Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

mahatmakanejeeves

(57,460 posts)
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 08:28 PM Dec 2021

November jobs report preview: Payrolls likely grew by 548,000 as unemployment rate falls to 4.5%

Last edited Fri Dec 3, 2021, 09:03 AM - Edit history (2)

Tomorrow's news today

Yahoo Finance

November jobs report preview: Payrolls likely grew by 548,000 as unemployment rate falls to 4.5%

Emily McCormick · Reporter
Thu, December 2, 2021, 2:57 PM · 5 min read

The November jobs report is expected to underscore the tightness of the present labor market, with payroll gains accelerating slightly and the unemployment rate ticking down further during the month. And with labor shortages still rampant, economists are also predicting another hot print on wage growth.

The Labor Department is set to release its November jobs report Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics expected from the print based on consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg:

Non-farm payrolls: +548,000 expected, +531,000 in October

Unemployment rate: 4.5% expected, 4.6% in October

Average hourly earnings, month-over-month: 0.4% expected, 0.4% in October

Average hourly earnings, year-over-year: 5.0% expected, 4.9% in October

U.S. employers have added back jobs on net in every month so far in 2021 as vaccinations, reopenings and a recovery in the high-contact services industries helped boost hiring. At 550,000, the expected non-farm payrolls increase for November would mark a back-to-back month that job gains came in above the psychologically important half-million level. It would also represent the most jobs added back since July.

But despite the solid rehiring throughout the year, labor force participation remains short of pre-pandemic levels. As of October, the civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants, compared to February 2020. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but still coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.

Economists have attributed the stubbornly depressed participation rate to a host of factors, including lingering concerns about COVID-19 infections, difficulties finding child care and a desire by many workers to leave their jobs and pursue roles with more flexibility, wages or benefits. With the latest emergence of the Omicron variant, these myriad factors may further inhibit a rebound in labor force participation.

Story continues

{edited}

The banner on Yahoo! Finance's main page, Friday morning:

CO‌MING UP | November jobs report: Payrolls likely grew by 550,000 and unemployment rate fell to 4.5%
Check back for results at 8:30 a.m.

The article's headline was tweaked.

Yahoo Finance

November jobs report preview: Payrolls likely grew by 550,000 as unemployment rate falls to 4.5%

Emily McCormick · Reporter
Thu, December 2, 2021, 2:57 PM

{snip}
Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Economy»November jobs report prev...