Kremlin Fears Mutiny: National Guard Reassigned - Jason Jay Smart

[TexasTowelie]

Vladimir Putin has just signed the decree that establishes the General Staff inside of Rosgvardiya, Russia’s National Guard. This transforms the domestic riot force into a fully independent Second Army. It now has its own war room, its own intelligence directorate, and its own heavy armor.

This decision fundamentally fuses domestic control with battlefield command. When riot forces begin answering directly to war planners, the state signals significant internal strain. This is a structural rewiring: domestic coercion is being plugged into wartime command to keep the center stable.

What follows is a forensic look at what happens when a state centralizes coercion and command. Rosgvardia is the blunt instrument for internal order. The Russian FSB is the apparatus for surveillance, investigations, and loyalty enforcement. Centralization also centralizes blame. That flips incentives across the bureaucracy: reporting warps, scapegoats multiply, reshuffles accelerate, and crackdowns intensify to enforce obedience.

We trace the enforcement chain from decree to street-level action, and show how tightening control drains war capacity. Internal policing consumes manpower. It shifts attention toward domestic threats, and it forces the state to guard fuel, depots, communications, and logistics hubs that used to be assumed safe. The result is command overload and institutional friction, producing visible mistakes and exploitable seams. Watch for tighter digital controls, higher-profile discipline cases, and faster leadership churn inside the security services. These are indicators of a state turning inward to hold itself together.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro: Putin Expands Rosgvardia’s Role
02:09 - Russia’s Economic Collapse: Sanctions & Elite Paranoia
03:31 - Kremlin Loyalty Crisis: Putin’s Bodyguard & Zolotov
04:10 - Ukraine’s Deep Strikes: The Kotluban Ammo Explosion
04:45 - Russian Saboteurs: The Fight to Overthrow Putin
05:13 - Prigozhin’s Ghost: Why Putin Fears the Military
07:13 - Russia’s Logistics Nightmare: Fuel & Ammo Chokepoints
09:00 - Tanks in Moscow: Preparing for Russian Civil War
10:34 - Kremlin Panic: Ukraine’s Strategy for a Putin-less Russia
11:51 - Putin’s New NKVD: Stalin-Style Internal Control
14:04 - Russia’s Total Breakdown: Military Exhaustion & Rear Control