Foreign Affairs
Related: About this forumU.S. officials: Assad losses in Syria could become ISIS gains
Washington (CNN)Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's momentum in fighting off rebel groups has decreased, but should his regime crumble, Syria could face greater instability and control by extremist groups, U.S. security officials are warning.
They attribute the gains of rebel fighters in part to their acquiring more battleground experience as well as the ability to use advanced tactics. There are also signs that moderate forces have become more coherent in their organization, making Assad more vulnerable.
But the officials pointed out that the U.S. will still have trouble identifying moderate partners while extremist groups such as al Qaeda affiliate al Nusra and ISIS, also known as ISIL, try to take advantage of any cracks in the government's control.
The Syrian regime's "momentum has been slowed," according to Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey. "I do believe the situation is trending less favorably for the regime."
The shift has occurred in the last several weeks, Dempsey recently told reporters. Rebels have scored gains in both the north and south of Syria.
"What it might mean for the nation of Syria is further instability," he said, "for power to suddenly transfer precipitously. And it could mean an even increased humanitarian crisis."
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/05/11/politics/syria-bashar-assad-isis-nusra-moderates/
KoKo
(84,711 posts)We are relying on Iran, Russia and Hezbollah to help stabilize Syria. I hope this means that U.S. policy is not to allow Syria to into humanitarian crisis like the rest of MENA, even if Assad stays in power. Still, what is our involvement with Saudia Arabia in the Yemen crisis? Are we working with the Saudi's on the one hand and Iran, Russia and Hezbollah on the other?