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hatrack

(59,592 posts)
Mon May 26, 2014, 08:52 AM May 2014

OSU Glaciologist John Mercer (d. 1987) Predicted WAIS Meltdown In 1978 In Nature Article

COLUMBUS — Thirty-six years after catching flak for one of the most bold and dire predictions about global warming, former Ohio State University glaciologist John H. Mercer is being hailed as a visionary. Mr. Mercer was hardly the first to sound an alarm about greenhouse gases: Scientists were well on their way by the late 1950s toward connecting mankind’s burning of fossil fuels to Earth’s changing climate.

But Mr. Mercer made a groundbreaking contribution with a peer-reviewed research paper about West Antarctica’s instability he got published on Jan. 26, 1978, in the scientific journal Nature.

In it, he warned the world that West Antarctica’s massive ice sheet — one of Earth’s largest and most important — would eventually melt from beneath, become dislodged, and cause global sea levels to rise 5 meters, the equivalent of nearly 16.5 feet.That, in turn, would result in mass flooding and chaos across the globe.

“I contend that a major disaster — a rapid 5-meter rise in sea level, caused by deglaciation of West Antarctica — may be imminent or in progress after atmospheric CO2 [carbon dioxide] content has only doubled. This concentration of CO2 will be reached within about 50 years if fossil fuel continues to be consumed at its recent accelerating rate, or within about 200 years if consumption is held constant at today’s level,” Mr. Mercer wrote in his paper.

EDIT

http://www.toledoblade.com/Education/2014/05/25/Eccentric-OSU-scientist-vindicated-on-melting.html

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OSU Glaciologist John Mercer (d. 1987) Predicted WAIS Meltdown In 1978 In Nature Article (Original Post) hatrack May 2014 OP
Smartest man in the room. Might want to listen to him. postulater May 2014 #1
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