African American
Related: About this forumThe Cochran/McDaniel Mississppi Primary provides worrisome signs ...
regarding voter engagement and the 2014 voter turn-out numbers ... though it SHOULD be worrisome for the gop, not the Democratic Party.
In the Mississippi republican primary run-off, the African-American voter turn-out was 43% (this is higher than the 2012 primaries where there were Democratic contenders) ... and there wasn't even a Democratic candidate (which African-Americans typically support) to vote for!
I suspect pollsters are questioning, if not tossing, their mid-term models that have the African-American turn-out, (historically) low, as there is no question that the (Mississippi) Black vote is engaged, informed and acting
strategically.
If McDaniel mounts a 3rd-party challenge of Cochran in the General election, I predict a Democratic steal ... if the youth and woman vote turns out (and the older white male vote, wouldn't hurt). Unfortunately, I haven't seen any poll analysis of the youth vote or the woman vote.
Likewise, if this pattern holds nationally, particularly in "battle-ground" states, the gop will have real problems ... despite what the pundits say.
JustAnotherGen
(31,879 posts)And on this I definitely agree -
I suspect pollsters are questioning, if not tossing, their mid-term models that have the African-American turn-out, (historically) low, as there is no question that the (Mississippi) Black vote is engaged, informed and acting strategically.
They have had a lot of challenges thrown up against them in Mississippi. If they will get out there and 'disrupt' - who else will get out there and 'disrupt'.
One thing that's going to work for us in NJ this year is that we won't have to back to back (with a few weeks of each other) major elections.
We've only got one day this year - and Booker is a shoe in. We get folks ramped up to vote for him again - and get them to pull a D in the House races - and we can disrupt.
Imagine if we could just take a handful of seats from R's-House in the North East - it's a good start right?
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)The "Moral Mondays" activism out of NC seems to be the way forward in Red and Purplish districts. We need to replicate this nationally. People respond to direct suggestions on now to act, effectively, in getting their voice heard. This is a component that got lost coming out of the Civil Rights Era.
kwassa
(23,340 posts)Look what an open primary election brings.
Cochran was strategically smart, he directly appealed to African-Americans, and they more than made the winning margin of victory. McDaniel didn't have to run just against other Republicans, but against Republicans and Democratic crossover, making the minority Tea Party even more of a minority.
I doubt McDaniel will mount a third party effort, unless he is even dumber than I think he is.
JustAnotherGen
(31,879 posts)Dumb that is.
JAG - totally NOT adding anything of value on a Friday morning!
Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)are the reactions of some of the wingnut hosts this past week. For example, Limbaugh decried "Uncle Tom" voters, despite in 2008 having the audacity to instruct his fans to tip the Dem primaries. Meanwhile, other prominent wingnuts like Hannity and Palin have decried the so-called establishment, and hinted at trying to split the party up.
randys1
(16,286 posts)to do it all again, go down there in buses and register people to vote
then risk our lives getting them to vote and counting their vote