+++ NFL Picks / Week 3 +++

[Auggie]

Hi everybody.

Last week's winner Goblinmonger requests I add the 49ers/Vikes game. Let's do Indy at Jacksonville: it's a divisional contest with the rookie QB Andrew Luck favored. No-brainers on the rest. All should be great games. Good luck!

A reminder: this is the last week to play and remain in ranked standings. As previously announced, everyone receives two bye weeks. If you're new (and if you are, welcome), your bye-weeks have been used up. For a recap of how it works, please see http://www.democraticunderground.com/120418620

Favorite / Spread / Underdog (Home teams in CAPS)

San Francisco / 6.5 / MINNESOTA
NY Jets / 2.5 / MIAMI
INDIANAPOLIS / 3 / Jacksonville
Philadelphia / 3.5 / ARIZONA
SAN DIEGO / 3 / Atlanta
Houston / 2 / DENVER
BALTIMORE / 3 / New England
Green Bay / 3 / SEATTLE

[ahg]

1. Go Eagles!

San Francisco / 6.5 / MINNESOTA
NY Jets / 2.5 / MIAMI
INDIANAPOLIS / 3 / Jacksonville
Philadelphia / 3.5 / ARIZONA
SAN DIEGO / 3 / Atlanta
Houston / 2 / DENVER
BALTIMORE / 3 / New England
Green Bay / 3 / SEATTLE

[JonLP24]

2. Standings

WNP = Weeks not Played
LW = Last week's rank

RK Member (REC) PCT WNP (LW)
1. getting old in mke (7-2) .778 2 (2)
2. Auggie (11-6) .647 - (1)
3. Condem (10-7) .588 - (3)
4. many a good man (10-7) .588 - (6)
5. Liberal_Dog (8-9) .471 - (4)
6. mythology (8-9) .471 - (5)
7. anakie (8-9) .471 - (9)
8. InternalDialogue (8-9) .471 (10)
9. ahg (4-4) .444 2 (7)
10. Goblinmonger (7-10) .412 - (14)
11. thelordofhell (3-5) .375 1 (UR)
12. adairporter (3-5) .375 1 (UR)
13. RagAss (3-5) .375 1 (UR)
14. RockaFowler (6-11) .353 - (8)
15. flvegan (6-11) .353 - (12)
16. PRETZEL (6-11) .353 - (13)
17. trumad (5-12) .333 - (11)
18. JonLP24 (2-6) .250 1 (UR)

[RockaFowler]

3. Go Fish!

San Francisco
MIAMI
INDIANAPOLIS (I feel so bad for Jacksonville)
ARIZONA
Atlanta
DENVER
BALTIMORE
Green Bay

[mythology]

4. This week's picks

San Francisco
Miami
Indianapolis
Arizona
Atlanta
Houston
Baltimore
Green Bay

[RagAss]

5. mine...

San Francisco
NY Jets
INDIANAPOLIS
Philadelphia
SAN DIEGO
Houston
BALTIMORE
Green Bay

[JonLP24]

6. OK

San Francisco
NY Jets
Indianapolis
Arizona
San Diego (An out of conference game across country after a Monday Night Game for ATL)
Houston (Incredibly tough for me, Denver has a great home field but Houston is terrific)
Baltimore
Green Bay (I know home field for Seattle but Green Bay should have enough weapons to cover)

My review for the Arizona game, Kolb is going to take the start which will be good news for the Philly D which has allowed 4.2 opponent yards per pass attempt in 2 games(#1 in the league). I don't expect turnovers to continue at a similar rate. In fact when I was reading about the number of teams that came back from 0-2 and made the playoffs, a portion of those committed a massive amount of turnovers in their first 2 games.

The Arizona Dline got incredible pressure on the Philly line last year. The game changing play the Calais Campbell interception was a bit of luck. W/o that play, they don't win the game. The play Vick broke his ribs was on a sack so pundits point to last year as Vick's style promotes injuries when it wasn't what caused the injury. It was an incredibly hard shot and he stayed in the game til the end. The Arizona D will be ready to play, I don't think Vick will hurt Arizona with his legs but w/ weapons in McCoy, DeSean Jackson, and Maclin it'll be tough. I'd predict Philly to cover or win by 3 if I wasn't an Arizona fan so don't change my pick.

[PRETZEL]

7. ok

SF
Jets
Indy
Philly
SD
Den
NE
GB

[Goblinmonger]

8. Mine

San Francisco
NY Jets
Jacksonville
Atlanta
DENVER
BALTIMORE
SEATTLE

[InternalDialogue]

9. My picks

San Francisco
MIAMI
INDIANAPOLIS
Philadelphia
Atlanta
DENVER
New England
SEATTLE

[anakie]

10. week 3

San Francisco / 6.5 / MINNESOTA - SF
NY Jets / 2.5 / MIAMI - Miami
INDIANAPOLIS / 3 / Jacksonville - Indi
Philadelphia / 3.5 / ARIZONA - Arizona
SAN DIEGO / 3 / Atlanta - San Diego
Houston / 2 / DENVER - Denver
BALTIMORE / 3 / New England - Ravens
Green Bay / 3 / SEATTLE - Packers

good luck all

[many a good man]

11. +++»«+++

San Francisco -6.5
NY Jets -2.5
INDIANAPOLIS -3
Philadelphia -3.5
Atlanta +3
Houston -2
New England +3
Green Bay -3

[Auggie]

12. Taking a big risk ...

Minnesota
NY Jets
Jacksonville
Philadelphia
Atlanta
Denver
New England
Green Bay

[JonLP24]

19. Good call on Minnesota so far

San Francisco has a big hole just to cover.

I overlooked how well Ponder has played to start the season. Also the Metrodome is a scary place, the Cardinals have a game there in a few weeks.

[Auggie]

20. Just a hunch ...

wish I was wrong.

[Liberal_Dog]

13. Week 3 Picks

San Francisco / 6.5 / MINNESOTA-----San Francisco
NY Jets / 2.5 / MIAMI-----NY Jets
INDIANAPOLIS / 3 / Jacksonville-----Jacksonville
Philadelphia / 3.5 / ARIZONA-----Arizona
SAN DIEGO / 3 / Atlanta-----San Diego
Houston / 2 / DENVER-----Houston
BALTIMORE / 3 / New England-----Baltimore
Green Bay / 3 / SEATTLE-----Green Bay

[trumad]

14. .

San Francisco
MIAMI
INDIANAPOLIS
ARIZONA
Atlanta
Houston
BALTIMORE
Green Bay

[thelordofhell]

15. Pickety Pickety Pickety..........

San Francisco / 6.5 / MINNESOTA--------San Francisco
NY Jets / 2.5 / MIAMI--------------------Miami
INDIANAPOLIS / 3 / Jacksonville-----------Jacksonville
Philadelphia / 3.5 / ARIZONA--------------Arizona
SAN DIEGO / 3 / Atlanta------------------Atlanta
Houston / 2 / DENVER--------------------Houston
BALTIMORE / 3 / New England------------New England
Green Bay / 3 / SEATTLE-----------------Green Bay

Random predictions-----I'll say it again.....Vick gets injured, Houston's D will stifle Peyton, a ref will get knocked out

[thelordofhell]

23. Vick's tougher than I thought

Still want that dog killer out for the season

[flvegan]

16. Okay

San Francisco
NY Jets
Indianapolis
Philadelphia
San Diego
Denver
New England
Green Bay

[many a good man]

17. Replacement refs show bias to home teams?

http://www.footballperspective.com/nyt-fifth-down-post-week-2/

Last week, I hinted that there may be a bias by the officials in favor of the home team, as these less-experienced referees may be more likely to side with the voices of the crowd. That hypotheses certainly wasn’t disproved this week, as 14 of the 16 home teams won, the first time 14 home teams have won in a week since the league expanded to 32 teams. So far this season, there have been 231 penalties against visiting teams and only 188 penalties against the hosts. That ratio — road teams having to deal with 23% more penalties — is far out of line with historical data, which informs us that road teams had 7% more penalties enforced against them than home teams from 2000 to 2011.

Yikes! This week I picked 7/8 road teams to win!

[Condem]

18. Bring On The Wrecking Ball...

SF
Miami
Indy
Arizona
San Diego
Denver
Baltimore
Green Bay

[Auggie]

21. And the winners are ...

thelordofhell and Auggie with records of 5-3.



many a good man, Liberal_Dog, and Goblinmonger were tied for second at 4-4.

A very frustrating week, made more so by the worst officiating ever in the NFL. Hang in there.

thelordofhell: Send me a game by Wednesday night, please.

----------------------------------------------
Favorite--PTS / Spread / Underdog--PTS / WINNER

San Francisco--13 / 6.5 / MINNESOTA--24 / MINNESOTA
NY Jets --23 / 2.5 / MIAMI--20 / NY JETS
INDIANAPOLIS--17 / 3 / Jacksonville--22 / JACKSONVILLE
Philadelphia--00 / 3.5 / ARIZONA--00 / ARIZONA
SAN DIEGO--03 / 3 / Atlanta--27 / ATLANTA
Houston--31 / 2 / DENVER--25 / HOUSTON
BALTIMORE--31 / 3 / New England--30 / NEW ENGLAND
Green Bay--12 / 3 / SEATTLE--14 / SEATTLE

----------------------------------------------
thelordofhell: W5, L3

L—San Francisco
L—Miami
W—Jacksonville
W—Arizona
W—Atlanta
W—Houston
W—New England
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
Auggie: W5, L3

W—Minnesota
W—NY Jets
W—Jacksonville
L—Philadelphia
W—Atlanta
L—Denver
W—New England
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
many a good man: W4 L4

L—San Francisco
W—NY Jets
L—INDIANAPOLIS
L—Philadelphia
W—Atlanta
W—Houston
W—New England
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
Liberal_Dog: W4, L4

L—San Francisco
W—NY Jets
W—Jacksonville
W—Arizona
L—San Diego
W—Houston
L—Baltimore
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
Goblinmonger: W4, L4

L—San Francisco
W—NY Jets
W—Jacksonville
L— NO PICK in the Philadelphia / ARIZONA game
W—Atlanta
L—DENVER
L—BALTIMORE
W—SEATTLE
----------------------------------------------
trumad: W3, L5

L—San Francisco
L—MIAMI
L—INDIANAPOLIS
W—ARIZONA
W—Atlanta
W—Houston
L—BALTIMORE
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
mythology: W3, L5

L—San Francisco
L—Miami
L—Indianapolis
W—Arizona
W—Atlanta
W—Houston
L—Baltimore
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
JonLP24: W3, L5

L—San Francisco
W—NY Jets
L—Indianapolis
W—Arizona
L—San Diego
W—Houston
L—Baltimore
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
InternalDialogue : W3, L5

L—San Francisco
L—MIAMI
L—INDIANAPOLIS
L—Philadelphia
W—Atlanta
L—DENVER
W—New England
W—SEATTLE
----------------------------------------------
RockaFowler: W2, L6

L—San Francisco
L—MIAMI
L—INDIANAPOLIS
W—ARIZONA
W—Atlanta
L—DENVER
L—BALTIMORE
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
RagAss: W2, L6

L—San Francisco
W—NY Jets
L—INDIANAPOLIS
L—Philadelphia
L—SAN DIEGO
W—Houston
L—BALTIMORE
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
PRETZEL: W2, L6

L—San Francisco
W—NY Jets
L—Indy
L—Philladelphia
L—San Diego
L—Denver
W—New England
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
anakie: W1, L7

L—SF
L—Miami
L—Indianapolis
W—Arizona
L—San Diego
L—Denver
L—BALTIMORE
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
ahg: W1, L7

L—San Francisco
L—MIAMI
L—INDIANAPOLIS
L—Philadelphia
L—SAN DIEGO
W—Houston
L—BALTIMORE
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
flvegan: W1, 7

L—San Francisco
L—NY Jets
L—Indianapolis
L—Philadelphia
L—San Diego
L—Denver
W—New England
L—Green Bay
----------------------------------------------
Condem: W1, L7

L—SF
L—Miami
L—Indy
W—Arizona
L—San Diego
L—Denver
L—Baltimore
L—Green Bay

[RockaFowler]

22. Cool - another disaster week

Yikes

[thelordofhell]

24. Let's keep my Cardinals in the pick pool......best D in the NFL!!!

My game choice is---------Arizona/Miami

[Auggie]

25. So be it, my lord

[KamaAina]

26. SCABS / 1 / Everybody