California Field Poll: HRC: 47% BS: 41%

[book_worm]

(Yep, California is an open primary):

In California, Clinton leads Sanders 47 percent to 41 percent (previous poll had HRC up 46-35) She and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, have forged an expansive network of donors and political connections over a quarter-century campaigning in the state, and she remains the choice of women, older voters and registered Democrats here.

But Sanders, the senator from Vermont, is pummeling Clinton by 25 percentage points among likely voters in their 30s, and by an even wider margin among younger voters, according to the poll.

Sanders leads Clinton by 10 percentage points among independent voters likely to vote in the Democratic primary.

While more than 60 percent of Clinton supporters view Sanders favorably, according to the poll, Sanders’ supporters offer an assessment of Clinton that is more mixed – and more negative than in January.

“He’s doing damage,” DiCamillo said. “His campaign isn’t being a kid glove campaign on Hillary any more. It’s actually doing damage and is changing people’s minds about Hillary.”



http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/election/presidential-election/article70613117.html

Some stats:
Dems favor Hillary 50-39
Indies favor Bernie 49-39
Men favor Bernie 48-40
Women favor Hillary 53-36
African-Americans favor Hillary 64-25
Latinos favor Hillary 49-42
White voters favor Hillary 45-43
LA County favors HRC 51-41
Other Southern California are split 44-44
San Francisco Bay/Northern Coast favor Hillary 49-46
Central Valley favors Hillary 45-30

[dubyadiprecession]

1. Hillary is running against BS...

That sounds about right. After all her opponent is BS.

[Her Sister]

2. California is Semi-closed primary

Semi-closed: Only registered Democrats or undeclared can participate.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2016USDem

[BlueCaliDem]

3. "San Francisco Bay/Northern Coast favor Hillary 49-46 "

Too many self-righteous "liberals" in that part of the State. Hillary will do just fine in CA and capture the lion's share of delegates. The biggest unions in our State support her; the most influential Democrats support her. She'll do fine. Just wished that the CA Democratic Party had opted for a closed primary like the CA Republican Party had - an option that the State's Party can choose every election.

[Cha]

4. I hope the Unions GOTV for Hillary.. I read they did in Ohio.

I know.. California could be scary with the semi-closed primary.

[BlueCaliDem]

5. Incredibly expensive to buy ads in California. It will have to come down to GOTV and she

has the upper-hand here, with strong unions backing her. My union, the SEIU, endorsed her, and they're the most active of all unions. She's endorsed by just about all Democratic U.S. Reps, both of our U.S. Senators, and the lion's share of Democratic members of our CA Assemblymen and women and State Senators.

She won California in 2008 over Barack Obama.

Hillary Rodham Clinton: 2,608,184 and 51.5%

Barack Obama: 2,186,662 and 43.2%

We love the Clintons here. They did so much for California during the Clinton Administration.

[Cha]

6. I'm so glad.. I know my sister will be voting for her there.

It will be fun to see Hillary campaigning up and down the state with various supporters!

[BlueCaliDem]

8. So am I! Even with the Independent vote, Senator Obama couldn't win CA. My small group of 41

is set to vote for Hillary, as well. We're set to come together in the beginning of May when our absentee ballots come in, and then we'll sit around the patio tables (on different days since I can only accommodate twelve at a time), have something to eat, and vote.

[Cha]

9. Absentee Voting Party!

How patriotic~

Well we know "85% of California Dems" want to continue President Obama's policies".. so I'm thinking that will help Hillary.

Hill supporters and surrogates need to swarm your state, BlueCali.. 'cause we know BS will be outspending her again~

[BlueCaliDem]

11. California has 546 delegates to disperse so my State is the jackpot! Yes, I believe the Democratic

Party big-hitters need to come in and work hard for Hillary Clinton so that she gets the lion's share of those 546 delegates!

[BlueCaliDem]

13. Will also add, Hillary has a 91% chance of winning CA according to 538.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/california-democratic/

[Cha]

14. That sounds Good! Steady as she goes, Hillary!

Mahalo~Cute Cali gifs

[BlueCaliDem]

15. We're gonna do this, Cha. We're going to have our first Madame President and

another Democrat in the White House for another eight years! I'm so excited!

Mahalo, Cha. I like those gifs, too.

[Native]

7. The article doesn't say when the poll was taken, or does it?

I imagine that if it were taken after Sander's comment that Hillary is unqualified to be POTUS, we'd see higher numbers for Hillary.

[BlueCaliDem]

10. Bernie's disastrous votes against the Brady bill and YEA vote on the PLCAA will have him lose CA.

Californians aren't not pro-gun like the people of Vermont - especially just after the San Bernardino massacre in December last year (of which my son was a witness to the final shoot-out - you can read about that in my journal).

The wounds of that massacre are still open and raw, and his past votes to protect the gun lobby and to shield gun manufacturers, gun distributors, and gun sellers will be in each and every political mailing, for certain.

I believe, based on that alone, Bernie will lose CA by a wider margin than then Senator Obama (lost to Hillary 43.2% < 51.5%) who was strongly for gun safety laws, just like Hillary Clinton.

[Chichiri]

19. I think it was March 30 to April 4. nt

[stopbush]

12. Of course, CA is at the end of the primary line.

The nomination will be decided before we get to CA by the string of closed primaries, beginning with NY.

Wish it were different as I live in CA, but we never have much of a say in the D nominating process.

[BlueCaliDem]

16. We held an early primary in 2008, SB. Our primary was held on February 5th, 2008.

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/CA.html

Unfortunately, this time around, we're dead last. But then again, there are 546 delegates to win as opposed to the 441 (370 pledged and 71 unpledged delegates) from 2008.

[stopbush]

17. I remember that primary. I voted for Obama.

It was a close call between him and Hillary, but I think he was the right choice for the time, just like Hillary is the right choice for this time.

[BlueCaliDem]

18. Me, too! We all did here in my household. But we had to pivot pretty darn fast since we were

supporting Edwards until his love-child came out in the last minute! I had to study up on President Obama's background real quick since I lead our small group of 41 voters and they rely on me to find the answers to their pretty spirited questions!

So we had a little over a month to get to know Senator Obama but, in the end, he passed with flying colors and got our votes!

[geek tragedy]

20. it will be close, which will do Sanders little good.

10 point win would get him 45 delegates. Anyone think he'll be that close going in?

Buelller? Bueller?