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Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 02:06 AM Feb 2016

Read this OP from 7 months ago and you'll see what we have accomplished (and answered)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026883414

Star Member brooklynite (27,882 posts)

Explain to me why Bernie Sanders isn't 2016's Ron Paul...

I've asked before for someone to give me a hard-nosed estimate of how Bernie Sanders wins a national Primary (we'll set the General Election aside for now), and all I've gotten is variations on "he resonates with the struggling 99%". From what I see, the Sanders campaign is essentially following the path that Paul followed four years ago: a candidate who says what's on his mind, generates large crowds of voters disaffected from their default Party, and develops a solid floor of 15-20% in polling but never breaks a ceiling of 20-25%. He never generates a lot of financial support; enough to travel with his support team to make speeches and participate in debates, but not enough to build in the kind of staffing that Clinton and Obama had in 2008, and certainly not enough to spend on TV advertising. Come voting time, he does relatively well in Iowa (21-22%) in Iowa and New Hampshire, but never wins except in a handful of smaller Caucus States (ME, AK, NV). He doesn't have the staffing to play in multiple Super Tuesday States, or large population/large Geography States. Because his operating costs are low, there's nothing stopping him from continuing on through the Convention, but he doesn't end up with a net of more than 10-15% nationally.

So what am I missing?
16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Read this OP from 7 months ago and you'll see what we have accomplished (and answered) (Original Post) Bonobo Feb 2016 OP
Yep, that's amusing! tex-wyo-dem Feb 2016 #1
Oh, you are just scratching the surface. If I had the time, I'd love to pour over the old morningfog Feb 2016 #2
Don't I know it. nt Bonobo Feb 2016 #3
missed it by that much! neverforget Feb 2016 #4
LOL!!! nt Bonobo Feb 2016 #5
i thought i remembered that op so i clicked to see if i posted in it tk2kewl Feb 2016 #6
Let's be gracious in victory, and agree that Brooklynite may have come to better understanding. eom Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #7
The point is not to sneer at anyone, but to honestly remember how far we have come. Bonobo Feb 2016 #9
That is for certain. eom Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #11
Brooklynite is part of the establishment, John Poet Feb 2016 #8
Not really my point. Bonobo Feb 2016 #10
YES, of COURSE! We've come miles and miles and miles John Poet Feb 2016 #12
Yup, that's him Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #13
Lol. Boy, did he get it wrong- 22% in Iowa. cali Feb 2016 #14
Oh, airquote wise words airquote from that poster. artislife Feb 2016 #15
I honestly thought Bernie was not planning to really try to win loyalsister Feb 2016 #16

tex-wyo-dem

(3,190 posts)
1. Yep, that's amusing!
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 02:28 AM
Feb 2016

But it also says a lot about how much Sanders, his staff and supporters have accomplished in a very short period of time.

Hillary, on the other hand, has been campaigning for well over a decade, has the name recognition, the accolades, the connections, the Clinton political machine, the endorsements, every advantage a candidate could hope for.

Yet a rumpled older senator from a tiny state, who looks more like a college professor than a politician, who started running for president just last spring with nothing of a political organization to speak of, is giving her a run for her money.

Very telling.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
2. Oh, you are just scratching the surface. If I had the time, I'd love to pour over the old
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 02:29 AM
Feb 2016

dismissive and insulting posts.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
9. The point is not to sneer at anyone, but to honestly remember how far we have come.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 03:20 AM
Feb 2016

This is NOT an unattainable pipe dream.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
10. Not really my point.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 03:21 AM
Feb 2016

And I don't know if brooklynite is part of any establishment or not.

The point is that to know where you ARE, you must also know where you have BEEN.

 

John Poet

(2,510 posts)
12. YES, of COURSE! We've come miles and miles and miles
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 03:32 AM
Feb 2016

from the beginning! Tonight was a grand accomplishment for Bernie.

Sorry, that poster in question just gets up my craw. Pretty sure he's the one that's bragged on his connections with party bigwigs, and namedropped people he's "had dinner with"... He thinks he's better than all the rest of us.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
15. Oh, airquote wise words airquote from that poster.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 05:35 AM
Feb 2016

He doesn't see the glean off the tines of the pitchforks.

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)
16. I honestly thought Bernie was not planning to really try to win
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 05:49 AM
Feb 2016

I assumed he mostly decided to run in order to move the debate left, but wasn't going to make a serious effort. He is impressive in the way he responds to and respects his supporters along with voters who may not be. He's a much stronger candidate than I anticipated.

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