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TexasTowelie

(127,556 posts)
Sun Apr 12, 2026, 10:22 AM 18 hrs ago

No Deal - Joe Blogs



The latest round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has ended with no deal after more than 21 hours of intense talks — and the implications for the global economy could be significant.

In this video, I break down exactly what happened during the marathon discussions, why both sides failed to reach an agreement, and what this means for oil prices, global markets, and the outlook for 2026.

The key sticking points remain unchanged. Iran is refusing to halt its uranium enrichment programme, which the US and Israel believe could be used to develop nuclear weapons. At the same time, Iran is not agreeing to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz or provide the security guarantees needed to restore confidence in global shipping routes.

This is critical because the Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important energy chokepoints in the world. Even small disruptions to tanker traffic can have a major impact on global oil and gas supply.

At the start of the talks, there were signs of progress, with some tankers successfully transiting the Strait. But following the collapse in negotiations, reports suggest that vessels are once again turning around, avoiding the region due to rising risks.

That puts us right back where we started.

Markets had rallied on hopes of a ceasefire and a diplomatic resolution, but with talks now failing and tensions still high across the region, those expectations are being reassessed.

In this update, I explain:

• Why the US-Iran talks failed after 21 hours
• The three major sticking points in negotiations
• What’s happening in the Strait of Hormuz right now
• Why oil prices could rise again towards $100
• The impact on inflation, energy costs, and global supply chains
• What this means for the global economy in 2026

Even if the conflict doesn’t escalate further, significant damage has already been done. And the longer this situation continues, the greater the risk to markets, trade, and economic growth worldwide.
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