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Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 05:38 PM Jan 2016

Winter Storm Kayla starts in Iowa in Monday night

Most likely a non--issue east of Des Moines until Tuesday.

I have no real inkling how this impacts Dems. My guess is that it's bad news for Cruz and Carson on the GOP side, as they are depending on the more evangelical-heavy Western Iowa towns for support.

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Winter Storm Kayla starts in Iowa in Monday night (Original Post) Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2016 OP
some caucusers may stay home? loyalsister Jan 2016 #1
Great news for Democrats. pa28 Jan 2016 #2
are you saying snow showers increase turnout? HereSince1628 Jan 2016 #4
No. Not at all. pa28 Jan 2016 #7
thanks HereSince1628 Jan 2016 #8
Hey, it's not Florida. rickford66 Jan 2016 #3
I would think a storm would suppress the turnout of older voters. reformist2 Jan 2016 #5
I agree MissDeeds Jan 2016 #9
See my answer below. I think its a wash Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2016 #18
What time does the snow start? What time to people caucus? What time do people arrive? Renew Deal Jan 2016 #6
That's the real question, and they supposedly will have a better idea tomorrow when this thing.. Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2016 #17
The last report I heard MuseRider Jan 2016 #10
None of this is etched in stone Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2016 #16
Yup MuseRider Jan 2016 #19
Hillary has the senior citizen crowd left-of-center2012 Jan 2016 #11
Hard to say Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2016 #14
My caucus place is a block away- I'll walk if I have to but I'm in Cedar Rapids and I don't think Luciferous Jan 2016 #12
Current Monday forecast for yur area Monday night - intermittent freezing rain Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2016 #15
Hopefully not much until after midnight jfern Jan 2016 #13
Yeah, looks like it's going to be fun next week 47of74 Jan 2016 #20

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)
1. some caucusers may stay home?
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 05:42 PM
Jan 2016

Even Democrats if it's bad enough. Also possibilities that venues will be less, or not at all accessible? Moving could be tough.

pa28

(6,145 posts)
2. Great news for Democrats.
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 05:42 PM
Jan 2016

Nobody should have a problem getting to the polls and turnout should be increased considerably.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
4. are you saying snow showers increase turnout?
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 05:56 PM
Jan 2016

or are you just saying you think turnout is going to be higher than average?

pa28

(6,145 posts)
7. No. Not at all.
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:02 PM
Jan 2016

The storm was originally forecast to hit Monday during the caucus and expected to harm turnout. That would have been unfortunate.

 

MissDeeds

(7,499 posts)
9. I agree
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:11 PM
Jan 2016

A lot of older people I know tend to stay in when it snows or gets icy for fear of falling. There is a 'friends of the library' bookstore in my city that is manned primarily by people over 65. When the weather gets bad, it's understood the shop will not be open because the volunteers won't venture out.

We'll see what happens.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
18. See my answer below. I think its a wash
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:44 PM
Jan 2016

Older folks could be less likely to go out, but also are more likely to be motivated to vote.

Renew Deal

(81,860 posts)
6. What time does the snow start? What time to people caucus? What time do people arrive?
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:00 PM
Jan 2016

It's not like a snow flake falls and voters evaporate.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
17. That's the real question, and they supposedly will have a better idea tomorrow when this thing..
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:43 PM
Jan 2016

... starts rolling in earnest into SoCal.

MuseRider

(34,111 posts)
10. The last report I heard
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:17 PM
Jan 2016

for us in Kansas was that it would start Monday and extend into Tuesday. Monday looks like you are correct but if it moves any faster the Tuesday outlook is bad for Iowa. It looks to cover most of that state. Let's hope it holds on here for a while.

They are used to this and they also feel that their caucus is very important, as it is. My guess is they will get there. If they have to help each other get there they will.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
16. None of this is etched in stone
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:42 PM
Jan 2016

They'll be a lot more certain tomorrow. In Omaha, all we know is that snow is coming. It could be as little as 3" or as many as 16". 9-11 seems to be the consensus, but the winds may gust upwards of 50.

They (weather.com) are calling for Monday evening snow in Mason City, Spencer, Sioux City, Creston, Council Bluffs, and Des Moines. The timing will be key, and 30 miles further north or south on the track will be a big impact.

MuseRider

(34,111 posts)
19. Yup
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:49 PM
Jan 2016

I am watching it closely too. Weather like this always makes life more difficult out here. I don't think I am going to see much, we are just South of what they predict but they also said they were thinking it was a little too far North in the predictions.

We shall see. Tomorrow should tell us more.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
14. Hard to say
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:29 PM
Jan 2016

Seniors less likely to go out, but they take their voting very seriously. Also, some Iowans of all ages pride themselves on getting out to this thing in all weather.

Luciferous

(6,080 posts)
12. My caucus place is a block away- I'll walk if I have to but I'm in Cedar Rapids and I don't think
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:55 PM
Jan 2016

we're supposed to get much snow until Tuesday.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
15. Current Monday forecast for yur area Monday night - intermittent freezing rain
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:32 PM
Jan 2016

Be careful when you walk over. Glad you are only a block away.

jfern

(5,204 posts)
13. Hopefully not much until after midnight
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:58 PM
Jan 2016

That should be plenty of time for people to make it home from caucusing.

 

47of74

(18,470 posts)
20. Yeah, looks like it's going to be fun next week
Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:29 PM
Jan 2016

And of course when I say fun, it's

Here's what they're saying right now for the weather;

* TIMING... TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS... SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING.

* WIND... EAST TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH TUESDAY... BECOMING NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS... HEAVY SNOW... FOLLOWED BY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY LEAD TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.


My brother and sister in law sure picked a good time to go off on their honeymoon cruise.
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