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mahatmakanejeeves

(68,847 posts)
Tue Feb 10, 2026, 06:30 PM 16 hrs ago

Coming Wednesday: The 'Super Bowl of jobs reports'

Yahoo Finance
Coming Wednesday: The 'Super Bowl of jobs reports'

The Labor Department is set to release payroll changes for January in addition to revisions to 2025 data amid broader concerns about the job market.

Emma Ockerman
Tue, February 10, 2026 at 1:47 PM EST • 3 min read

The Labor Department will publish much-anticipated jobs data for January on Wednesday, as well as sweeping revisions to 2025 numbers that could show far fewer new positions were added to the US economy than previously thought.

Private data released last week indicated the labor market remained bruising in January for out-of-work Americans, with little in the way of new jobs. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg estimate a median gain of about 68,000 jobs in January’s report, though the projections varied widely: The highest saw 135,000 more jobs, while the lowest saw a loss of 10,000 roles. The unemployment rate was expected to remain steady at 4.4%.

As for 2025, preliminary data for the 12 months ending in March last year showed 911,000 fewer jobs being created than initially reported. Numbers for that period will be updated Wednesday, in addition to data changes for more recent months, likely leaving a dimmer picture of the 2025 job market.

The government’s monthly employment situation report, which includes both the unemployment rate and payroll growth, was meant to be published last Friday before it was delayed by the brief partial government shutdown. That left market-watchers and economists waiting a few extra days for what Bank of America Global Research dubbed the “Super Bowl of jobs reports” and economist Michael Madowitz of the Roosevelt Institute called #ConspiracyTheoryJobsday.

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Coming Wednesday: The 'Super Bowl of jobs reports' (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves 16 hrs ago OP
And the time series will be revised (they weren't revised after the September preliminary progree 13 hrs ago #1
'We have to revise our expectations': White House downplays coming jobs report progree 13 hrs ago #2

progree

(12,816 posts)
1. And the time series will be revised (they weren't revised after the September preliminary
Tue Feb 10, 2026, 09:35 PM
13 hrs ago

update because it was preliminary).

Here's how it currently looks:

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001?output_view=net_1mth
Non-farm payroll jobs, monthly changes in thousands

Year Jan Feb Mar etc. etc.
2022 225 869 471 305 241 461 696 237 227 400 297 126
2023 444 306 85 216 227 257 148 157 158 186 141 269
2024 119 222 246 118 193 87 88 71 240 44 261 323
2025 111 102 120 158 19 -13 72 -26 108 -173 56 50


The ones highlighted will be revised by the annual benchmark revision

The last two (November and December) will also be revised, as they always do every month with the previous 2 months.

progree

(12,816 posts)
2. 'We have to revise our expectations': White House downplays coming jobs report
Tue Feb 10, 2026, 09:39 PM
13 hrs ago

Yahoo Finance, February 10
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/we-have-to-revise-our-expectations-white-house-downplays-coming-jobs-report-200406607.html

Members of President Trump's team have offered multiple warnings that employment gains may disappoint Wall Street and have tried to downplay what a miss might indicate about the state of the US economy.

-snip-
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