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hatrack

(59,590 posts)
Sat Jul 18, 2015, 09:40 AM Jul 2015

With June 2015 Tied For Hottest June Ever, 2015 Likely To Smash Record For Hottest Year Ever

NASA reported Wednesday that this was the hottest June on record (tied with 1998). And it’s now all but certain 2015 will be the hottest year on record, probably by a wide margin — as what increasingly appears to be one of the strongest El Niños in 50 years boosts the underlying global warming trend.

Climate expert Dr. John Abraham amended this NASA chart to show how the first six months of 2015 compares to the annual temperatures of previous years:



The gap between 2015 and all other years seen in that chart is likely to grow because the El Niño that NOAA announced a few months ago has been growing stronger — and it is projected to grow even stronger and last the entire year. The rising ocean temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, which are characteristic of an El Niño, just keep rising. “Confidence continues to grow that this El Niño will be one of the stronger El Niños over the past 50 years,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said Thursday.

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) junkies should be following the Twitter feed of the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate & Society, where you will learn “Last week’s NINO3.4 temps were ~+1.5. If that level holds for the month of July, the #ElNino will be considered a strong event” and “#ElNino forecast is off the charts! Both dynam & stats models calling for stronger event than last month.”

EDIT

There is a greater than 85 percent chance that the current El Niño lasts through May. As AccuWeather’s Anderson explains, “El Niño typically reaches its peak during the December through February period.” If this pattern plays out, then 2016 would likely top whatever temperature record 2015 sets — again, possibly by a wide margin. After all, the blowout temperature year in the 1997/1998 super El Niño was 1998.

EDIT

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/07/17/3681260/june-2015-hottest-year-record/

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With June 2015 Tied For Hottest June Ever, 2015 Likely To Smash Record For Hottest Year Ever (Original Post) hatrack Jul 2015 OP
I'm waiting for the mini-Ice Age, myself. All this science stuff is too confusing. Shrike47 Jul 2015 #1
Don't worry, I know the solution to this pressing problem NickB79 Jul 2015 #2

Shrike47

(6,913 posts)
1. I'm waiting for the mini-Ice Age, myself. All this science stuff is too confusing.
Sat Jul 18, 2015, 10:00 AM
Jul 2015

Between the projected earthquake in the Pacific Northwest and the damned drought, i'drather not think about global wearing. My plan is to adopt the Republican approach and say anything inconvenient is just a lie.

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