+++ NFL Picks / Week 14 +++
With the playoffs heating up I'd like to add one additional game this week -- Washington, Pittsburgh, Indy, Chicago, Cincy, Dallas, Giants and Green Bay all facing must-win games. Hope that's okay with everyone.
Weeks 14 and 15 are the last weeks available to take byes. I think the last two weeks -- 16 and 17 -- should be mandatory so no one can sit on a lead. BTW, for week 16 and 17 I think we'll stick with the regular schedule. Picks will be posted Thursday morning (Dec 20 and Dec 27) and due by Sunday kick-off. If you're going to be gone during the last two weeks let me know and we'll work something out.
Fun week. Good luck.
Favorite / Spread / Underdog (Home team in CAPS)
WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston
= new reply since forum marked as read
I foresaw that they would be a heavy favorite here --- http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/06/week-14-n-f-l-game-probabilities-the-sanchez-mistake/ and that most people here would pick Atlanta. Only me & Rocka picked Carolina.
The reason why they're favorites there is Brian Burke weighs most heavily net/ypa followed by defensive net/ypa. Both teams don't have an impressive pass D but Cam Newton is the league leader in ypa. It is funny listening to the announcers talk about the long odds against them when they, mathematically (rather than Vegas odds which can be affected by perception), they had a 62% chance of winning. 
well-played
and then I asked myself, "Do I want a loss?".
The score is shocking mainly because Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league, but they also have the worst offense in the league going up against one of the best defenses. 4 interceptions, 4 fumbles lost 
RagAss, with a record of 5-3
Four were tied at 4-4.
There was one tie, which we've been playing as neither a win or a loss.
Abysmal week for the group. But we'll get 'em next time. See you Thursday.
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Favorite--00 / Spread / Underdog--00 WINNER
WASHINGTON--31 / 2.5 / Baltimore--28 WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH--24 / 6.5 / San Diego--34 SAN DIEGO
INDIANAPOLIS--27 / 5.5 / Tennessee--23 TENNESSEE
Chicago--14 / 3 / MINNESOTA--21 MINNESOTA
Atlanta--20 / 3.5 / CAROLINA--30 CAROLINA
CINCINNATI--19 / 3 / Dallas--20 DALLAS
NY GIANTS--52 / 5 / New Orleans--27 NY GIANTS
GREEN BAY--27 / 7 / Detroit--20 TIED
NEW ENGLAND--42 / 3.5 / Houston--14 NEW ENGLAND
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RagAss: 5W / 3L
L—Baltimore
W—San Diego
W—Tennessee
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
W—Dallas
W—NY Giants
T—Green Bay
W—New England
--------------------
Condem: 4W / 4L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—Gints
T—Green Bay
W—New England
--------------------
Goblinmonger: 4W / 4L
W—Washington
W—San Diego
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Detroit
W—New England
--------------------
JonLP24: 4W / 4L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
W—Carolina
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Detroit
L—Houston
--------------------
InternalDialogue: 3W / 5L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
W—Dallas
L—New Orleans
T—Detroit
W—New England
--------------------
Auggie: 3W / 5L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
W—Tennessee
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
flvegan: 3W / 5L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Green Bay
W—New England
--------------------
Liberal_Dog: 2W / 6L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
mythology: 2W / 6L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Detroit
L—Houston
--------------------
thelordofhell: 2W / 6L
W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
W—Dallas
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
many a good man: 2W / 6L
L—Baltimore
W—San Diego
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Detroit
L—Houston
--------------------
RockaFowler: 1W / 7L
L—Baltimore
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
W—Carolina
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
anakie: 1W / 7L
L—Baltimore
W—San Diego
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinncati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
PRETZEL: 1W / 7L
L—Baltimore
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
