Missouri President: Obama trails Romney by 6 and McCaskill leads Akin by 7

[WI_DEM]

Democratic President Barack Obama trails Republican challenger Mitt Romney by six points in Missouri, 49% Romney to 43% Obama, in a poll of 809 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.

In Missouri:
Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 93% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 95% of Republicans are voting for Romney.
Independents tilt Republican, 40% for Obama and 52% for Romney.
Women favor Obama by 48%-43%, while men favor Romney by 54%-38%.
Obama leads in St. Louis City and County (65%-28%).
Romney leads in every other region, including the Kansas City area (47% Romney-42% Obama).
The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (59%-34%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (59%-33%)

Incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill holds a narrow 45%-38% lead over Republican challenger Todd Akin.

In the Governor’s race, incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon holds an 18-point lead over Republican challenger Dave Spence, 51%-33%, with 16% undecided.

http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/09/21/missouri/

[clydefrand]

1. Narrow lead?

Incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill holds a narrow 45%-38% lead over Republican challenger Todd Akin.


I don't call that narrow.

[WI_DEM]

3. I agree it's not substantial but it isn't narrow either.

[TroyD]

7. When you've previously been down and expected to lose . . .

I'd say it could be considered substantial.

[donco]

2. I wouldn't call

a <45%-38% lead over Republican challenger Todd Akin>narrow.I think the voters of the Show Me will come to there sense this election, especially with the dolt Akin in the mix.

[aaaaaa5a]

4. This is further proof that Romney is running behind where he should be.

If MO is in the single digits. This means he is losing in Virginia and Ohio.

We now have 2 very interesting polls tonight.

Tenn. Romney+7
MO. Romney +6

I'll throw in another poll from Indiana earlier this week.

IN. Romney +6


Romney is running way behind where he should be. And Obama is nearing his 2008 level of support. Obama lost MO by 1 point in 2008. Clearly if these numbers hold, he would lose MO by a similar margin in 2012, if his campaign chose to contest it again.

[TXDemoGal]

5. Can anyone give the scoop on YouGov?

Read a Wikipedia page on them that says some of their past and maybe present CEOs have run as Conservative MP candidates in the UK.

[Cracklin Charlie]

9. They only polled 800 people.

Seems like a fairly small sampling of voters. I wonder if they called anyone in the northern half of the state, or in the cities?

[jberryhill]

6. Come on Missouri, show us what you're made of

Been to St. Louis once as a kid, and I don't know jack about that state, but, c'mon guys? You sent Joseph Smith packing once already and for cause.

[theinquisitivechad]

8. Originally from the state.

And their support for all things Republican, regardless of merit, continues to astound me to this day.

[Humanist_Activist]

12. I live in St. Louis area, at least in the city and many sections of St. Louis County are quite...

liberal, don't know about the reliability of this poll, I don't think it sounds right, but we have 3 blue dots(St. Louis, Columbia, KC) in a sea of red. Most people in this state are bumfuck hillbillies who like their guns, god, and meth.

[mvd]

10. I think this one will be closer

Especially with the anti-Akin coattails driving more Obama supporters to the polls.

[Jennicut]

11. We don't need Missouri and Obama did not win it in 2008 anyway. But we really need that Senate seat.

So any polling that is good for McCaskill is good news.