Induced climate change ‘tug of war’ keeps scientists guessing on storm tracks
http://www.exeter.ac.uk/news/featurednews/title_541090_en.html[font face=Serif][font size=5]Induced climate change tug of war keeps scientists guessing on storm tracks[/font]
[font size=4]The effects of man-made climate change can hamper scientific projections of how key global weather patterns will act in the future, a new study has revealed.[/font]
[font size=3]The pivotal study, carried out by a team of international researchers, has shown that multiple environmental influences can stymie predictions of how mid-latitude storms could behave.
Professor Mark Baldwin, Head of Mathematics at the University of Exeter and co-author of the paper said: The study frames the important problem of what factors influence the paths of storms, and explores the possible future changes to storms and precipitation as climate changes.
Specifically, the study looks at how a series of environmental forces such as enhanced surface warming in the Arctic known as Arctic amplification will impact the position of storm tracks. These are regions where storms travel from west to east across oceans and continents, driven by the prevailing jet stream.
Crucially, such major changes could significantly impact many of the most iconic cities worldwide including New York, Chicago, London, Tokyo, Cape Town and Melbourne because they shape temperature, precipitation and extreme weather.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2783