Iran Holds All the Nuclear Cards
Seizing Iran's enriched uranium is nearly impossible. Many soldiers could die trying.
Joe Cirincione
Mar 22, 2026
When I was a kid, I saw The Guns of Navarone in our local theater. A band of intrepid Army commandos infiltrate an impregnable Nazi base to blow up long-range artillery threatening Allied forces when air raids fail to destroy them. It may be the fantasy that Donald Trump had in mind when he imagines sending the 82nd Airborne or Maine Expeditionary Units to the Iranian city of Isfahan to take out the 440kg of highly-enriched uranium (HEU) Iran is believed to store there.
Even if the troops were led by the likes of Gregory Peck, David Niven and Anthony Quinn (who star in the film) the mission is nearly impossible. On Saturday, I discussed why on MS Now with host Erielle Rashef. Please click on the video below to see why.
"Trump may have brought us to the worst of all possible worlds: making a negotiated solution impossible with his ever escalating demands, but have over-estimated the feasibility of a military solution. So, too, with the failure to prevent the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the economic catastrophe it causes.
U.S. forces have had weeks of tactical success but we may be facing strategic defeat. Iran is left holding all the nuclear cards with the strategic balance shifting decisively in its favor."
https://open.substack.com/pub/joecirincione/p/iran-holds-all-the-nuclear-cards