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Demeter

(85,373 posts)
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 05:48 PM Nov 2013

Weekend Economists Honor Our Veterans November 8-10, 2013





Veterans Day is an official United States holiday which honors people who have served in armed service also known as veterans. It is a federal holiday that is observed on November 11. It coincides with other holidays such as Armistice Day and Remembrance Day, which are celebrated in other parts of the world and also mark the anniversary of the end of World War I. (Major hostilities of World War I were formally ended at the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month of 1918, when the Armistice with Germany went into effect.)

Veterans Day is not to be confused with Memorial Day; Veterans Day celebrates the service of all U.S. military veterans, while Memorial Day is a day of remembering the men and women who died while serving...http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Veterans_Day




History

U.S. President Woodrow Wilson first proclaimed Armistice Day for November 11, 1919. In proclaiming the holiday, he said

"To us in America, the reflections of Armistice Day will be filled with solemn pride in the heroism of those who died in the country's service and with gratitude for the victory, both because of the thing from which it has freed us and because of the opportunity it has given America to show her sympathy with peace and justice in the councils of the nations."


The United States Congress passed a concurrent resolution seven years later on June 4, 1926, requesting that President Calvin Coolidge issue another proclamation to observe November 11 with appropriate ceremonies. A Congressional Act (52 Stat. 351; 5 U.S. Code, Sec. 87a) approved May 13, 1938, made the 11th of November in each year a legal holiday: "a day to be dedicated to the cause of world peace and to be thereafter celebrated and known as 'Armistice Day'."

In 1945, World War II veteran Raymond Weeks from Birmingham, Alabama, had the idea to expand Armistice Day to celebrate all veterans, not just those who died in World War I. Weeks led a delegation to Gen. Dwight Eisenhower, who supported the idea of National Veterans Day. Weeks led the first national celebration in 1947 in Alabama and annually until his death in 1985. President Reagan honored Weeks at the White House with the Presidential Citizenship Medal in 1982 as the driving force for the national holiday. Elizabeth Dole, who prepared the briefing for President Reagan, determined Weeks as the "Father of Veterans Day."

U.S. Representative Ed Rees from Emporia, Kansas, presented a bill establishing the holiday through Congress. President Dwight Eisenhower, also from Kansas, signed the bill into law on May 26, 1954.

Congress amended this act on June 1, 1954, replacing "Armistice" with "Veterans," and it has been known as Veterans Day since.

The National Veterans Award, created in 1954, also started in Birmingham. Congressman Rees of Kansas was honored in Alabama as the first recipient of the award for his support offering legislation to make Veterans Day a federal holiday, which marked nine years of effort by Raymond Weeks. Weeks conceived the idea in 1945, petitioned Gen. Eisenhower in 1946, and led the first Veterans Day celebration in 1947 (keeping the official name Armistice Day until Veterans Day was legal in 1954).

Although originally scheduled for celebration on November 11 of every year, starting in 1971 in accordance with the Uniform Monday Holiday Act, Veterans Day was moved to the fourth Monday of October. In 1978, it was moved back to its original celebration on November 11. While the legal holiday remains on November 11, if that date happens to be on a Saturday or Sunday, then organizations that formally observe the holiday will normally be closed on the adjacent Friday or Monday, respectively.


The markets will be open Monday, but just because the DOW sees fit to ignore the soldiers, sailors, air corps and Marines that risked their lives and futures for the 1% Bankster Elite's right to do what they do so well (and it ain't printable, so use your imagination)....as I say, just because the markets are closed to the idea of celebrating veterans, doesn't mean we have to be...

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Weekend Economists Honor Our Veterans November 8-10, 2013 (Original Post) Demeter Nov 2013 OP
Consumer sentiment hits lowest level since 2011 Demeter Nov 2013 #1
Snowden Reportedly Used Others' Login Info To Get Secret Data Demeter Nov 2013 #2
Treasury yields jump most in four months Demeter Nov 2013 #3
SAC Capital pleads guilty in criminal court Demeter Nov 2013 #4
I still don't get it Tansy_Gold Nov 2013 #8
Steven Cohen can't make his Mommy's Monkey Jump By Greg Palast Demeter Nov 2013 #21
THis is where... AnneD Nov 2013 #81
SAC Capital Pleads Guilty, Then Judge Calls a Timeout Eugene Nov 2013 #32
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The Mutilated Economy By PAUL KRUGMAN Demeter Nov 2013 #5
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Demeter

(85,373 posts)
1. Consumer sentiment hits lowest level since 2011
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 05:52 PM
Nov 2013

IN THE ONGOING ECONOMIC WAR, WE ARE ALL SERVING, ALL VETERANS...AND THE CASUALTIES ARE MOUNTING.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-lowest-since-2011-2013-11-08?siteid=YAHOOB

A gauge of consumer sentiment fell this month to the lowest level in almost two years, surprising economists who had expected sunnier views now that the government shutdown is over, according to data released Friday.

The preliminary November reading of the University of Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer-sentiment index hit 72 — the lowest level since December 2011 — from a final October reading of 73.2.

Economists watch that indicator to get a feeling for consumer spending, which is the backbone of the economy, and don’t like to see declines heading into the holiday season. Wall Street had expected the gauge to rise to 75 in early November, partially offsetting October’s drop that was driven by the government’s shutdown....MORE

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
2. Snowden Reportedly Used Others' Login Info To Get Secret Data
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 05:58 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2013/11/08/243942091/snowden-reportedly-used-others-login-info-to-get-secret-data?ft=1&f=1001


Some of the classified documents leaked by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden were acquired using the credentials of other NSA workers — including people who had higher security clearance than Snowden, according to Reuters. As many as 25 people may have been duped, the news agency says, citing people close to the inquiry. Snowden reportedly gained his the National Security Agency colleagues' trust — and access to documents and data beyond his security clearance — by saying he needed to know their security information as part of his job as a computer systems administrator.

"A handful of agency employees who gave their login details to Snowden were identified, questioned and removed from their assignments," , citing "a source close to several U.S. government investigations into the damage caused by the leaks."


It isn't clear whether employees who provided the information to Snowden were fired or reassigned. The security lapse was centered on the NSA's regional operations center in Hawaii, where Snowden had been working before he began an international flight from U.S. authorities that has now taken him to Russia. Two factors may have aided Snowden's exploitation of the cracks in security at the NSA. The first is the agency's delay of installing the most current anti-leak software in its systems at the Hawaii station; the second is the sense of inclusion and security that can lead people to drop their guard when they believe their co-workers have been vetted.

"In the classified world, there is a sharp distinction between insiders and outsiders. If you've been cleared and especially if you've been polygraphed, you're an insider and you are presumed to be trustworthy," secrecy expert Steven Aftergood of the Federation of American Scientists tells Reuters.

"What agencies are having a hard time grappling with is the insider threat, the idea that the guy in the next cubicle may not be reliable," he said.


Another factor in Snowden's ability to use his status as a contractor for Booz Allen Hamilton to access sensitive information was that his job sometimes required such actions.

"His job was to do what he did. He wasn't a ghost. He wasn't that clever. He did his job. He was observed moving documents, but it was his job," a government official back in September.

As Tom reported, Snowden may also have been aided by the inclusion of USB ports on some NSA computers, which would allow a thumb drive to be inserted that could then store information.




CONGRATS MEG CASEY!

http://www.madmagazine.com/blog/2011/11/17/spy-vs-spy-art-competition-at-scad
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
3. Treasury yields jump most in four months
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 06:08 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/treasury-yields-jolt-higher-on-jobs-report-2013-11-08?siteid=YAHOOB

A robust jobs report caught the Treasury market by surprise on Friday, sending benchmark yields on their biggest one-day climb since July as investors began to price in nearer-term expectations for when the Federal Reserve could start scaling back its bond-buying stimulus.

The 10-year note 10_YEAR +5.84% yield, which moves inversely to price, rose 14.5 basis points on the day to trade at 2.750%, its highest close since mid-September and nearly 25 basis points higher over the past two weeks. The 7-year note 7_YEAR +7.75% yield climbed 15 basis points to 2.126%. The 30-year bond 30_YEAR +3.75% yield rose 14 basis points to 3.846%, and the 5-year note 5_YEAR +8.55% yield rose 11 basis points to 1.418%.

The move in the bond market came after the U.S. Labor Department said the economy added 204,000 nonfarm jobs in October, despite a partial government shutdown that was expected to restrain economic growth. The gains doubled economist expectations, and the payrolls for August and September were also revised higher. MORE

http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.Webhost/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=30_YEAR&uf=7168&type=2&size=2&sid=1226080&style=1013&freq=1&time=8&rand=1125526205&ma=1&maval=50&lf=1&lf2=4&lf3=0&height=444&width=579&mocktick=1

http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.Webhost/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=10_YEAR&uf=7168&type=2&size=2&sid=1224040&style=1013&freq=1&time=8&rand=333766142&ma=1&maval=50&lf=1&lf2=4&lf3=0&height=444&width=579&mocktick=1

http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.Webhost/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=7_YEAR&uf=7168&type=2&size=2&sid=3661040&style=1013&freq=1&time=8&rand=659344287&ma=1&maval=50&lf=1&lf2=4&lf3=0&height=444&width=579&mocktick=1

http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.Webhost/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=5_YEAR&uf=7168&type=2&size=2&sid=1224039&style=1013&freq=1&time=8&rand=1130542687&ma=1&maval=50&lf=1&lf2=4&lf3=0&height=444&width=579&mocktick=1
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
4. SAC Capital pleads guilty in criminal court
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 06:11 PM
Nov 2013
http://news.yahoo.com/sac-capital-pleads-guilty-criminal-court-210657802--sector.html

Steven A. Cohen's SAC Capital Advisors hedge fund pleaded guilty to fraud charges Friday as part of a $1.2 billion deal to resolve a long-running insider trading investigation, but the judge on the case reserved her decision about whether to accept the plea until after a pre-sentencing report was filed.

At a court hearing in Manhattan, SAC general counsel Peter Nussbaum entered the guilty plea to four counts of securities and one count of wire fraud charges, a crucial step toward ratification of the fund's record insider trading accord. U.S. District Judge Laura Taylor Swain said she would refrain from deciding about whether to accept the plea until after she read the pre-sentencing report. She scheduled the sentencing hearing for March 14. As part of the plea, Nussbaum listed former employees who had been convicted of insider trading charges and described their offenses.

"On behalf of SAC, I want to express our deep remorse for the misconduct of each individual who broke the law while employed at SAC," he said.

"This happened on our watch, and we are responsible for that misconduct."


Ethan Wohl, a lawyer for investors in a lawsuit related to another pending SAC insider trading case, urged Swain not to accept the plea. He called it a "no-admit" plea and said, "The proposed plea would let the defendants plead out without acknowledging they did what was alleged in the indictment." He also said that the judge should not allow SAC to "cherry-pick the offense that will have the least collateral damages."

Under the plea agreement SAC reached with prosecutors, the hedge fund has agreed to pay $900 million in penalties to resolve the criminal case unveiled against it in July. A federal judge on Wednesday signed-off on another $900 million judgment in the companion civil forfeiture action filed at the same time against SAC. Under the civil deal, the hedge fund will only have to pay $284 million, after getting credit for $616 million in settlements in related insider trading cases by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

SAC has reserved its right to withdraw its plea if Swain does not impose the penalties negotiated with prosecutors.

Tansy_Gold

(17,877 posts)
8. I still don't get it
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 07:13 PM
Nov 2013

How can a hedge fund be guilty, but not the people who ARE the hedge fund? I mean, it's not like the money was making crooked deals all by itself.. . . .

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
21. Steven Cohen can't make his Mommy's Monkey Jump By Greg Palast
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:16 AM
Nov 2013
http://us4.campaign-archive1.com/?u=33e4ec877eed6a43863a4a92e&id=95330f4e58&e=e1f72e415c


...This week, Cohen's hedge fund, SAC Capital Advisors will plead guilty to criminal charges of insider trading and pay $1.2 billion in fines and forfeitures. Cohen says he’ll pay the $1.2 billion from his own pocket — but it’s a pretty big pocket. His net worth just hit ($9.4 billion). It would have been an even $10 billion, but last year he coughed up over half a billion for his company’s illegal trades. Cohen himself is not accused of knowing the information he used was obtained by criminal means. But, he still faces SEC charges of letting his minions operate like a high-finance NSA, sucking up and trading on illegally obtained information. And the US district attorney, when asked about imprisoning Cohen, said, in cryptic language, that unspecified criminal charges are yet to come.


...Tip to young journalists: Billionaires' ex-trophy wives are a terrific source of information. The blonder the better. They have vengeance in their eyes and files under their mattresses. And they want just three things: money, revenge, and ...money. Patricia Cohen is very blonde and very ex’d. She split from the nona-billionaire in 1990 when he was still a poor, struggling nona-millionaire. Or so he led her to believe. Patricia claims she was robbed — and that she firmly deserves a little of the ice from Cohen's private ice-skating rink, the one in his garden next to his own cinema theater and indoor pool. So, Patricia, bent on justice, approached this reporter with a authoritatively detailed story of Cohen's first inside-trading scam, documents included. Now, I should say at the outset that, despite Patricia's selfless exposure of the pitiless facts about Cohen's suspicious trades, and despite the guilty plea and charges pending, I don't for a minute believe that Steven Cohen is anything but an innocent genius. Indeed, Cohen's brilliance borders on the clairvoyant. He knows which way a stock will move before God knows. He knows your kid's name before you know you’re pregnant. How? By using illegally obtained insider information? Heavens no! So how does Cohen know the cards in your hand before they're dealt?

“Guessing,” says Cohen. “I was pretty good at guessing which way those [stock price] numbers would go.” In a drooling profile, Vanity Fair compares him to the “mathematical genius” in the film A Beautiful Mind. However, as Cohen was a crap student in math, his uncanny ability to predict the market better than any other mortal is attributed to some otherworldly brain kryptonite that gives him, “a Rain Man–like gift for reading the stock ticker.” The ex-Mrs. Cohen has a different narrative...According to Patricia Cohen, Steven began to have visions of future stock moves when he was just a small-change trader at Gruntal & Co. One night, Steven was again in tears, literally crying into his pillow, sleepless. Patricia claims he 'fessed to her that he'd secretly bought up a load of RCA stock, knowing the company would be taken over by General Electric. She also claims that she was too blonde at the time to know Steven's RCA purchase was a crime. But she did suggest that he go to his boss and tell the truth because, whatever money he would make on the deal wasn't worth the midnight tears. "Is $9 million worth it?" he said to her. Apparently, it was — because she ceased to suggest confession until she felt shafted by her divorce settlement.

Well, that's her story. Steven's? He won't talk to me about it — nor to the FBI (to whom he invoked his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination).

............................................................................................................................

When a Cohen sells soon-to-swoon Wyeth stock to some schmuck who's not clued in, the "counter-party" loses his shirt. When JP Morgan labels financial feces as “prime” mortgages and dumps it on Fannie Mae, the US taxpayer gets a hosing. When Goldman Sachs and billionaire John Paulson sell the Royal Bank of Scotland "synthetic CDOs" that are as valuable as a chocolate kettle, the Bank of England pays and the people of England lose two million jobs. When hedge fund predator Paul Singer mounts a vulture attack on the Congo and makes a killing, Oxfam says he's taking cholera medicine away from kids who are facing death.

In other words: There's no such thing as a victimless billionaire....

IF YOU WANT THE DIRT, THE SCANDAL...SEE THE LINK TO GET THE FULL REPORT

Eugene

(61,965 posts)
32. SAC Capital Pleads Guilty, Then Judge Calls a Timeout
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 10:48 AM
Nov 2013

Source: New York Times

SAC Capital Pleads Guilty, Then Judge Calls a Timeout

BY BEN PROTESS

After spending the better part of a decade fighting a federal insider trading investigation, SAC Capital Advisors must wait a few extra months for closure.

The hedge fund pleaded guilty to insider trading charges at a court hearing on Friday, but the judge overseeing the case declined to give the plea preliminary approval. In a somewhat surprising move, Judge Laura Taylor Swain of Federal District Court in Lower Manhattan said she would take time to study the case and reserve judgment until March.

The show of caution does not necessarily signal trouble ahead for SAC, run by the investor Steven A. Cohen. Legal experts said they expected Judge Swain would ultimately sign off on the deal. But under the terms of the deal, if Judge Swain does balk, SAC can withdraw its guilty plea.

[font size=1]-snip-[/font]


Read more: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/11/08/sac-capital-pleads-guilty-then-judge-calls-a-timeout/
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
74. Never Feel Sorry For A Man With his Own Plane -- Cassandra Does Tokyo
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 04:46 PM
Nov 2013
http://nihoncassandra.blogspot.com/2013/11/never-feel-sorry-for-man-with-his-own.html

I am, by nature, empathetic. I look at the distress that the government's rather relentless case against SAC and Steve Cohen has brought to him, his business, and his family and feel it must be hard. And for what? Totally victimless crime(s) if you ask me (if 'crimes' is the even the right word)! And, to be fair, they are victimless crimes that he has firmly and continually denied and was just as shocked as Federal Prosecutors to discover the sheer extent to which not only was SAC the first call BEFORE the first call but to the lengths his trusted minions went to shake down sources for material non-public information of every flavour and variety and circumvent the extensive compliance procedures that he personally directed be put in place! Shocking indeed...and disappointing.

I can understand the extreme disappointment and shattering of dreams that being arm-twisted into admitting guilt by a frickin' bureaucrat who likely makes less than Cohen pays Bubbles The Clown to twist balloons into funny animals at his kids' birthday party. This admission wrested from Him under unending duress, will mean that posterity will NOT utter his name with the same veneration as one might say "Bernard Baruch". Nor will his photo adorn the gilded walls of the trading Hall Of Fame with the likes of George Soros, or Michael Steinhardt, but will instead be caricatured with Martha "I hate Ina Garten" Stewart and Raj "I Paid Kenny Rogers $4mm to Play The Gambler Over and Over and Over" Rajaratnam. You can take away a man's money, and he'll survive, but take away a man's honour and bragging rights and you end up like Dick Fuld - NEVER being able to find a bona-fide golfing partner. Fortunately, unlike Fuld who's sob story is forcing him to sell assets, Mr Cohen will always be able to pay Guy Fieri to play a few rounds, but its not the same. The legacy is now shot. One wonders however, how low he'll go and whether he may upon hitting bottom seek Lance Armstrong-like redemption in an Oprah confessional?

And while the loss of 3 & 50 which will undoubtably hobble attempts to catch Icahn, Dalio or Simons in the dash for whatever they are all dashing for, it must be worth both the money, humiliation, and shattered dreams just to stop the relentless pitting of former friends and colleagues against each other as if gladiators before a raucous Roman crowd. No humans should be faced with the prospect of having to choose between self-incrimination and resulting prison or sending a friend to prison for a victimless infraction of an ostensibly technical rule...don't you think? And there is stigma. Which university will now accept his donation for the "Steve Cohen Endowed Lectureship in Financial Ethics"? In Japan such stigma even damages the marriage prospects of one's children, though we are more liberal in America. Nonetheless, it is unlikely his wealth will now be able to buy him an Ambassadorship, Senate seat, Mayoralty, or Governorship, and may have to settle for buying a professional sports team to lighten himself of some of his remaining billions.

But before you shed too many tears, you should take the advice of Charles Morse (masterfully played by Anthony Hopkins for which he won a special Academy Award), the protaganist in David Mamet's film, aptly named "The Edge" . The aging billionaire Morse is being taunted by young photographer Robert Green (played by Alec Baldwin), emboldened for the latter is (unbeknownst to Morse) having an affair with the old billionaire's young wife (Elle MacPherson). They are flying to a remote place in Alaska for a photo shoot. Green (showing faux sympathy) asks Morse how difficult and challenging it must be "to be rich". "You never who your friends are", "You never know if someone is sincere or just wants something from you....". "Yeah it must be rough...". Hopkins is silent. Expressionless. He hears what Baldwin is saying, clearly contemplating it carefully as they cross beautiful virgin Alaska wilderness. Then, in with the utmost of non-chalance, Hopkins responds:"Yes, well you should NEVER feel sorry for a man who owns his own Jet Plane..."
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
5. The Mutilated Economy By PAUL KRUGMAN
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 06:22 PM
Nov 2013

Last edited Sun Nov 10, 2013, 11:40 AM - Edit history (1)

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/08/opinion/krugman-the-mutilated-economy.html?_r=2&hp=&adxnnl=1&rref=opinion&adxnnlx=1383887959-9G6mPRoyOQYJOgXNkPJe+Q&

...Long-term unemployment — the number of people who have been out of work for six months or more — is four times what it was before the recession. These dry numbers translate into millions of human tragedies — homes lost, careers destroyed, young people who can’t get their lives started. And many people have pleaded all along for policies that put job creation front and center. Their pleas have, however, been drowned out by the voices of conventional prudence. We can’t spend more money on jobs, say these voices, because that would mean more debt. We can’t even hire unemployed workers and put idle savings to work building roads, tunnels, schools. Never mind the short run, we have to think about the future! The bitter irony, then, is that it turns out that by failing to address unemployment, we have, in fact, been sacrificing the future, too. What passes these days for sound policy is in fact a form of economic self-mutilation, which will cripple America for many years to come. Or so say researchers from the Federal Reserve, and I’m sorry to say that I believe them...economic weakness has already reduced America’s economic potential by around 7 percent, which means that it makes us poorer to the tune of more than $1 trillion a year. And we’re not talking about just one year’s losses, we’re talking about long-term damage: $1 trillion a year for multiple years. That estimate is the end product of some complex data-crunching, and you can quibble with the details. Hey, maybe we’re only losing $800 billion a year. But the evidence is overwhelming that by failing to respond effectively to mass unemployment — by not even making unemployment a major policy priority — we’ve done ourselves immense long-term damage.

And it is, as I said, a bitter irony, because one main reason we’ve done so little about unemployment is the preaching of deficit scolds, who have wrapped themselves in the mantle of long-run responsibility — which they have managed to get identified in the public mind almost entirely with holding down government debt. This never made sense even in its own terms. As some of us have tried to explain, debt, while it can pose problems, doesn’t make the nation poorer, because it’s money we owe to ourselves. Anyone who talks about how we’re borrowing from our children just hasn’t done the math. True, debt can indirectly make us poorer if deficits drive up interest rates and thereby discourage productive investment. But that hasn’t been happening. Instead, investment is low because of the economy’s weakness. And one of the main things keeping the economy weak is the depressing effect of cutbacks in public spending — especially, by the way, cuts in public investment — all justified in the name of protecting the future from the wildly exaggerated threat of excessive debt.

Is there any chance of reversing this damage? The Fed researchers are pessimistic, and, once again, I fear that they’re probably right. America will probably spend decades paying for the mistaken priorities of the past few years...
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
6. JPMORGAN Chase Isn't the Only Bank in Trouble By Matt Taibbi
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 06:58 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/taibblog/chase-isnt-the-only-bank-in-trouble-20131105#ixzz2k46Jy04f

....I've fallen behind on some crazy developments on Wall Street. There are multiple scandals blowing up right now, including a whole set of ominous legal cases that could result in punishments so extreme that they might significantly alter the long-term future of the financial services sector.

As one friend of mine put it, "Whatever those morons put aside for settlements, they'd better double it."

Firstly, there's a huge mess involving possible manipulation of the world currency markets. This scandal is already drawing comparisons to the last biggest-financial-scandal-in-history (the Financial Times wondered about a "repeat Libor scandal&quot , the manipulation of interest rates via the gaming of the London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor. The foreign exchange or FX market is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily trading volume of nearly $5 trillion. Regulators on multiple continents are investigating the possibility that at least four (and probably many more) banks may have been involved in widespread, Libor-style manipulation of currencies for years on end. One of the allegations is that traders have been gambling heavily before and after the release of the WM/Reuters rates, which like Libor are benchmark rates calculated privately by a small subset of financial companies that are perfectly positioned to take advantage of their own foreknowledge of pricing information. A month ago, Bloomberg reported that it had observed a pattern of spikes in trading in certain pairs of currencies at the same time, at 4 p.m. London time on the last trading day of the month, when WM/Reuters rates are released. From the article:

In the space of 20 minutes on the last Friday in June, the value of the U.S. dollar jumped 0.57 percent against its Canadian counterpart, the biggest move in a month. Within an hour, two-thirds of that gain had melted away.

The same pattern – a sudden surge minutes before 4 p.m. in London on the last trading day of the month, followed by a quick reversal – occurred 31 percent of the time across 14 currency pairs over two years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. For the most frequently traded pairs, such as euro-dollar, it happened about half the time, the data show.

The recurring spikes take place at the same time financial benchmarks known as the WM/Reuters (TRI) rates are set based on those trades…

The Forex story broke at a time when the industry was already coping with price-fixing messes involving oil (the European commission is investigating manipulation of yet another Libor-like price-setting process here) and manipulation cases involving benchmark rates for precious metals and interest rate swaps. As Quartz put it after the FX story broke:

For those keeping score: That means the world's key price benchmarks for interest rates, energy and currencies may now all be compromised.


Perhaps most importantly, however, there's a major drama brewing over legal case in London tied to the Libor scandal. Guardian Care Homes, a British "residential home care operator," is suing the British bank Barclays for over $100 million for allegedly selling the company interest rate swaps based on Libor, which numerous companies have now admitted to manipulating, in a series of high-profile settlements. The theory of the case is that if Libor was not a real number, and was being manipulated for years as numerous companies have admitted, then the Libor-based swaps banks sold to companies like Guardian Care are inherently unenforceable. A ruling against the banks in this case, which goes to trial in April of next year in England, could have serious international ramifications. Suddenly, cities like Philadelphia and Houston, or financial companies like Charles Schwab, or a gazillion other buyers of Libor-based financial products might be able to walk away from their Libor-based contracts. Basically, every customer who's ever been sold a rotten swap product by a major financial company might now be able to get up from the table, extend two middle fingers squarely in the direction of Wall Street, and simply walk away from the deals. Nobody is mincing words about what that might mean globally. From a Reuters article on the Guardian Care case:

"To unwind all Libor-linked derivative contracts would be financial Armageddon," said Abhishek Sachdev, managing director of Vedanta Hedging, which advises companies on interest rate hedging products.


Concern over all of this grew even hotter last week with the latest Libor settlement, in which yet another major bank, the Dutch powerhouse Rabobank, got caught monkeying with the London rate. Rabobank paid over a billion in fines to American, British, Dutch and Japanese authorities and saw its professorial CEO, Piet Moerland, resign as a result of the probe. The investigation revealed the same disgusting stuff all of the other Libor probes had revealed – traders and various other mid-level bank sociopaths laughing and joking about rigging rates and screwing customers all over the world. From the WSJ:

In a July 2006 electronic chat, an unidentified Rabobank trader was informed about the bank's plans to set Libor "obscenely high" that day, according to an exchange cited by the Justice Department. The trader responded, "oh dear . . . my poor customers . . . . hehehe!!"


Here at home, virtually simultaneous to the Rabobank settlement, Fannie Mae filed a suit against nine banks – including Barclays Plc (BARC), UBS AG (UBSN), Royal Bank of Scotland Plc, Deutsche Bank AG, Credit Suisse Group AG, Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan – for manipulating Libor, claiming that the mortgage-financing behemoth lost over $800 million due to manipulation of the benchmark rate by the banks. And virtually simultaneous to that, JP Morgan Chase disclosed that it is currently the target of no fewer than eight federal investigations, for activities ranging from possible bribery of foreign officials in Asia to allegations of improper mortgage-bond sales to . . . the Libor mess. "The scope and breadth of risky practices at JPMorgan are mind-boggling," Mark Williams, a former Federal Reserve bank examiner, told Bloomberg.

The point of all of this is that any thought that the potential Chase settlement might begin a period of regulatory healing for it and other Wall Street banks appears to be wildly mistaken. If anything, the scope of potential liability for all the major banks, particularly in these market-rigging furors, appears to be growing in all directions.

THE BEST IS YET TO COME...SEE LINK! WE MAY FINALLY GET A DEATH SENTENCE FOR CORPORATIONS...BANKSTER ONES, AT LEAST...

Fuddnik

(8,846 posts)
9. You're luck you only lose money.
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 08:27 PM
Nov 2013

I played golf today and lost my mind and my dignity.

Tomorrow: Bowling for the Alzheimers Foundation.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
16. SAC CAPITAL PLEADS GUILTY IN NY IN $1.8B DEAL
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:00 AM
Nov 2013
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_SAC_CAPITAL?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2013-11-08-17-40-17

NEW YORK (AP) -- SAC Capital Advisors pleaded guilty to criminal fraud charges Friday, satisfying a deal with the government that requires the Connecticut-based hedge fund to pay a record $1.8 billion to settle charges that it allowed, if not encouraged, insider trading to occur for more than a decade.

The plea came in U.S. District Court in Manhattan four days after the government announced that the once influential hedge fund owned by billionaire Steven A. Cohen had reached the deal that also required it to shut down its operations to outside investors.

But Judge Laura Taylor Swain did not immediately accept the plea, saying she'd wait until a probation report is made and other papers are submitted for her review. She set a sentencing date for March 14, assuming she accepts it.

The plea was entered by Peter Nussbaum, SAC's longtime general counsel, to a single count of wire fraud and four counts of securities fraud. It was made on behalf of SAC Capital LP, SAC Capital Advisors LLC, CR Intrinsic Investors LLC and Sigma Capital Management LLC.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
17. BERNANKE: FED HAS GREATER POWER TO COMBAT CRISES
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:02 AM
Nov 2013
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_BERNANKE?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2013-11-08-17-39-21

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Chairman Ben Bernanke said Friday that the Federal Reserve is drafting rules to close large insolvent banks without bringing down the broader financial system, one of many steps regulators must take to prevent another financial crisis.

Bernanke said the absence of a process to deal with systemically important institutions in 2008 left regulators facing the "terrible choices of a bailout or allowing a potentially destabilizing collapse." His comments were made at a conference sponsored by the International Monetary Fund.

The financial overhaul law passed by Congress in 2010 gave regulators better tools to close down large financial institutions, he said. The Fed and other regulators are working to implement those rules now.

"Our continuing challenge is to make financial crises far less likely and, if they happen, far less costly," Bernanke said.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
18. China Inflation Below Target as Leaders Start Reform Summit
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:05 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-09/china-s-oct-inflation-accelerates-producer-prices-extend-drop.html

China’s consumer prices rose less than economists forecast in October and factory-gate deflation deepened for the first time in five months, reducing odds that officials will tighten monetary policy.

The consumer price index rose 3.2 percent in October from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said today in Beijing, compared with the 3.3 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey and September’s 3.1 percent. Industrial-production growth unexpectedly accelerated to 10.3 percent, a separate report showed.

Inflation below the government’s 3.5 percent full-year target may allow Communist Party leaders, gathering today in Beijing for an economic summit, to take a measured approach to reining in credit growth. State media have called the meeting a “watershed” for reform as China seeks to move to an economy focused on domestic demand.

“Both CPI inflation and economic growth still remain within Beijing policy makers’ comfort zone,” said Qu Hongbin, chief China economist at HSBC Holdings Plc in Hong Kong. While there’s “no need for either easing or tightening in the coming months,” the central bank will have to use its tools to keep liquidity stable as money inflows keep rising, Qu said.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
19. Rupee Leads Losses in Asian Currencies This Week on Fed Outlook
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:08 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-08/indian-rupee-leads-losses-in-asian-currencies-on-fed-outlook.html

India’s rupee led losses in Asian currencies this week as overseas investors cut holdings of the region’s stocks on speculation U.S. policy makers will cut stimulus this year.

The Bloomberg-JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index fell 0.3 percent in the five days through yesterday, after a 0.5 percent drop in the prior period. Third-quarter U.S. expansion topped estimates and growth in service industries accelerated last month, data showed this week. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg Oct. 17-18 predicted the Fed would begin paring stimulus in March.

“Asian currencies declined this week as markets think the Fed will scale back its stimulus earlier than expected,” said Leong Sook Mei, Southeast Asian head of global markets research in Singapore at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. “Flows are not coming back.”

The Indian rupee lost 1.2 percent from Nov. 1 to 62.475 per dollar in Mumbai, according to prices from local banks compiled by Bloomberg. Indonesia’s rupiah weakened 0.7 percent to 11,410, Thailand’s baht fell 0.9 percent to 31.475 and Malaysia’s ringgit dropped 0.3 percent to 3.1794

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
20. Ex-ICAP Brokers Said to Face U.K. Prosecutors in Libor Probe
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:13 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-08/ex-icap-brokers-said-to-face-u-k-prosecutors-in-libor-probe.html

Three former ICAP Plc (IAP) brokers charged in the U.S. over their involvement in Libor-rigging will be interviewed by U.K. prosecutors within weeks, two people with knowledge of the probe said.

Daniel Wilkinson and Colin Goodman, who live in England, will be interviewed by the Serious Fraud Office in the next few weeks, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private. Darrell Read, who lives in New Zealand, will also be questioned, the people said.

Seven people have been charged over manipulation of the London interbank offered rate, including five in the U.S. Tom Hayes, a former UBS AG and Citigroup Inc. trader who has been at the center of the probe, has been accused in both countries.

“We are making arrangements to speak to the SFO in December,” said Matthew Frankland, Wilkinson’s lawyer in London. “There is no date arranged yet. We are in dialog with them.”

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
22. Rotting Grapes From Bordeaux to Burgundy Cut French Wine Outlook
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:19 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-07/france-cuts-wine-outlook-fourth-time-as-bordeaux-burgundy-rot.html



France cut its outlook for wine production for a fourth time after botrytis rot due to wet weather caused grape losses in Bordeaux and Burgundy, adding to damage from poor flowering and summer hailstorms.

The volume of the 2013 vintage may rise 2.2 percent to 42.3 million hectoliters (1.12 billion gallons) from 41.4 million hectoliters in 2012, the Agriculture Ministry wrote in a report late yesterday. The forecast was cut by 1.74 million hectoliters from a month ago, equivalent to 231 million bottles.

The threat of rot by botrytis fungus prompted growers in Burgundy, Bordeaux and southwest France to harvest early, sometimes picking not fully ripened grapes, the ministry said. Rot also forced “major sorting” and cut volumes in Alsace, the Loire Valley and Charentes, according to the ministry.

“Botrytis developed in an exceptional manner in October in the western regions, the southwest, Burgundy, Beaujolais and Alsace, favored by frequent rainfall,” the ministry wrote.
 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
36. Hmm. Bad for some... If you're into good wines at good prices,
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 11:08 AM
Nov 2013

and you read Spanish or German, check out these friends of mine:

http://www.barcelonavinos.net/

 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
38. I can recommend especially the natural ecological Mallorcan;
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 12:50 PM
Nov 2013

and the (strong, full-bodied) old but recently very modern, carefully culrivated on dry, hilly land, with Mediterranean Pines and herbs, wines from the Priorat (Catalonia).

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
24. Escape From The Dollar -- An Interview with Paul Craig Roberts By Mike Whitney
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 08:59 AM
Nov 2013

Last edited Mon Nov 11, 2013, 01:00 PM - Edit history (1)

http://www.counterpunch.org/2013/11/05/an-interview-with-paul-craig-roberts/


Mike Whitney: How is the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing impacting the dollar and financial instruments?

Paul Craig Roberts: The Federal Reserve's policy of creating large amounts of new money in order to support the balance sheets of "banks too big to fail" and to finance continuing large budget deficits is another factor undermining the dollar's reserve currency role. The liquidity that the Federal Reserve has pumped into the financial system has created enormous bubbles in bond and stock markets. US bond prices are so high as to be incompatible with the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and massive creation of new dollars. Moreover, central banks and some investors have realized that the Federal Reserve is locked into the policy of supporting bond prices. If the Federal Reserve ceases to support bond prices, interest rates will rise, the prices of debt-related derivatives on the banks' balance sheets will fall, and the stock and bond markets would collapse. Therefore, a tapering off of quantitative easing risks a financial panic.

On the other hand, continuing the policy of supporting bond prices further erodes confidence in the US dollar. Vast amounts of dollars and dollar-denominated financial instruments are held all over the world. Holders of dollars are watching the Federal Reserve dilute their holdings by creating 1,000 billion new dollars per year. The natural result of this experience is to lighten up on dollar holdings and to look for different ways in which to hold reserves. The Federal Reserve can print money with which to purchase bonds, but it cannot print foreign currencies with which to purchase dollars. As concerns over the dollar rise, the dollar's exchange value will fall as more dollars are sold in currency markets. As the US is import-dependent, this will translate into higher domestic prices. Rising inflation will further spook dollar holders. According to recent reports, China and Japan have together reduced their holdings of US Treasuries by some $40 billion. This is not a large sum compared to the size of the market, but it is a change from continuing accumulation. In the past, Washington has been able to count on China and Japan recycling their trade surpluses with the US into US Treasury debt. If foreign willingness to acquire Treasury debt declines and the federal budget deficit does not, the Federal Reserve would have to increase quantitative easing, thus putting even more pressure on the dollar. In other words, in order to avoid an immediate crisis, the Federal Reserve has to continue a policy that will produce a crisis down the road. It is either a financial crisis now or a dollar crisis later. Eventually, the Federal Reserve's hand will be forced. As the dollar's exchange value declines, so will the value of dollar-denominated financial instruments regardless of how many bonds the Federal Reserve purchases...Quantitative easing is rapidly increasing the supply of dollars, but as other countries move to other arrangements for settling their trade imbalances, the demand for dollars is not rising with the supply. Thus, the dollar's price must fall. Whether the fall is slow over time or sudden due to an unanticipated Black Swan event remains to be seen.

MORE AT LINK...CHIEFLY ABOUT CHINA
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
25. Going to see how much of the awful I can get out of the way
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 09:02 AM
Nov 2013

Maybe something can be salvaged of the weekend...in any event, the stomach clock says "time for breakfast!"

See you later in the day.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
26. A Ton Of Chinese Economic Data Was Just Released
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 09:11 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/china-inflation-8-month-high-2013-11

BEIJING (Reuters) - China's annual inflation climbed to an eight-month high of 3.2 percent in October as food costs soared, fanning market worries about policy tightening as factory output and investment data pointed to signs of stabilization in the economy.

Inflation, which quickened slightly from 3.1 percent in September, was still lower than a median forecast of 3.3 percent in a Reuters poll and was below the official target of 3.5 percent for 2013.

"Although the CPI inflation was mainly pushed up by seasonal food demand, it may fuel market concerns that the central bank may tighten monetary conditions," said Li Huiyong, an economist at Shenyin & Wanguo Securities in Shanghai.

The People's Bank of China refused to inject liquidity into the money markets during regular open market operations on Thursday, triggering worries it would start a new round of tightening in the next few months, traders said.



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/china-inflation-8-month-high-2013-11#ixzz2k9adodhO

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
27. The Mormon Church Is Becoming Florida's Private Largest Landowner – With Nearly 2% Of Its Landmass
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 09:14 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/mormon-church-florida-land-2013-11

ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) - The Mormon church is poised to become the largest private landowner in Florida as a result of a deal to buy nearly 400,000 acres in the state's Panhandle region.

The property is mostly timberland, and the church "intends to maintain timber and agricultural uses of the lands," according to a statement released by St. Joe Company, a Florida real estate firm.

The signed sales agreement with the church's company, AgReserves Inc., for $565 million is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, according to the statement. The company expects the deal to be finalized in the first quarter of 2014.

Paul Genho, chairman of AgReserves, Inc., in St. Joe's statement, described the entity as a "tax-paying affiliate of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints," also known as the Mormon church.



Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/11/08/usa-florida-mormons-idUSL2N0IT2AZ20131108#ixzz2k9bDg0H1

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
28. Be Prepared For Stocks To Crash 40%-55%
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 09:20 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/be-prepared-for-stocks-to-crash-2013-11

The stock market continues to set new highs, which is exciting and fun for those of us who own stocks.
I own stocks, so I'm certainly enjoying it.

I hope stocks continue to charge higher, but I can't find much data to suggest that they will. I only have a vague hope that the Fed will continue to pump air into the balloon and corporations will continue to find ways to cut more costs and grow their already record-high earnings.

Meanwhile, every valid valuation measure I look at suggests that stocks are at least 40% overvalued and, therefore, are likely to produce lousy returns over the next 10 years.

Which valuation measures suggest the stock market is very overvalued?

These, among others:

Cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (current P/E is 25X vs. 15X average)
Market cap to revenue (current ratio of 1.6 vs. 1.0 average)
Market cap to GDP (double the pre-1990s norm)


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/be-prepared-for-stocks-to-crash-2013-11#ixzz2k9coRsxU

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
29. how badly has the US economy been damaged?
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 09:55 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2013/11/hysteresis-and-the-us-the-bad-news-and-the-good-news.html


Friday’s employment report, which shows that payrolls rose by two hundred and four thousand jobs in October, indicates that the economy was a bit stronger in the past three months than most people thought. But we won’t know the full impact of the government shutdown and the debt-ceiling crisis for a while yet, and it is fanciful to suggest that one better-than-expected jobs report will persuade the Federal Reserve to change course and start withdrawing some of its monetary stimulus.

Trying to sort the signals from the noise in the jobs report is a tough task in the best of times: the margin of error for the payroll figures is plus or minus ninety thousand jobs. So instead I’ll say a few things about a new research paper by three economists at the Federal Reserve, which is getting a lot of attention because it suggests that the recession and its aftermath have not only done terrible things to the U.S. economy in the immediate sense—high rates of joblessness, tepid gross-domestic-product growth, falling incomes—but also seriously undermined the economy’s capacity for future growth. Gavyn Davies, of the Financial Times, drew attention to the study earlier this week; Reuters published a story about it; and, in today’s New York Times, Paul Krugman devoted an entire Op-Ed to it, which was perfectly justified. It deserves to be discussed widely.

The authors of the paper are David Wilcox, the head of economic research at the Fed, and two of his colleagues, William Wascher and Dave Reifschneider. Although the study uses some sophisticated statistical methods, its basic point is straightforward: in the long term, economic output (G.D.P.) is constrained by the quantity and the quality of economic inputs (labor, capital, and technology). If the growth rate and quality of these inputs decline, the potential growth rate of G.D.P. will fall, too—it’s just a matter of arithmetic.

Since the financial crisis of 2007, the authors argue, that’s precisely what has happened. With hiring rates down, many workers have given up searching for jobs and have dropped out of the labor force. (According to today’s employment report, the labor-force participation rate hit yet another low in October: 62.8 per cent.) With budgets tight, corporations and government departments have cut back on investments in new plants and machinery, computer hardware and software, and research and development. And, with investments in innovation depressed, the rate of over-all productivity growth has slowed down.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
30. STREET COP{mary jo white}
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 10:00 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2013/11/11/131111fa_fact_lemann


White has a reputation as a tough litigator, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that she is initiating wholesale change at the S.E.C. Illustration by Barry Blitt.

MMary Jo White, the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, has a personal page on the New York Road Runners Club Web site, which records a battery of figures (Pace per Mile, Age-Graded Performance Percentage, and so on) for each of the official events she has completed. There are two hundred and seven entries since the first one, which was recorded a week before her fifty-sixth birthday, in 2003, seven of them since she began working in Washington, late last year, just as she was turning sixty-five. Friends and colleagues characterize White as the most competitive and driven person they have ever encountered.

In the nineties, when White was the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, she would arrive in her office, a few blocks from Wall Street, early in the morning, with a stack of newspaper clippings. They were marked with yellow Post-Its bearing a recipient’s name and a nudge: Where are we on this? Are we on top of this? She had a famously expansive sense of what her office should be worrying about. She once sent Patrick Fitzgerald, who was in charge of terrorism cases, a note about some white powder that had been found at the site of a truck accident in another state, involving a driver with a Middle Eastern name. Today, she blizzards her staff and her friends with e-mails at all hours. Friends with insomnia who write to her at 2 or 3 a.m. may get an immediate reply.

White is plainspoken and doesn’t seem slick or fancy. Every year, she holds a Super Bowl party. Her favorite band is Fleetwood Mac. Her favorite charity is the A.S.P.C.A. She has had the same cohort of intimate friends since the seventies—three or four women who worked together in the U.S. Attorney’s office and helped form a female basketball team there. When she returns to New York on weekends, they still try to have dinner, and they go on occasional trips together. She does not put her competitiveness aside when conducting her social life. She and her husband, John White, have a tennis court at their country house, in upstate New York, where her style of play led her friends to give her the nickname Sid Vicious. After she organized a team to run in an athletic event called the Great Race, and it finished second, she successfully petitioned the race officials to create a special certificate for her team to take home. She makes sure to win even at Boggle or crazy eights. Although she is a sports fan (baseball first, especially the Yankees, football second, horse racing third) and often invites people to join her at games, she doesn’t carry on conversations while the ball is live. She doesn’t read much for pleasure. She doesn’t belong to a church. Her large apartment, on the Upper East Side, is said to look about as lived-in as a suite in an extended-stay motel. White’s life is about working, and winning.

bread_and_roses

(6,335 posts)
31. "Masters of War"
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 10:43 AM
Nov 2013
... You put a gun in my hand
And you hide from my eyes
And you turn and run farther
When the fast bullets fly.

... You hide in your mansion'
As young people's blood
Flows out of their bodies
And is buried in the mud.

And I hope that you die
And your death'll come soon
I will follow your casket
In the pale afternoon
And I'll watch while you're lowered
Down to your deathbed
And I'll stand over your grave
'Til I'm sure that you're dead.


xchrom

(108,903 posts)
33. Yep, Being a Young, American Adult Is a Financial Nightmare
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 10:53 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/11/yep-being-a-young-american-adult-is-a-financial-nightmare/281214/



Poverty is an astonishingly common experience here in the world's richest country. As I wrote this morning, almost 40 percent of American adults experience it for at least a year by age 60.

But you know who poverty is especially common among? Young adults.

Based on the data I shared earlier, which were given to me by Washington University in St. Louis professor Mark Rank, I've pulled together a few more graphs that I think illustrate the difficulty of making ends meet in your twenties and early thirties (particularly if you're not lucky enough to, say, have a college degree). Exhibit a) between the ages of 25 and 34, 41.3% percent of Americans will spend at least a year earning less than 150 percent of the poverty line, which is a technical way of saying "being pretty broke." By age 35, a little more than a quarter will have lived under the actual poverty line, which is the technical way of saying, "really truly broke."





xchrom

(108,903 posts)
34. The Workforce Is Even More Divided by Race Than You Think
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 10:58 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/11/the-workforce-is-even-more-divided-by-race-than-you-think/281175/

Let's begin with the fact that black unemployment is higher than Hispanic unemployment, which itself is higher than white unemployment. This hasn't just been true for the last year, or the last decade. It's been true for the last four decades and beyond.



And we'll continue with the fact that, when you look at participation rates over the same 40 years, Hispanic men work more often than white men, who consistently work more than black men. Among women, the trend has been the mirror opposite and just as unchanging. Black women have consistently worked more often than white women, who have consistently worked more often than Hispanic women.

hamerfan

(1,404 posts)
35. Musical Interlude
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 11:05 AM
Nov 2013

Sam Stone by John Prine:




I hope I don't offend any veterans out there with this tune. There aren't many "soldier" songs that don't glorify war, and I don't want to glorify war.
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
40. The Superrich Don't Need Our Middle Class Infrastructure RIGHTEOUS RANT
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 04:09 PM
Nov 2013

WELL, THAT'S WHAT THEY THINK...BUT THEY ARE WRONG, AND COULDN'T BE MORE WRONG.

http://truth-out.org/opinion/item/19814-the-super-rich-dont-need-our-middle-class-infrastructure?goback=.gde_4122540_member_5803373187727110148#!

...times have changed, and the super-rich of the 21st century no longer think that you and I are needed for their continued success. And in some ways, they have given up on America, period. As Paul Buchheit brilliantly points out over at AlterNet, "As they accumulate more and more wealth, the very rich have less need for society. At the same time, they've convinced themselves that they made it on their own, and that contributing to societal needs is unfair to them. There is ample evidence that this small group of takers is giving up on the country that made it possible for them to build huge fortune."

Buchheit goes on to say that, "The rich have always needed the middle class to work in their factories and buy their products. With globalization this is no longer true... They don't need our infrastructure for their yachts and helicopters and submarines. They pay for private schools for their kids, private security for their homes. They have private emergency rooms to avoid the health care hassle. All they need is an assortment of servants, who might be guest workers coming to America on H2B visas, willing to work for less than a middle-class American can afford"

Unfortunately, these millionaires and billionaires who have given up on America and on the working class are in control of the political process in this country. They have brainwashed Republicans into thinking that the success of working-class Americans no longer matters for the future of this nation. As a result, Republicans are no longer investing in things that have traditionally made America - and the working-class - successful...

MORE

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
41. I thought an overview of Military Slang might be educational and on-topic
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 06:23 PM
Nov 2013

Turns out we saw some of this already:

SNAFU

SNAFU stands for the sarcastic expression situation normal: all fucked up. It is a well-known example of military acronym slang. It is sometimes bowdlerized to all fouled up or similar. It means that the situation is bad, but that this is a normal state of affairs. It is typically used in a joking manner to describe something that's working as intended.

The acronym is believed to have originated in the United States Marine Corps during World War II. Attribution to the American military is not universally accepted: it has also been attributed to the British. Most reference works, including the Random House Unabridged Dictionary and Oxford English Dictionary, supply an origin date of 1940-1944, generally attributing it to the US military.Time magazine used the term in their June 16, 1942 issue: "Last week U.S. citizens knew that gasoline rationing and rubber requisitioning were snafu." Frederick Elkin noted in 1946 that there "are a few acceptable substitutes such as 'screw up' or 'mess up,' but these do not have the emphasis value of the obscene equivalent." He considered the expression SNAFU to be "a caricature of Army direction. The soldier resignedly accepts his own less responsible position and expresses his cynicism at the inefficiency of Army authority." He also noted that "the expression ... is coming into general civilian use."

In modern usage, snafu is sometimes used as an interjection, though it is mostly now used as a noun. Snafu also sometimes refers to a bad situation, mistake, or cause of trouble. It is more commonly used in modern vernacular to describe running into an error or problem that is large and unexpected. For example, in 2005, The New York Times published an article titled "Hospital Staff Cutback Blamed for Test Result Snafu".

SUSFU (situation unchanged: still fucked up) is a variant of SNAFU. SNAFU and SUSFU were first recorded in American Notes and Queries in their September 1941 issue.

FUBAR

FUBAR stands for fucked up beyond all recognition/repair/reason, like SNAFU and SUSFU, dates from World War II. The Oxford English Dictionary lists Yank, the Army Weekly magazine (1944, 7 Jan. p. 8) as its earliest citation: "The FUBAR squadron. ‥ FUBAR? It means 'Fucked Up Beyond All Recognition." NFG is equipment that is not functional, but may or may not be repairable, FUBAR is beyond repair.

TARFU

TARFU stands for totally and royally fucked up or things are really fucked up. The 1944 U.S. Army animated shorts Three Brothers and Private Snafu Presents Seaman Tarfu In The Navy (both directed by Friz Freleng), feature the characters Private Snafu, Private Fubar, and Seaman Tarfu.

BOHICA

BOHICA stands for bend over, here it comes again. It is an item of acronym slang which grew to regular use amongst the United States armed forces during the Vietnam War. It is used colloquially to indicate that an adverse situation is about to repeat itself, and that acquiescence is the wisest course of action. It is commonly understood as a reference to being sodomized. An alternative etymology relates the expression to the days of sail and avoiding being struck by the boom, which would swing around the mast due to shifts in wind or the vessel's course. Although it originated in the United States military forces, and is still commonly used by United States Air Force fighter crew chiefs and armament crews, its usage has spread to civilian environments, used to describe unavoidable, unpleasant situations that have inconvenienced someone before and are about to yet again.

for more, see

http://www.itstactical.com/intellicom/language/military-acronymsterminology-and-slang-reference/

http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/Appendix:Glossary_of_military_slang

and you will wonder if anyone used English anymore.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
42. Changes to Dodd-Frank Act on CEO compensation By Chey Barnes
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 06:37 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Changes-to-Dodd-Frank-Act-by-Chey-Barnes-Business_Corporate_Greed_Greed-131108-36.html

After years of delays, the SEC has just voted to enact a potentially game-changing provision of the Dodd-Frank Act on CEO compensation.

The new provision requires corporations to disclose the amount their CEOs make compared to the salary of the median worker. Corporations are shocked because the rule is surprisingly strong -- closing the loopholes that corporations normally use to skew data.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other big business organizations are frightened, and are fighting back, pressuring the SEC to soften the provisions language during the current sixty-day comment period.

This data is valuable for investors, as it helps them determine which companies are dangerously overloaded at the top. The new disclosure will create downward pressure in the industry by rewarding companies with more reasonable salary hierarchies. It will also get workers talking, and put overpaid executives in the spotlight. This could be a game-changer for out-of-control inequality andhelp stop the wild greed at the top of the largest companies in the US.

There is a petition circulating regarding this corporate disclosure.

http://action.sumofus.org/a/sec-ceo-pay/2/2/?akid=2589.1801711.QkjX4a&rd=1&sub=fwd&t=2
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
43. Paying the Toll On the Economic Highway By William John Cox
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 06:42 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Paying-the-Toll-On-the-Eco-by-William-John-Cox-Taxation_Taxes-131108-15.html

The political coma of the U.S. government induced by Congress and its failure to represent those who elect it can ultimately be traced to the unfair and complex system of income taxation. Better for the country and more equitable for its taxpayers would be a toll tax on the movement of all money along the nation's economic highway. Not a national sales tax, not a value-added tax, not a flat income tax, and not a speculation tax, but rather a slight levy should be imposed on every single financial transaction. Not just every time you fill up your gas tank or buy groceries, but we should hear a tiny "ka-ching" every time stocks, bonds and futures are bought and sold, every time currencies and derivatives are traded, and whenever an oil company buys a new drilling rig or a bank rolls the dice in the financial casino.

The federal government could easily operate on revenues produced by a "toll tax" of less than one percent on the movement of all money. Significantly, the payment of taxes would shift to those who most profit from government -' from individuals to corporations and from the laboring poor to the wealthy elite, who would pay taxes on their money games and spending for luxuries, instead of their "income." A toll tax would result in a slight increase in the overall cost of goods and services; however, the toll would apply to all monetary transactions, including financial manipulations by the wealthy, who engage in every imaginable scheme to avoid having any "taxable income."

A "transaction tax" was first suggested by James Tobin 40 years ago and expanded upon by University of Wisconsin Professor Edgar L. Feige, who has proposed an Automated Payment Transaction Tax. Professor Feige believes the payment of taxes should be split between the transaction parties and paid immediately. While the automatic payment of taxes into sequestered tax accounts by financial institutions could and should be easily accommodated, most individuals and companies would find it more difficult to comply. Moreover, there would be a temptation to avoid taxes by engaging in cash transactions. For most taxpayers, collection of the toll tax could occur somewhat like the current income tax, in that individuals, small businesses and corporations would still prepare and file an annual tax report. The preparation of returns, however, would be simplified and tax fraud greatly reduced.

Let's consider a married couple with joint earnings of $100,000. Their employers would still prepare 1099 and W-2 forms, and the couple would file a return setting forth incoming money. They would then deduct the amount paid out for health insurance, including Medicare, and further reduce their outlay by the amount paid into Social Security, IRAs, 401(k) plans, and into federally-insured savings accounts. From a policy standpoint, these funds are not spent until withdrawn and circulated. When allowable deductions are subtracted from income, the difference would be how much money the couple spent. Their toll tax would be paid on the balance, and even without any deductions, a one-percent tax would only be $1,000. Since, however, it has been suggested that a 0.35 percent toll tax would produce the same revenue as the present income tax, the couple's annual toll tax could be as low as $350.

In addition to simplifying their accounting procedures, a toll tax would provide other benefits for businesses and corporations. To the extent they are owned by U.S. citizens and their salaries are paid to U.S. citizens, businesses, corporations and other organizations should not have to pay a toll tax on their payroll, as salaries would be directly passed through to their employees to spend (and to be taxed) in the economy. Payrolls paid to foreign workers by American businesses, however, should be subject to the toll tax, as the money would not pass through the U.S. economy. This provision could reverse the current trend of "outsourcing" American jobs. Finally, while the Earned Income Tax Credit was well intentioned, it has encouraged wide-spread fraud and many resent it as a socialistic redistribution of income. The credit should be eliminated, and all spending above an established "poverty line" should be reported and taxed.

Every individual, rich and poor, and every business, large and small, should support good government by fairly contributing to a uniform toll tax that is the least painful and most equitable -' a true "win-win" for all.




THIS IS THE FIRST I'VE HEARD OF SUCH A SCHEME...WHAT SAY YOU, FELLOW SMW AND WEE?

bread_and_roses

(6,335 posts)
52. Several issues occur to me ...
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 09:09 AM
Nov 2013

It sounds as if this is a - maybe slightly less regressive? - version of a flat tax. The Oligarchs would not even notice it - even at the higher 1% level. Much less at the lower. Whereas a family of four, living on say $50,000, would, I think?

I'm out of my depth here, but another warning bell is the "above an established poverty level." If calculated by current standards, here's the sort of spending the poverty level leaves out: real costs of housing/child care/transportation/phone/internet/recreation/gifts/the real costs of clothes & shoes for kids. Obviously, without allowance for transportation and child care and phone at least and some decent clothes it's going to be awful hard to find a job - even if there is a job to be found. So using that measure would mean that the tax would be a much greater burden on the poor and near-poor, including the lower-wage working class, than on the rich. And even if a higher standard was used, the low-income do not park money in IRAs, etc. So again, a greater burden.

And one presumes that fees for things like car registration, etc. would still be charged - and that would be taxed "spending" that is a much greater burden on low-income earners than on the rich.

Not to mention that the lower level - said to garner the same revenue as current taxation - is obviously not enough to keep our schools/health care/roads and bridges and water systems/environmental concerns funded. Which of course is due to the failure to tax the rich progressively AND institute something like the "Robin Hood Tax" that would come down on the rich and not the poor.

So ... I think that implemented as described, there are problems.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
44. Bill Moyers: The Corporate Plot That Obama and Corporate Lobbyists Don't Want You to Know About
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 06:45 PM
Nov 2013

The Trans Pacific Partnership is a threat to up-end the economy as we know it. ..,

http://www.alternet.org/economy/bill-moyers-corporate-plot-obama-and-corporate-lobbyists-dont-want-you-know-about?akid=11103.227380.aex_p0&rd=1&src=newsletter918440&t=8

A US-led trade deal is currently being negotiated that could increase the price of prescription drugs, weaken financial regulations and even allow partner countries to challenge American laws. But few know its substance.

The pact, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), is deliberately shrouded in secrecy, a trade deal powerful people, including President Obama, don’t want you to know about. More than 130 members of Congress have asked the White House for greater transparency about the negotiations and were essentially told to go fly a kite. While most of us are in the dark about the contents of the deal, which Obama aims to seal by year end, corporate lobbyists are in the know about what it contains.

And some vigilant independent watchdogs are tracking the negotiations with sources they trust, including Dean Baker and Yves Smith, who join Moyers & Company this week. Both have written extensively about the TPP and tell Bill the pact actually has very little to do with free trade.

Instead, says Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, “This really is a deal that’s being neogotiated by corporations for corporations and any benefit it provides to the bulk of the population of this country will be purely incidental.” Yves Smith, an investment banking expert who runs the Naked Capitalism blog adds: “There would be no reason to keep it so secret if it was in the interest of the public.”

http://vimeo.com/78324869

TRANSCRIPT AT LINK

DemReadingDU

(16,000 posts)
45. Bill Moyers: How Big Money & Big Media Undermine Democracy
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 07:28 PM
Nov 2013

11/8/13 How Big Money & Big Media Undermine Democracy
video at link

This past Tuesday, special interests pumped big money into promoting or tearing down candidates and ballot initiatives in elections across the country. It was a reprise on a small scale of the $7 billion we saw going into presidential, congressional and judicial races in 2012. To sway the vote, wealthy individuals and corporations bought campaign ads, boosting revenues at a handful of media conglomerates who have a near-monopoly on the airwaves.

No one knows the dangers of this “money and media election complex” better than John Nichols and Robert McChesney, who speak with Bill this week on Moyers & Company. Nichols is Washington correspondent for The Nation and a pioneering political blogger. McChesney is a professor and leading scholar of communications at the University of Illinois. Their latest book is Dollarocracy: How the Money and Media Election Complex Is Destroying America.

“Democracy means rule of the people: one person, one vote,” McChesney says. “Dollarocracy means the rule of the dollars: one dollar, one vote. Those with lots of dollars have lots of power. Those with no dollars have no power.” Nichols tells Moyers: “Dollarocracy has the ability to animate dead ideas. You can take an idea that’s a bad idea, buried by the voters. Dollarocracy can dig it up and that zombie idea will walk among us.”

http://billmoyers.com/segment/john-nichols-and-robert-mcchesney-on-big-money-big-media/

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
46. New momentum behind expanding Social Security by Joan McCarter
Sat Nov 9, 2013, 10:25 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/11/06/1253681/-New-momentum-behind-expanding-Social-nbsp-Security?detail=email

The effort to change the narrative on Social Security got another big backer this week, when Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) signed on to legislation that would expand Social Security instead of cutting it. Brown talked to Greg Sargent about the legislation, about how to start injecting some reality into the political discussion about the program, and about why Democrats need to be going on offense on entitlements.

“There are two fundamental numbers that make this a moral case for Democrats to make,” Brown told me in an interview today. “One is that a third of seniors rely on Social Security for virtually their entire income. The other is that more than half of seniors rely on Social Security for significantly more than half their income.” [...]

With Washington chatter centered on a “grand bargain” or at least a “mini bargain” that might involve entitlement cuts, expanding Social Security might seem like a dead end. But when I pushed Brown on whether Dems would rally behind the idea—after all, Chained CPI is in the President’s budget—he insisted Dems should not cooperate in allowing a “Serious” center-right consensus that equates “fiscal responsibility” with cutting entitlement benefits to reign unchallenged.

“The Serious People—with a capital S and a capital P—all have really good pensions and good health care and good salaries,” Brown said. “Raise the cap. There are ways we can bring a lot of money into Social Security. Some Democrats are a bit cowed by the Serious People.”


The Serious People also are far, far out of step with the American people, particularly older Americans, who are overwhelmingly opposed to any cuts to Social Security, whether it be chained CPI or raising the retirement age. Sixty-two percent of people 50 or older are opposed to chained CPI and 58 percent opposed raising the retirement age. Just as many are overwhelmingly supportive of strengthening the program by raising the tax cap. That's one of the solutions provided in the Strengthening Social Security Act Brown signed on to, along with Sen. Tom Harkin (D-IA), and Sens. Brian Schatz (D-HI), and Mark Begich (D-AK).

Expanding Social Security isn't going to move anytime soon in Congress, but what these senators are doing is giving a voice to the majority of the public, and putting the idea out there that Social Security shouldn't be sacrificed at a time when everyone's personal economy—that includes seniors—is so perilous. They're helping change the conversation from austerity to reality. Maybe the question for candidates in 2014 won't be "are you willing to cut entitlements," but "are you willing to make Social Security stronger."

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
47. US SEEKS $864M FROM BOFA OVER COUNTRYWIDE LOANS
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 08:51 AM
Nov 2013
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_BANK_OF_AMERICA_COUNTRYWIDE?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2013-11-09-20-21-55

NEW YORK (AP) -- Federal prosecutors want Bank of America Corp. to pay about $864 million over losses incurred by the government after it bought thousands of home loans made by Countrywide Financial during the housing boom.

U.S. attorney Preet Bharara made the request in documents filed late Friday with the U.S. District Court in Manhattan.

A jury last month found Bank of America Corp., which acquired Countrywide in 2008, liable for knowingly selling thousands of bad home loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac between August 2007 and May 2008.

The panel also returned the verdict against Countrywide and a former executive, Rebecca Mairone.

The trial related to mortgages the government said were sold at break-neck speed without regard to quality as the economy headed into a tailspin.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
48. CORN PRICE RISES AFTER US FORECASTS STRONG DEMAND
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 08:53 AM
Nov 2013
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_COMMODITIES_REVIEW?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2013-11-08-17-55-05

Corn futures rose Friday after the U.S. forecast higher demand for the grain than traders were expecting.

Corn for December delivery rose 6.25 cents to $4.2675 a bushel. Corn is still down nearly 40 percent this year on concerns about oversupply created by huge harvests.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture said Friday it expects a record 13.99 billion bushels of corn to be harvested, more than the September forecast of 13.8 billion bushels.

The U.S.D.A. also forecast greater demand for feed corn and for exports than the market had expected, said Brandon Marshall, commodity trader with Northstar Commodity in Minneapolis. Farmers were also planning to harvest fewer acres than the market expected, Marshall said.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
49. MICHIGAN GROWERS TRYING TO GET APPLES TO DOZE OFF
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 08:55 AM
Nov 2013
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_FOOD_AND_FARM_SLEEPING_APPLES?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2013-11-09-11-04-02

CENTRAL LAKE, Mich. (AP) -- This year's Michigan apple crop is expected to be 10 times as plentiful as last year's puny output.

While the big bounce-back is welcomed in the nation's third-largest apple-producing state, the bounty presents its own challenges: How do growers, packers and processors maximize storage to avoid flooding stores with the fruit, thus crashing the market and lowering growers' profits?

The answer, as it turns out, lies in getting the apples to go to sleep - and stay that way.

Two techniques - one relatively new, the other a play on time-tested refrigeration - are keeping apples fresh and flavorful longer than ever, with some varieties "sleeping" for as many as 9 to 10 months to keep consumers happy until the next harvest.


***make calvados.
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
62. hahaha
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 12:12 PM
Nov 2013

Apple cider has been cheap and plentiful this year (unlike last) and even used as a loss-leader.

The weather is so screwy, I have a primrose in bloom, a phlox sent out a reflowering, there are roses all over still going strong, if they are protected from frost and wind.

And the apples, and pears, and crab apples (not to mention my peaches, still in freezer waiting for me)! The deer will not be starving this year.

Michigan does have some cherry wineries, but nothing for calvados that I'm aware of.

PS: still looking for a single farmer with nice orchard on Lake Michigan....

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
50. Will China Really Become the World's Greatest Power? Don't Bet On It
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 08:59 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.theatlantic.com/china/archive/2013/11/will-china-really-become-the-worlds-greatest-power-dont-bet-on-it/281283/

BEIJING—This Saturday, Chinese President Xi Jinping will launch what is being billed as the most important conclave of Chinese leaders since 1978, the year that Deng Xiaoping transformed China from a dying Red giant into a market-driven dynamo. (“Seek truth from facts,” rather than communist ideology, he said.) The historic “Third Plenum” of Xi's term is meant to signal that he has consolidated power, decided on a direction for the country, and achieved consensus with the political class. Xi, a pragmatic, worldly apparatchik who likes to reminisce about the happy sabbatical he spent in Iowa as an agriculture student, is by all accounts immensely popular with the people, though of course true political polling doesn't exist in this still-censored country.

Although China's growth has stumbled this year in tandem with the global slowdown, Xi's ambitious reform agenda hopes to power its continued rise. China is already the world's second-biggest economy, after the United States; its purchasing power, as it shifts from a producing economy to a consuming economy, commands deference across the world. Xi pledges an economic and political transformation to weaken special-interest groups—including big, slow-moving state-owned enterprises, corrupt officials, huge bureaucracies, and kleptocratic local governments—that have acted recently as a drag on the country's otherwise remarkable economic ascent.

China's apotheosis, in other words, seems unstoppable. When the Pew Research Center surveyed 38,000 people in 39 countries over the summer, it found that the vast majority “believe the global balance of power is shifting ... China's economic power is on the rise, and many think it will eventually supplant the United States as the world's dominant superpower.” In Washington, the Obama administration has touted a “pivot” of U.S. interests to Asia that Beijing believes is intended to counter its ascent.

Yet there are just as many signs today that China is in deep trouble. America and the rest of the world should be less concerned about a rising China than about a sputtering—or even a crashing—China that could someday turn the world economy's greatest growth center into a global albatross.
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
63. As long as China holds off the banksters, it will survive
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 12:14 PM
Nov 2013

Unfortunately, the banksters are already busy corrupting the Elite and their children....


Word of advice to China: don't do what the US has done these past 75 years....

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
51. This Is the Biggest Mistake Republicans Make About Janet Yellen
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 09:03 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/11/this-is-the-biggest-mistake-republicans-make-about-janet-yellen/281231/


Republicans are stuck in 1980, but that's not far back enough for Ron Paul. He wants to drag them all the way back to 1932. And when it comes to the Fed, at least, he's already succeeded.

Now, the words "monetary policy" usually elicit a pretty predictable Pavlovian response. Yawning. Most people would rather talk about anything, really anything, other than interest rates and the money supply. (Try it sometime). That's why as recently as 2006 the Senate's Fed hearings were such a non-event. In fact, some senators were too bored to even notice they were going on. Here's what the New York Times said about Ben Bernanke's hearings at the time:

Senator George Allen of Virginia, who is considering a bid for the Republican presidential nomination in 2008, said when asked his opinion of the Bernanke nomination.

"For what?"

Told that Mr. Bernanke was up for the Fed chairman's job, Mr. Allen hedged a little, said he had not been focused on it, and wondered aloud when the hearings would be. Told that the Senate Banking Committee hearings had concluded in November, the senator responded: "You mean I missed them all? I paid no attention to them."

He was not the only one. Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona, regarded by some as a front-runner in 2008, also had no idea that the Bernanke hearings had come and gone.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
53. Fed Still Seen Tapering in March Even as Job Growth Picks Up
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 09:25 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-08/fed-still-seen-tapering-in-march-even-as-job-growth-accelerates.html

Economists still forecast the Federal Reserve will delay tapering asset purchases until March even after a report yesterday showed employers added more jobs than forecast in October.

Policy makers will pare the monthly pace of bond buying to $70 billion at their March 18-19 meeting from the current pace of $85 billion, according to the median of 32 economist estimates in a Bloomberg News survey yesterday. The median forecast in an Oct. 17-18 survey of 40 economists also called for a reduction to $70 billion in March.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted Oct. 30 to keep the pace unchanged, saying it needs more evidence of improvement in the economy. The jobs report probably isn’t enough to convince policy makers that it’s time to start tapering the quantitative easing program, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.

The strength of the payroll report “at least brings December back on the table, but in the end they’re not going to have enough evidence to pull the trigger,” said Stanley, a former Richmond Fed researcher. “Part of the reason they keep putting off any pullback in accommodation is that they’re continually disappointed in the outlook.”
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
64. They might get away with it, for a few months
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 12:16 PM
Nov 2013

April is when tax revenues start pouring in....but come June, it will hit like a nuke.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
54. 19 Unmistakable Signs That We're In Some Sort Of A Bubble
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 09:49 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/signs-were-in-a-bubble-2013-11?op=1


American financier J.P. Morgan is depicted as a bull, blowing soap bubbles for eager investors.

Bubbles. They arise, in part, from the maddeningly rational human feeling that it makes sense to overpay a little today because, whatever, I'll just sell tomorrow!
Or, put simply by Gawker's bubble-dabbler Hamilton Nolan, "Buy! Buy! Buy! Buy! High! High! High! High!"

"Tech startups with no revenue have billion-dollar valuations," writes our Jim Edwards. "And engineers are demanding Tesla sports cars just to show up at work."

There are, of course, tangible and empirical ways that economists determine bubblehood, but what fun is that?

A hedge fund hired pro surfer Joe Curren for marketing purposes


Google will now endeavor to cure Death


Billionaire Larry Ellison changed the yachting rules to price all the other rich guys out of the America's Cup


Ashton Kutcher played Steve Jobs in a movie, so naturally Lenovo hired him as a product engineer

DemReadingDU

(16,000 posts)
61. a talent agency for people good at Vine
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 11:02 AM
Nov 2013

There's now a talent agency for people good at Vine, an app that lets you shoot 6-second video clips



although that treadmill desk isn't such a bad idea

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
55. Thousands Of Greeks Hit The Streets To Protest Controversial Gold Mine
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 09:53 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/demonstrators-protest-greek-gold-mine-2013-11


Demonstrators shout slogans during a protest against a gold mine project in Thessaloniki, Greece on 9 November, 2013 on the World Day of Action against gold mines.

More than 5,000 people took to the streets of Greece's second-largest city on Saturday, police said, to protest against a controversial gold mine that has frayed relations in a northern village.
Protesters carried a banner reading "Toxic dust doesn't have boundaries. No to gold mines" in Thessaloniki, while in Athens, 500 more gathered to shout slogans denouncing police brutality they allege was directed at those who have taken action against the mine.

Opponents of the venture in Ierissos, a village on the tourist-friendly Halkidiki peninsula, believe it could poison groundwater supplies in the area.

Violent resistance has broken out repeatedly since government permission to break ground on the project was granted in 2011 to Hellenic Gold, a Greek subsidiary of Canadian mining firm Eldorado Gold.



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/demonstrators-protest-greek-gold-mine-2013-11#ixzz2kFbcctce

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
56. Here's Why Rising Interest Rates Won't Crush Corporate Profit Margins
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 09:59 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/interest-expenses-and-profit-margins-2013-11


That tumbling blue line has been awesome for profit margins.

The profit margin bears argue that record low rates are not sustainable and that rising rates will inevitably reverse recent profitability gains.

However, many market strategists think this is an oversimplistic way of considering the impact of rising rates. They give two reasons.

First, American companies have deleveraged their balance sheets after getting burned by the recent credit crisis.

"[A]lthough we could see interest rates rise from current depressed levels, we would still expect them to remain well below history," said Bank of America Merrill Lynch's Dan Suzuki earlier this year. "We also do not see any rush for corporations to meaningfully re-lever their balance sheets for the foreseeable future."




Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/interest-expenses-and-profit-margins-2013-11#ixzz2kFd0thLn

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
57. Russia Is In For Decades Of Painfully Slow Growth
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 10:12 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-expected-to-see-years-of-slow-growth-2013-11

Russia’s failure to significantly change its energy-dependent economic model under President Vladimir Putin is consigning the country to potentially decades of low growth and eroding its status as a top emerging economy.

The Russian economy ministry on Thursday dramatically confirmed what was obvious to many, by downgrading its estimate of Russia’s average growth to 2030 to a paltry 2.5 percent, a far cry from over seven percent rates in the early Putin years.

"The pace of Russia's economic growth will fall behind the global average in the forecast period," admitted Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev.

This year even Russia's official forecast puts 2013 growth at just 1.8 percent. But most worrying for the Kremlin is that the weakness cannot just be blamed on external factors but stems from domestic shortcomings.



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-expected-to-see-years-of-slow-growth-2013-11#ixzz2kFgOv3Vn

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
58. Portuguese civil servants strike to protest state budget
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 10:26 AM
Nov 2013
http://elpais.com/elpais/2013/11/08/inenglish/1383927785_124364.html

Portuguese civil servants went on strike on Friday to protest the center-right Social Democrat Party (PSD) government of Pedro Passos Coelho’s draft 2014 budget, which includes further pay cuts for public sector workers earning over 600 euros a month.

The stoppage, called by the Common Front of Public Administration Unions, which is linked to the Communist CGTP union, covered hospitals and health centers, schools and universities, law courts, government offices and garbage collection. The union put adherence to the strike early in the day at an average of over 70 percent. Public sector workers account for about 13 percent of the total active population.

Portugal has been rocked by a series of anti-government protests over the past month. There was also a strike by suburban and long-distance train employees on Thursday, which was partially adhered to. Lisbon subway workers have also be called to strike for the second time in less than 20 days on November 19.

As of the start of next year, public sector workers will see their monthly salaries reduced by between 2.5 and 12 percent depending on how much they earn. They are also being asked to work another hour per day bringing their working week to 40 hours. Civil servants’ pension entitlements are also to be reduced to bring them in line with those of the public sector. The budget also calls for spending cuts in a number of ministerial departments, including health and education.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
59. Industrial output expands for first time since start of 2011
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 10:31 AM
Nov 2013
http://elpais.com/elpais/2013/11/07/inenglish/1383834110_672292.html

Industrial output in Spain expanded for the first time in two-and-a-half years, providing further evidence that a recovery, albeit a timid one, is underway after the country’s longest recession in decades.

According to figures released Thursday by the National Statistics Institute (INE), the industrial production index expanded by annual 1.4 percent in September after correcting for the number of working days. That represented the first increase since February 2011.

The economy grew 0.1 percent on a quarterly basis in the period July-September after nine consecutive quarters of declines. However, the driver of growth was the export sector, with domestic demand remaining negative.

The rise in industrial output was impacted by the fact that value-added tax hikes were introduced in September of last year, which encouraged purchases in prior months to avoid the increase. This was reflected in the fact that in August, output declined 2.1 percent from a year earlier. In the first nine months of the year, production shrank by an average 2.5 percent from the same period a year earlier.

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
60. About 31% Of Chinese Couples Using Diamond Engagement Rings, Up From Zero In The ’90s
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 10:54 AM
Nov 2013
http://www.buzzfeed.com/sapna/about-31-of-chinese-couples-using-diamond-engagement-rings-u



Now for some news about sparkly things!

Citigroup analysts, in a report about the growing diamond market, say that a bunch of demand is coming from China, where diamond engagement rings have only just become a trend in the past 20 years.

About 31% of Chinese couples now use diamond engagement rings, though the practice, incredibly, was virtually nonexistent in the 1990s, the analysts wrote in the Nov. 7 note, citing data from De Beers. It’s a generational shift that some attribute to the connection between diamonds and romance in Western culture, and clearly, it’s occurred quite rapidly.



“Certain regions, such as Shanghai, have penetration as high as 62% of couples,” Citigroup analyst Oliver Chen wrote. It’s feasible that on average, it may become a tradition among 50% of couples in the medium-term, he wrote.
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
65. Did they mention how big that rock is, X?
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 12:20 PM
Nov 2013

You're an Aries, hence the fascination with your birth stone...

xchrom

(108,903 posts)
66. not that one -- i know a big pink diamond just sold in china for
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 12:22 PM
Nov 2013

way big money.

i'm all aries -- so i do love diamonds.

bread_and_roses

(6,335 posts)
67. I am going to be working on my blog
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 01:30 PM
Nov 2013

... so I will be around less. I'd started it a good while back - purely for my own pleasure, which is still the case. Words, sentences - they're like food to me. But a number of combined factors contributing to a pervasive weariness and depressed outlook took me away from it; I'd think of it now and again but not do anything. I've decided it will be good therapy. I went back to it today, deleted an entry I'd decided I didn't like, and started work on a new posting between starting some home-made bread. These are good things to do, for my mental health. I hadn't baked in a very long time either.

No one knows about my blog, but I'll post the link. There's only two entries. I am starting another one as well, as the first seems to be developing into a cooking-with-social-commentary theme. I have other themes I'd like to explore.

This is purely a keep-my-mind-from-ossifying exercise but it at least feels healthy and productive.

http://morebreadandroses.blogspot.com/

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
68. I like!
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 03:51 PM
Nov 2013

I cook for a client. She has a Better Homes and Gardens cookbook (date unknown, probably 50's) which I have found very helpful. Recipes for glazed blueberry pie (to die for!) and how to do a glazed strawberry pie without buying that horrible dyed red goop (not that difficult at all), among other things.

We try to recreate dishes she remembers her mother making...client is 70. so the recipes go back nearly a century...

At home, I rely on the 70's version of Fannie, although I recently found a copy of the previous edition, which my mother had, the one I started learning from. My own Fannie's in terrible shape...worn out, even.

bread_and_roses

(6,335 posts)
76. TY - and on Fannie Farmer
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 07:01 PM
Nov 2013

I have to keep my copy in a box - the cover is completely detached. It is priceless - to me - for the ads at the endpapers alone. I think I'll take photos of them, come to think of it, and post them some upcoming week.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
72. German parties reach deal on banking union
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 04:37 PM
Nov 2013
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/11/09/us-europe-banks-germany-idUSBRE9A808320131109

Angela Merkel's conservatives and the Social Democrats (SPD) have struck a deal on the contours of a European banking union under which a body attached to European finance ministers, not the European Commission, would decide when to close failing banks.

Several sources involved in coalition talks between the parties told Reuters the two camps had also agreed funds from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) should not be directly available for winding down financial institutions.

The sources said a number of legal questions needed to be resolved but the goal is to sign off on the agreement early next week so Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble can go to a meeting with his EU colleagues on Thursday with a firm German position on the issue.

The EU wants to agree a deal on bank resolution by year end but uncertainty over Berlin's stance after September's election that led to complex coalition talks has sowed doubts about whether it can meet the deadline...

IT SOUNDS LIKE A RECIPE FOR FAILURE. MORE MACHINATIONS AT LINK

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
73. Wall Street Is Buzzing About 'Optimal Control' — The Janet Yellen Approach To Monetary Policy
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 04:40 PM
Nov 2013

WHAT IS THIS, A COMMAND ECONOMY LIKE CHINA AND USSR?

http://www.businessinsider.com/what-is-optimal-control-2013-11

Since mid-September, when former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers withdrew his name from consideration to replace Ben Bernanke as chairman of the Federal Reserve next year, market participants have become increasingly interested in the policy views of current Fed vice-chair Janet Yellen, who is now set to take the reins at the central bank when Bernanke's term expires in January.

One item in particular has become the center of attention for those trying to figure out how a Yellen Fed will be different: the "optimal control" approach to monetary policymaking, as outlined by Yellen in a series of speeches last year.

Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan, sums up the idea succinctly in a recent report: "This approach starts with a forecast for the economy, and then solves a large-scale macroeconomic model to find the path of the funds rate that minimizes the deviation of inflation and unemployment from their respective targets." The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) targets an annual inflation rate of 2% over the long run and an unemployment rate of 6% (the latter number an estimate of the economy's "natural" unemployment rate).

Under the optimal control approach, the central bank would then use a model to calculate the optimal path of short-term interest rates in order to hit these targets. As long as unemployment is further away from the target level than inflation, then monetary policymakers would keep interest rates low in an attempt to correct this, even if it means inflation runs slightly above target for a while...

MORE

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
77. I GUESS IT'S A WRAP
Sun Nov 10, 2013, 07:43 PM
Nov 2013

Hope you all have a good week, now that Mercury is no longer retrograde, and confusion on our enemies, wherever, however they may be!

Sweet dreams of an early spring and a great victory for progressive politics!

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