY.

She is wise to do so. She can end this in a few weeks then.

[RBInMaine]

22. These open primaries are a LOAD OF SHIT!

[DemonGoddess]

3. Like everyone else in this thread so far

I also think Bernie will win Wisconsin. BUT, I don't think by much at all. Which, given the ultimate goal is delegates obtained, is a good thing.

[CalvinballPro]

14. Yes, but then we have to put up with the whole "This changes everything" narrative when it doesn't.

That in and of itself is probably the worst part.

[book_worm]

5. I think Bernie has WI, but I'm hopeful it will be close.

[Thinkingabout]

15. Splitting the delegates will help Sanders a lot. Hoping for the best

For Hillary, NY will probably not give Sanders the majority of the delegates.

[Koinos]

6. Voter ID suppression in Wisconsin will hurt both Hillary and Bernie.

College students and minorities will be turned away.

Even without voter ID problems, I don't think the corrupt administration led by Walker is capable of conducting a fair election.

You can expect missing votes, sudden appearance of uncounted votes, and other issues. And who knows how Waukesha will tally votes and how the state supreme court will deal with any potential illegalities.

I anticipate a worse mess than Arizona, and Bernie's supporters will blame it on Hillary.

I hope I'm wrong about this.

[PeaceNikki]

12. I think you are wrong. I've been working the elections in Waukesha County for six years

Our former clerk was an incompetent asshole, but stealing an election in this state would take calculated coordination of so many people that keeping it hidden would be nearly impossible.

The Voter ID will hurt the inner city greatly.

[mcar]

13. Naturally

[NastyRiffraff]

16. Of course, that's the purpose of Voter ID:

"The Voter ID will hurt the inner city greatly."

[Koinos]

17. Hillary would be helped by a good turnout in Milwaukee.

[PeaceNikki]

18. Indeed.

[RBInMaine]

21. With all respect, they need to go get the damn ID's! No point bemoaning. Just go do it!

[LiberalFighter]

23. It ain't always that easy. Especially for lower income folks that don't have time.

Even if a state photo id is free it still costs money.

[FloridaBlues]

8. I hope this happens, what a kick that would be to the old Bern

[book_worm]

9. Here are some stats on this poll:

Q23. What would you say is your race or Ethnicity?
White, non-Hispanic 89%
African-American or Black 4%
Hispanic or Latino 2%
Other 4%
Refused 2%
Q24. Did I reach you today on a landline or cell phone?
Landline 56%
Cell phone 44%
Refused 1%

One point about the validity of this poll is that they have HRC winning the 2nd Congressional District (which includes Madison) by four points. I would have to think that Madison would be Bernie's strongest district.

However, the other stats seem OK--they have Bernie winning younger voters (though not as high as other states) & men and HRC winning women and older voters. Also HRC is winning black voters by 69-14 & have HRC winning landline users and Bernie winning cell phone users.

http://www.loras.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Loras-WI-March-2016-release-1-toplines-and-crosstabs-final.pdf

[SharonClark]

10. I hope so but this poll seems a bit off

[LiberalFighter]

24. It possibly depends on how many college students are Wisconsin or out-of-state.

Also, if Wisconsin students are using Madison as their residence or their hometown.

The first time I voted in 1972 I was in college living on campus. But I voted absentee in my hometown 20 miles away.

[Gothmog]

11. Thanks for posting

[Historic NY]

19. Meanwhile flipping the AA vote in Wisconsin for him..

isn't working out in Milwaukee where he had a discussion of race.