Economy
Related: About this forumSTOCK MARKET WATCH -- Thursday, 14 May 2015
[font size=3]STOCK MARKET WATCH, Thursday, 14 May 2015[font color=black][/font]
SMW for 13 May 2015
AT THE CLOSING BELL ON 13 May 2015
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Dow Jones 18,060.49 -7.74 (-0.04%)
S&P 500 2,098.48 -0.64 (-0.03%)
[font color=green]Nasdaq 4,981.69 +5.50 (0.11%)
[font color=red]10 Year 2.29% +0.08 (3.62%)
30 Year 3.09% +0.10 (3.34%) [font color=black]
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Matt Taibi: Secret and Lies of the Bailout
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[font color=red]Partial List of Financial Sector Officials Convicted since 1/20/09 [/font][font color=red]
2/2/12 David Higgs and Salmaan Siddiqui, Credit Suisse, plead guilty to conspiracy involving valuation of MBS
3/6/12 Allen Stanford, former Caribbean billionaire and general schmuck, convicted on 13 of 14 counts in $2.2B Ponzi scheme, faces 20+ years in prison
6/4/12 Matthew Kluger, lawyer, sentenced to 12 years in prison, along with co-conspirator stock trader Garrett Bauer (9 years) and co-conspirator Kenneth Robinson (not yet sentenced) for 17 year insider trading scheme.
6/14/12 Allen Stanford sentenced to 110 years without parole.
6/15/12 Rajat Gupta, former Goldman Sachs director, found guilty of insider trading. Could face a decade in prison when sentenced later this year.
6/22/12 Timothy S. Durham, 49, former CEO of Fair Financial Company, convicted of one count conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, 10 counts of wire fraud, and one count of securities fraud.
6/22/12 James F. Cochran, 56, former chairman of the board of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and six counts of wire fraud.
6/22/12 Rick D. Snow, 48, former CFO of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and three counts of wire fraud.
7/13/12 Russell Wassendorf Sr., CEO of collapsed brokerage firm Peregrine Financial Group Inc. arrested and charged with lying to regulators after admitting to authorities he embezzled "millions of dollars" and forged bank statements for "nearly twenty years."
8/22/12 Doug Whitman, Whitman Capital LLC hedge fund founder, convicted of insider trading following a trial in which he spent more than two days on the stand telling jurors he was innocent
10/26/12 UPDATE: Former Goldman Sachs director Rajat Gupta sentenced to two years in federal prison. He will, of course, appeal. . .
11/20/12 Hedge fund manager Matthew Martoma charged with insider trading at SAC Capital Advisors, and prosecutors are looking at Martoma's boss, Steven Cohen, for possible involvement.
02/14/13 Gilbert Lopez, former chief accounting officer of Stanford Financial Group, and former controller Mark Kuhrt sentenced to 20 yrs in prison for their roles in Allen Sanford's $7.2 billion Ponzi scheme.
03/29/13 Michael Sternberg, portfolio mgr at SAC Capital, arrested in NYC, charged with conspiracy and securities fraud. Pled not guilty and freed on $3m bail.
04/04/13 Matthew Marshall Taylor,fmr Goldman Sachs trader arrested, charged by CFTC w/defrauding his employer on $8BN futures bet "by intentionally concealing the true huge size, as well as the risk and potential profits or losses associated."
04/04/13 Matthew Taylor admits guilt, makes plea bargain. Sentencing set for 26 June; faces up to 20 years in prison but will likely only see 3-4 years. Says, "I am truly sorry."
04/11/13 Ex-KPMG LLP partner Scott London charged by federal prosecutors w/passing inside tips to a friend in exchange for cash, jewelry, and concert tickets; expected to plead guilty in May.
08/01/13 Fabrice Tourré convicted on six counts of security fraud, including "aiding and abetting" his former employer, Goldman Sachs
08/14/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout charged with wire fraud, falsifying records, and conspiracy in connection with JP Morgan's "London Whale" trade.
08/19/13 Phillip A. Falcone, manager of hedge fund Harbinger Capital Partners, agrees to admit to "wrongdoing" in market manipulation. Will banned from securities industry for 5 years and pay $18MM in disgorgement and fines.
09/16/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout officially indicted on charges associated with "London Whale" trade.
02/06/14 Matthew Martoma convicted of insider trading while at hedge fund SAC (Stephen A. Cohen) Capital Advisors. Expected sentence 7-10 years.
03/24/14 Annette Bongiorno, Bernard Madoff's secretary; Daniel Bonventre, director of operations for investments; JoAnn Crupi, an account manager; and Jerome O'Hara and George Perez, both computer programmers convicted of conspiracy to defraud clients, securities fraud, and falsifying the books and records.
05/19/14 Credit Suisse, which has an investment bank branch in NYC, agrees to plead guilty and pay appx. $2.6 billion penalties for helping wealthy Americans hide wealth and avoid taxes.
09/08/14 Matthew Martoma, convicted SAC trader, sentenced to 9 years in prison plus forfeiture of $9.3 million, including home and bank accounts
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[font size=3][font color=red]This thread contains opinions and observations. Individuals may post their experiences, inferences and opinions on this thread. However, it should not be construed as advice. It is unethical (and probably illegal) for financial recommendations to be given here.[/font][/font][/font color=red][font color=black]
Demeter
(85,373 posts)You can call it "misleading" or "offering half-truths," but when push comes to a shove, these are lies...President Obama has been deliberately antagonizing his critics, mostly liberal Democrats. Senator Elizabeth Warren is a politician, like everybody else, Obama said Friday to Yahoo News, who has got a voice that she wants to get out there, framing her concerns as insincere self-aggrandizement. Those concerns, Obama added, are absolutely wrong. This is not the first time that Obama and his aides have depicted opposition on trade as deliberate misinformation designed to stir up a left-leaning political base, or generate campaign contributions; my favorite is the claim that Warren is merely trying to energize a non-existent Presidential campaign. Its beneath the dignity of the Presidency to so aggressively paint opponents as not just wrong on the facts, but hiding the truth on purpose. Warren has responded without using the same indecorous tactics. Unfortunately, I dont have the same self-control. So by way of response, here are ten moments where the President or his subordinates have lied call it misled or offered half-truths or whatever; but Im in an ornery mood so lets just say lied about his trade agenda:
1. 40 PERCENT: The President and his team have repeatedly described TPP as a deal involving nearly 40 percent of global GDP. This tells only part of the story. First of all, the U.S. by itself represents 22 percent of global GDP; a bill naming a post office would involve that much. Second, we already have free trade agreements with six TPP partners Canada, Mexico, Australia, Singapore, Chile and Peru and between them and us, thats 80 percent of the total GDP in this deal. The vast majority of the rest is represented by Japan, where the average applied tariff is a skinny 1.2 percent, per the World Bank.
You can see this paragraph in graphic form here. The point is that saying TPP is about 40 percent of GDP intimates that it would massively change the ability to export without tariffs. In reality it would have virtually no significance in opening new markets. To the extent that theres a barrier in global trade today, it comes from currency manipulation by countries wanting to keep their exports cheap. The TPP has no currency provisions.
2. JOB CREATION: Saying, as the White House has, that the deal would support an additional 650,000 jobs is not true. This figure came from a hypothetical calculation of a report by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, which the Institute itself said was an incorrect way to use their data. We dont believe that trade agreements change the labor force in the long run, said Peter Petri, author of the report, in a fact check of the claim. The deal is actually more about building up barriers than taking them down. Much of TPP is devoted to increasing copyright and patent protections for prescription drugs and Hollywood media content. As economist Dean Baker notes, this is protectionist, and will raise prices for drugs, movies and music here and abroad.
3. EXPORTS ONLY: The Administration constantly discusses trade as solely a question of U.S. exports. A recent Council of Economic Advisors report touts: Exporters pay higher wages, and export industry growth translates into higher average earnings. But the Economic Policy Institute points out that this ignores imports, and therefore the ballooning trade deficit, which weighs down economic growth and wages. Talking about trade without discussing both imports and exports is like relaying the score of a ballgame by saying Dodgers 4. It is literally a half-truth. Recent trade deals have in fact increased the trade deficit, such as the agreement with South Korea. Senator Sherrod Brown notes that the deal has only increased exports by $1 billion since 2011, while increasing imports by $12 billion, costing America 75,000 jobs.
4. MOST PROGRESSIVE: Obama has called TPP the most progressive trade deal in history. First of all, so did Bill Clinton and Al Gore, when talking about NAFTA in 1993. Second, theres reason to believe TPP doesnt even clear a low bar for progressive trade deals. The Sierra Club, based on a leaked TPP environmental chapter, said that the deal is weaker than the landmark May 10 agreement for deals with Peru, Panama and Colombia, struck in 2007. Key Democrats who devised labor and environmental standards for those agreements, like Rep. Sander Levin, believe that TPP falls short. Even if the chapters were up to par, consistent lack of enforcement of the rules makes them ineffective. The U.S. Trade Representative has actually claimed the Colombia free trade agreement is positive because only one trade unionist in the country is being murdered every other week. Labor groups can only ask the White House to enforce labor rights violations, and for the past several years, the Administration simply hasnt. So when Obama says violators of TPP will face meaningful consequences, based on the Administrations prior enforcement, hes lying.
5. CHANGING LAWS: On the controversial topic of Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS), where corporations can sue sovereign governments for monetary damages for violating trade agreements that hurt the companys expected future profits, the White House has engaged in a shell game. They say, No trade agreement is going to force us to change our laws. But the point of a corporation suing the United States or any trade partner is to put enough financial pressure on a government to force them to alter the law themselves. So ISDS doesnt cause a change in law only in the narrowest sense. Even third-party countries have curtailed regulations in reaction to ISDS rulings, as New Zealand did with their cigarette packaging law, awaiting the outcome of a dispute between the tobacco industry and Australia (a suit that continues despite an initial victory for Australia).
6. NEVER LOST: The White House assumes that the only thing America cares about with ISDS is the upsetting of our own laws. So theyve stressed that the U.S. has never lost an ISDS case. This is irrelevant. What ISDS does is offer bailout insurance policy to multinational corporations. If they run into discrimination or regulatory squeezing by a foreign government, they can use an extra-judicial process to recoup their investment. Workers screwed over by trade agreements have no ability to sue governments; only corporations get this privilege. The United States attracts businesses through our relative rule of law. When that insurance is granted to countries like Vietnam and Malaysia, it weakens our competitive advantage, and makes it simple for countries to outsource their operations. Their investment is protected, as is their ability to exploit cheap labor. This makes it impossible for America to compete.
7. WEAKENING DODD-FRANK: Obama reacted strongly to Senator Warrens charge that a future President could overturn financial regulations or other rules through trade deals. Id have to be pretty stupid, Obama told Yahoo News, to sign a provision that would unravel signature achievements like Dodd-Frank. I suppose he is, then, because modern trade agreements often seek to harmonize regulations, effectively setting a regulatory ceiling. This harmonization could, as Warren says, punch holes in Dodd-Frank without directly repealing it, by forcing regulators to roll back capital or leverage requirements.
European negotiators want a trade agreement with the U.S. called the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) to include a chapter harmonizing financial regulations. So far the Obama Administration has rejected this, while admitting the potential for regulatory harm. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew told Congress in December 2013, Normally in a trade agreement, the pressure is to lower standards on regulations, and thats something that we just think is not acceptable. A future President might find it acceptable, and todays vote on fast-track authority would give trade deals an expedited process, with no amendments or filibusters by Congress, for six years, outlasting the current Administration. Scott Walker or Jeb Bush may decide its perfectly appropriate to undermine regulations in trade deals.
8. STOPPING CHINA: President Obama frequently casts TPP as a way to contain China. If we dont write the rules for trade around the world, guess what, China will, he said on Friday. This is so facile as to be totally meaningless. China is a major Pacific Rim economy, and will have a presence regardless of our actions. As former Clinton Defense Department official Chas Freeman writes, China has been and will remain an inseparable part of Chinas success story. Plus, as Ive written in Salon, weak rule of origin guidelines could allow China to import goods into TPP member countries without any tariffs, while freed from following any TPP regulations.
9. SECRET DEAL: Obama has angrily dismissed the notion that TPP is a secret deal, saying that everyone will have public access to the TPP text for at least 60 days before a final vote. This is not the point opponents are making. The vote on fast track would severely limit Congressional input into the deal. And right now, members of Congress can only see the text in a secure room, without being able to bring staffers or take notes, or even talk about specifics in public. That makes the deal effectively secret during the fast track vote. The president has only committed to letting the public see this deal after Congress votes to authorize fast track, Warren told Greg Sargent. The President wants to filibuster-proof the bill in secret, then employ pretend transparency on TPP after that.
10. JUST A POLITICIAN: This idea from Obama that everybody opposing fast-track is acting like a mere politician, aside from demonizing the concept of representing constituents, neglects the fact that hes a politician too. His interest in building a legacy, when practically nothing else has the potential to pass Congress the next two years, is a political interest. His possible interest in rewarding campaign contributors who would benefit from TPP is also political, or his desire to earn the respect of the Very Serious People who always support trade deals. Since Obama has a large platform and will not publicly debate any opponent on trade, he can float above it all, acting like a principled soul only wanting to better the country rather than a transactional ward heeler. This may be the biggest lie, that Obamas somehow superior to everyone else in this debate.
David Dayen is a contributing writer for Salon. Follow him on Twitter at @ddayen.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)THAT'S NOT A BUG, IT'S A FEATURE!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/greg-autry/stupid-trade-gets-dangerous-tpp_b_7245966.html
The White House claims that Obama's Trans-Pacific Partnership would help counter China's growing economic and military threat. Many Republicans, including nominal pro-defense patriots, are curiously supportive of the President in this case. Ironically bipartisan trade policy created our China problem in the first place and this latest love fest demonstrates a shocking lack of appreciation for a primary source of American military strength, productive capacity.
America has stubbornly pursued trade agreements without any regard to strategic industrial policy. Regardless of the party in the White House we've maintained a truly gullible approach to the rough-and-tumble of real-world global commerce. That has earned us little besides a half-century of growing net losses. The countries beating us worst are the ones with actual industrial strategies: Germany, Japan, South Korea and China. Today we are now bleeding 4 percent of GDP annually. To cover those we've sold our assets and accumulated a debt unknown in human history.
During this period, our competitors have maintained a laser like focus on capturing U.S. manufacturing jobs and while the free trade pundits are quick to dismiss manufacturing as irrelevant, the resulting erosion of America's industrial base has serious strategic implications. Maintaining military production in a "service economy" is simply farcical.
Sophisticated systems require healthy and diversified supply chains. The efficient production of specialized, low volume products, like military aircraft, depends on supporting industries that provide a sustained demand for subcomponents, services and factors of production. A nation efficiently producing jets and submarines must also have domestic demand for steel, aluminum, carbon fiber, precision machined parts, hydraulics and electronics. Production of these materials at a sustainable level depends on markets in things like aircraft, autos, boats and consumer electronics.
Meanwhile, our growing public debt and entitlement obligations foretell ever-shrinking defense budgets. Military production must become more efficient and consequently more integrated with the commercial supply chain in order to capture economies of scale. That this supply chain is increasingly out of American control should seriously concern supposedly conservative members of Congress. Significant wars are settled by productive capacity...MORE
ONE HAS TO WONDER IF ANY THINKING GOES ON IN DC AT ALL ANY MORE...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Many on Wall Street have long argued that the banks did not generally break the law when they packaged shoddy mortgages and sold them to investors in the lead-up to the financial crisis of 2008.
But on Monday, in the starkest of terms, a federal judge dealt a strong blow to that version of history. She ruled that two banks misled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in selling them mortgage bonds that contained numerous errors and misrepresentations.
The magnitude of falsity, conservatively measured, is enormous, Judge Denise L. Cote of Federal District Court in Manhattan wrote in a scathing 361-page decision.
The ruling came in a closely watched case brought by the government against the Japanese bank Nomura Holdings and Royal Bank of Scotland. They were the only two of 18 financial firms that took their case to trial, arguing that it was the housing crash, and not deceptive loan documents, that caused the bonds to collapse. The other firms including Goldman Sachs and Bank of America settled, together paying nearly $18 billion in penalties but avoiding a detailed public airing of their conduct.
MORE--WHAT WERE THEY THINKING?
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan added hidden fees to hospital claims
If you think youre paying too much for employer-sponsored health coverage, you might want to forward this to the HR department. Its possible, maybe even likely, that your health insurer has been ripping off both you and your employerto the tune of several million dollars every yearfor decades.
Many Americans, according to various polls, blame Obamacare for every hike in premiums despite the fact that the rate of increase for most folks was actually greater before 2010, the year the law went into effect.
Health insurers are delighted that many folks blame Obamacare for rate increases because it deflects attention away from them and, according to documents made public in a recent lawsuit against a big Blue Cross plan, the questionable activities theyve been engaging in for years to boost profits.
It turns out that one of the reasons workers have been paying more for their coverage is allegedly a common practice among insurers: charging their employer customers unlawful hidden fees. The fees came to light when Hi-Lex Controls, an automotive technology company, took Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM) to court in 2013 after becoming suspicious that the company had been systematically cheating it over 19 years. After reviewing evidence in the case, a judge ordered that BCBSM stop charging the hidden fees and pay Hi-Lex $6.1 million.
THIS IS A GOOD ONE...READ ON!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)A Central California woman claims she was fired after uninstalling an app that her employer required her to run constantly on her company issued iPhonean app that tracked her every move 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Plaintiff Myrna Arias, a former Bakersfield sales executive for money transfer service Intermex, claims in a state court lawsuit that her boss, John Stubits, fired her shortly after she uninstalled the job-management Xora app that she and her colleagues were required to use. According to her suit (PDF) in Kern County Superior Court:
Intermex did not immediately respond for comment.
The suit, which claims invasion of privacy, retaliation, unfair business practices, and other allegations, seeks damages in excess of $500,000 and asserts she was monitored on the weekends when she was not working.
Arias' boss "scolded" her for uninstalling the app shortly after being required to use it, according to the suit. Her attorneys said the woman made $7,250 per month and that she "met all quotas" during a brief stint with Intermex last year. "This intrusion would be highly offensive to a reasonable person," the filing said.
Arias' attorney, Gail Glick, said in a Monday e-mail to Ars that the app allowed her client's "bosses to see every move the employees made throughout the day."
Demeter
(85,373 posts)DOES THIS ACTUALLY WORK? I EXPECT IT DOES ONLY IF IT'S ONE IDIOT TO ANOTHER...BASED ON MY OBSERVATION AND EXPERIENCE.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)AND SO, THE RED RASCAL WAS BORN....
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Guess i'm one of those old farts I talk about.
My mind thinks I'm still 30. My body says
Then later it says,
bread_and_roses
(6,335 posts)May you enjoy many more in good health and happiness.
I will be 65 in October .... this year, for the first time, I've become aware of being perceived and treated as an "old woman." It's not fun - especially since I, too, still think I'm 30... (insert same ROFL +++)
This treatment is the main reason I'll be "retiring" in October .... my job is truly a young person's game (and mostly a young man's game). I will still work (I can't really afford to retire) - but not at the same place or at the same pace.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Congratulations Doc!
May your next year be better than your last, and so forth!
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Many don't seem to be paying attention to what is going on around the world. I don't get why they all text each other so much, and post those mundane things on Facebook and twitter.
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)I still feel like a college co-ed, until I look in the mirror. Lol!
Have a great day!
mother earth
(6,002 posts)Hotler
(11,445 posts)I turned sixty this past January and it seems like I was in my 30's just yesterday. I'm not taking my getting old very gracefully, kicking and screaming all the way.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)@#$%^&*^%$#@
It's not on the grass, just the roofs and cars, but still. I hope the peaches were all nicely pollinated and safe from harm, and the marigolds I just bought sheltered enough so as to be not affected. Guess I'll have to do an inspection this afternoon. Who knew it could frost at 38F? The Dew Point is only 35F. Sigh.
Saturday, we are back to 80+F.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Anybody have an ax they wish to grind? I don't think I had a topic...if I did, it's gone.
Events this week have been inconclusive, and have provided no inspiration, or too massive to fit into a weekend...
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Has the topic been done?
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Last edited Thu May 14, 2015, 09:15 AM - Edit history (1)
5/12/15 Being A Loyal Auto Insurance Customer Can Cost You
Many companies reward their most loyal customers with incentives, discounts and freebies. But in car insurance, the opposite can actually happen. A driver can be punished with a higher premium just for being loyal to the company.
It's called price optimization, and it happens to lots of people all the time. A driver could have no history of accidents but all of a sudden their car insurance goes up.
Justin Mulholland is a financial adviser whose company manages money for people at the University of Michigan. He owns a Ford Focus, a Buick LeSabre and a Chevy Venture. He got a pretty good rate from the insurance company he chose. And for two years, all was well. Then he received a notice that his premium was going up. The increase "was pretty substantial it was about $100 a year," Mulholland says.
.
.
"Well, it's really profit maximization," says Bob Hunter, with the Consumer Federation of America. He says insurance companies can buy software that compiles an astonishing amount of data on everyone who buys almost anything, anywhere. "They have all the information on what you buy at your grocery store. How many apples, how many beers, how many steaks," he says. "They have all the information on your house. They have incredible amounts of information on are you staying with DirecTV when Verizon is cheaper."
A sophisticated algorithm crunches that data and spits out an index showing how sensitive a customer is to price increases. Only the insurance company knows the index. Clients may see a loyalty discount on their premiums but Hunter says it may not be what it seems. "They'll give you a discount for loyalty," Hunter says. "But, they'll give you a 10 percent discount after they've raised your rate 25 percent."
This can mean as much as a 30 percent rate difference between two drivers with the same risks. Only one's a shopper and one's not.
.
.
Among the major insurance companies we contacted, only Progressive and State Farm told us they don't price optimize.
more...
http://www.npr.org/2015/05/08/403598235/being-a-loyal-auto-insurance-customer-can-cost-you
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)And that's with no tickets or accidents. They've been going up since I switched a few years ago, but this is getting ridiculous.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,600 posts)Source: Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration
Read More: http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/eta20150933.pdf
News Release
TRANSMISSION OF MATERIALS IN THIS RELEASE IS EMBARGOED UNTIL 8:30 A.M. (Eastern) Thursday, May 14, 2015
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA
In the week ending May 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 264,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 265,000. The 4-week moving average was 271,750, a decrease of 7,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 279,500. This is the lowest level for this average since April 22, 2000 when it was 266,750.
There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.7 percent for the week ending May 2, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending May 2 was 2,229,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up 1,000 from 2,228,000 to 2,229,000. The 4-week moving average was 2,260,250, a decrease of 11,500 from the previous week's revised average. This is the lowest level for this average since December 2, 2000 when it was 2,241,000. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 2,271,500 to 2,271,750.
....
UNADJUSTED DATA
....
The total number of people claiming benefits in all programs for the week ending April 25 was 2,254,647, a decrease of
79,635 from the previous week. There were 2,705,019 persons claiming benefits in all programs in the comparable week
in 2014.