For Sanders, Iowa is make or break

[cali]

That is obviously not true for Clinton. It wouldn't be good portent for her in the general election, if she lost to him, but it wouldn't be catastrophic to her quest for the nomination.

Bernie has to either win Iowa or come within a very few points. If he's 10 points back, it's all over for him. Oh, not immediately; he won't drop out until she has it showed up, but with all the hype and expectations, he had to do very, very well in Iowa and win NH, to have a chance.

I don't have a clue what will happen in Iowa, but no result will surprise me. I do see it, however, as a different kind of test for Hillary: A test of her likability and trustworthiness v. her experience and knowledge.

[Kentonio]

1. Yep, couldn't agree more.

The time when all the energy and hard work either pays off or proves for nothing is fast approaching.

Iowa or bust! I say he's got this one!

[hrmjustin]

2. He needs to win.

If hd doesn't it will be over.

[cali]

4. No. If he comes within 5 points and wins decisively in NH

that would give him a lifeline.

[bvf]

8. Whistling in the dark. n/t

[berni_mccoy]

3. There is another possibility

It's close but she eeks out a small win and he wins NH with a large margin. He's still solidly in the race and she's seen to still be losing ground.

[thereismore]

5. Agreed, Bernie can't lose by much in IA if he wants to win the nomination.

On the other hand, a loss in IA for Hillary would be devastating psychologically. She is totally invested there.

I am seeing a close win by Bernie. Enthusiasm is on his side. Many people are canvassing for him in very rural places.

[Wilms]

6. That's how it works conventionally.

But this campaign is not conventional.

[mmonk]

7. Sure, we're all just going to disappear

like in a politician on the take's mind. Magic f*cking dust and we all disappear.

[KingCharlemagne]

9. yes, Iowa has huge symbolic significance for Sanders. A win or close

second will prove his appeal extends beyond the regional and that one can be competitive without fatcat donations. Knock on wood!

[Cheese Sandwich]

10. You're setting that expectation