Microsoft's Bing just called the first four primaries for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Microsoft's track record in calling political races has been excellent so far


In March, Microsoft said it would use its Bing technology to predict the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. On Tuesday, Microsoft jumped in with both feet, calling the first four Republican primaries for Donald Trump.

Microsoft’s Bing predicts that Trump will win the Republican primaries in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada relatively easily, topping Ted Cruz in all four states. Hillary Clinton is expected to win three out of the first four Democratic primaries—Iowa, South Carolina, and Nevada—losing New Hampshire to Bernie Sanders.

Microsoft said it used data from polls, prediction markets, and anonymized and aggregated search-engine queries to predict its results—some of the methods that it’s used to predict the outcomes of everything from “American Idol” to the World Cup. It isn’t always right: Bing never predicted the Denver Broncos to play the New England Patriots in the NFL playoffs, let alone beat the New England Patriots—Bing's erroneous pick to win the Super Bowl.

Why this matters: Microsoft routinely shows off Bing's skills by mining Internet data for predictions on sports and entertainment, politics, and more. The Super Bowl, however, is a sporting event, retaining an element of unpredictability. Award shows are where Microsoft can sink its hooks deep into social sentiment and fish out winners: It correctly called the 2015 Academy Awards, for instance. Elections, where poll follows poll follows poll, are another wealth of data that Microsoft can tap. Microsoft correctly called the “No” vote on the referendum for Scotland to secede from Great Britain, and also accurately predicted the outcome of more than 95 percent of the 2014 U.S. midterm elections.

http://www.pcworld.com/article/3026461/data-center-cloud/microsofts-bing-just-called-the-first-four-primaries-for-donald-trump-hillary-clinton.html

[DefenseLawyer]

1. "Another Brick in the Wall" is an odd choice for a political anthem for Secretary Clinton

But it's better than "30 Days in the Hole"

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. If you don't vote for Hillary you can't have your pudding.

[NobodyHere]

35. Roger Waters is also a Bernie supporter

http://www.theguardian.com/music/2015/oct/27/roger-waters-hillary-clinton-nuclear-bomb-us-election-2016

[hollysmom]

2. since noone has voted yet, this is just polling?

or is it magic. Sorry, I am always amazed at how people can't wait and need a prediction now, I must have some weird patience gene.

[workinclasszero]

4. Hillary Clinton is expected to win three out of the first four Democratic primaries—Iowa,

....South Carolina, and Nevada—losing New Hampshire to Bernie Sanders.

If that's correct, the Bernie "revolution" will be done.

[NurseJackie]

6. It can't come soon enough for me!

[BlueMTexpat]

9. +1!

[workinclasszero]

10. Same here

I'm tired of all the hot air here and other places on the internet.

I want to see what the polls that matter say in 4 days. I might like the results, I might not but lets get to the real thing already LOL

[Stuckinthebush]

11. I've just started to laugh at the silliness

"Hillary is crashing!"

"Sanders will win super tuesday!"

Math, folks. Math.

Clinton loses NH, wins or loses Iowa by a sliver and sweeps the rest. That's math not belief.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Demography is destiny/nt

[workinclasszero]

15. True

Its funny how Sanders supporters totally ignore Super Tuesday and huge delegate rich states like Texas.

They are having their fun now, that's for sure LOL

[Armstead]

23. And people claim Sanders supporters are condescending and rude

They've got nothing on your guys

[workinclasszero]

25. It's all good

Enjoy your "huge" victory in NH

[Armstead]

27. I'm a pessimist

I think the Clinton machine will crush Bernie in the end.

And it makes me sick to think that the underlying attitudes that have kept a lid on liberal reform since 1980 on the side of the aisle that is supposed to represent that will just continue to march us towards the GOP ideals of oligarchy, ubercapitalism and suppression of liberal social aspiration.

Enjoy your hollow victory.

[riversedge]

29. Basic arithmatic and hard work by Hillary and her team-taking NOthing for grated

[Fawke Em]

17. Looking forward to your candidate losing the general, I see.

[MoonRiver]

13. Bring it on!

[Warren Stupidity]

19. Iowa will be close and NH will be a blowout.

If Her Inevitableness loses both of those she will be in trouble in Nevada and South Carolina. A blow out in NH could also, by itself, change the dynamics.

[aikoaiko]

33. You might be surprised as to what happens next even if HRC wins these states.

[awake]

5. Microsoft is providing the software for the Iowa voting on Monday

seam like a bit of a conflict of interest, what are the chances that Microsoft's software will give the victory to Hillary.

Just saying

[workinclasszero]

7. Tinfoil hat stuff already?

Lets see what happens in 4 days time first.

[bkkyosemite]

12. It's in the past proven to not be tinfoil.

[ChisolmTrailDem]

28. Was Ohio tinfoil hat stuff? nt

[Stuckinthebush]

8. zero

[Z_California]

30. Really no chance of shenanigans in a caucus

Everyone leaves the caucus knowing exactly how many delegates each candidate won. The caucus results are then published so every single voter has the means to check the accuracy.

Primaries I worry about.

[awake]

31. This year Microsoft aps will be used for the 1st time to report the final votes from the caucuses

So they are hackable Bernie's people will need to keep an eye out for dirty tricks.

[awake]

32. "Sanders camp suspicious of Microsoft’s influence in Iowa Caucus--Sets up Own System"

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511082483

this says it all

[Frustratedlady]

34. Exactly my first thought. Something is fishy and I don't like it at all.

I'm beginning to wonder if any election (caucus, primary or general) will come out the way the common people vote? Scares the hell out of me.

Just sayin'.

[bahrbearian]

16. Billionaire Bill Gates to the Rescue

[Nanjeanne]

18. My Magic 8 Ball

Says otherwise . . .

Do I get a cookie?

[Alfresco]

20. Bing It On.

[woodsprite]

21. Their record should be even better now that they're providing the counting software/equipment. n/t

[Alfresco]

22. BADA BING. :-)

[oasis]

24. Great news. Bing went the strings of my heart.

[orpupilofnature57]

26. Really it's getting pathetic, now it's scientifically proven, Coercion by proxy is ineffectual.