Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumLink for live results for NY Primary and delegate math
Last edited Tue Apr 19, 2016, 09:28 PM - Edit history (3)
It includes not only statewide but also Congressional District numbers so we can estimate delegate splits.
Link:
http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/
Delegate totals by CD:
7 delegates: CDs 3,7, 14, 20, 7
Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 21.4
3 delegates: 35.7
4 delegates: 50.0
5 delegates: 64.3
6 delegates: 78.6
7 delegates: 85.0
5 delegates: CDs 11, 19, 22, 23
Delegate thresholds (%):
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 30.0
3 delegates: 50.0
4 delegates: 70.0
5 delegates: 85.0
6 delegates: all the rest
Delegate thresholds:
1 delegate: 15.0
2 delegates: 25.0
3 delegates: 41.7
4 delegates: 58.4
5 delegates: 75.0
6 delegates: 85.0
Pledged PLEO: 30 (just multiply the % by 30 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)
At-large: 54 ( (just multiply the % by 54 for each candidate, and round to the nearest whole number)
total 247
Good analysis of where things might turn out:
http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/new-york-city-and-surrounding-areas.html?showComment=1460570402023&m=1
Cha
(297,618 posts)UtahLib
(3,179 posts)KewlKat
(5,624 posts)Cha
(297,618 posts)livetohike
(22,162 posts)liberal N proud
(60,344 posts)Cha
(297,618 posts)SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)Anyone with knowledge of the state want to hazard a guess on what the delegate split will be? What do you think Secretary Clinton's delegate lead will be after the 19th?
William769
(55,147 posts)Cha
(297,618 posts)LiberalFighter
(51,081 posts)Most of the time they only have the results by county.
What will also make this easier is that it appears only Clinton and Sanders are included on the ballot. Otherwise, recalculations would need to be made by throwing out anyone that didn't have at least 15% and then do the percent.
Firebrand Gary
(5,044 posts)Sander's Campaign =
hrc guy
(73 posts)http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-democratic/