Among Democrats who caucused in 2008 Clinton leads Sanders by 17 - 55/%-38% IA

[riversedge]

To me, if people were motivated to caucus previously, they would me motivated now also. Just saying.


Dan Merica ‏@danmericaCNN 3h3 hours ago

Dan Merica Retweeted Dan Merica

Important # in our new Iowa poll: Among Democrats who caucused in 2008, Clinton leads Sanders by 17 - 55/%-38%.


Dan Merica Verified account
‏@danmericaCNN

NEW: CNN/ORC poll finds Sanders with a 8 point lead over Clinton in Iowa - 51% - 43%.

[JonLeibowitz]

1. What about 17-25 year olds? They don't count? n/t

[restorefreedom]

4. no. they are on the wrong side. nt

[SunSeeker]

2. K & R

[Mass]

3. You mean this poll where they polled 280 people ? so, how many people caucused during the 2008

campaign in this sample? 200? 150? Less ?

I wished CNN people stopped holding this substandard poll as meaningful.

Yes, those numbers could be interesting with a reasonable sample. They could be really interesting in fact. But with such a small sample, they are really silly.

[hedda_foil]

5. The OP is spinning. It's a new CNN/ORC poll that Bernie is running away with.

[Mass]

6. I know. This is the poll I am talking about. 280 people, which means that it was about 150 people

which caucused in 2008 in this poll, and therefore those numbers are pretty meaningless (as are the numbers of the entire poll. CNN should be ashamed).

[riversedge]

10. Where did the number 150 come from.??

[Mass]

12. An estimate given the result the poll gave for the full democratic caucus goers and the result you

post here for the 2008 caucus goers included. Or it would mean that a lot of 2008 caucus goers answering this poll are not likely voters for 2016. (do you know how many people are included in the 2008 caucus goers who give the number you posted in the OP? This would be interesting to know.

[riversedge]

13. I have no idea. Sorry. But thanks for you explanation.

[riversedge]

8. CNN/ORC surveyed 2,002 Iowa adults -

But of that large sample -280 likely Democratic presidential caucus-goers.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/01/21/politics/iowa-poll-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-donald-trump-ted-cruz/index.html


CNN/ORC surveyed 2,002 Iowa adults by telephone Jan. 15 to Jan. 20, including 266 likely Republican presidential caucus-goers and 280 likely Democratic presidential caucus-goers. Both party samples have a margin of error of plus or minus six percentage points.

[Warren DeMontague]

11. How is she polling among people with @aol.com email addresses? Fans of "The Mentalist"?

How about people whose grandson married that nice girl from Poughkeepsie, thank god he dumped the other one you know the one with the purple hair who uses those vulgar words, still he never calls?

[reformist2]

7. Not to be ghoulish, but a lot of Hillary's 2008 voters have probably died.

[Warren DeMontague]

9. Remember when Hillary went to that college and said "thank you for supporting me in '08"?

The college students were like, "uh, we were in fifth grade"

Ah, The good ol' Clinton campaign, stuck in a time warp.