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The bottom line in Iowa
If the energy of the Sanders campaign is able to translate into actual votes by turning out those new voters, young voters, those less likely to vote on election day, etc, then Bernie will have a solid win in Iowa.
If its a more traditional electorate with older, more dependable party line voters, then Hillary will win.
I'm betting on the former, but it's certainly possible I'm proven wrong and Hillary wins. However, if Bernie wins, it means the electability line is OVER and that there really is a movement growing that will sweep the country.