BREAKING: HILLARY CLINTON DECLARED THE WINNER IN IOWA!

[Cali_Democrat]

Congrats, Hillary!

Hillary Clinton Has Won Iowa Caucuses, A.P. Says

DES MOINES — Hillary Clinton was declared the winner of the Iowa caucuses on Tuesday after final vote counts showed her narrowly beating Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, according to The Associated Press and other news organizations.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/03/us/politics/hillary-clinton-declared-winner-of-iowa-caucuses.html?_r=0

[MoonRiver]

1. WOOHOO! Congrats Hillary for a well deserved WIN!!

[virtualobserver]

2. She isn't smiling like that in private...but I am.

[Bjorn Against]

3. She has shown a masterful ability to win coin tosses

[PeaceNikki]

8. As has been explained here repeatedly, those coin tosses didn't amount to beans.

[Bjorn Against]

16. Last I saw if the coin tosses had gone the other way Bernie would have had more delegates

Such a close result in a state she was leading by 30 points a couple months ago is not much of a victory for her.

[PeaceNikki]

30. They were county delegates which are worth a fraction of a state delegate.

They didn't amount to much. Even in this tight of a race.

[Bjorn Against]

32. My understanding is that there is still one state delegate left to be awarded though

I am not super familiar with the caucus rules, but would those county delegates not have a role in choosing that final state delegate?

[PeaceNikki]

37. Here:

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/02/02/sometimes-iowa-democrats-award-caucus-delegates-coin-flip/79680342/

Similar situations played out at various precincts across the state, but had an extremely small effect on the overall outcome, in which Clinton won 49.9 percent of statewide delegate equivalents, while Sanders won 49.5 percent. The delegates that were decided by coin flips were delegates to the party's county conventions, of which there are thousands selected across the state from 1,681 separate precincts. They were not the statewide delegate equivalents that are reported in the final results.

The statewide delegate equivalents that determine the outcome on caucus night are derived from the county-level delegates, but are aggregated across the state and weighted in a manner that makes individual county delegate selections at a handful of precincts count for a tiny fraction of the ultimate result.

[George II]

67. Whoever said that was wrong....

...you may want to read this:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511123143

[George II]

66. You may want to read this...........

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511123143

[grossproffit]

4. Congratulations, Hillary!

[Logical]

5. That pic sums her up. Nt

[cali]

6. Lol.

I assure you, the Clinton campaign is not celebrating. Bernie's campaign is.

[mvd]

13. Yes, I don't get the celebrations

0.3% in a caucus with coin flips? Congrats to both on a good job though.

[Ned_Devine]

29. It's about redefining "winning"

Very emblematic of the current democratic party situation. We must "win" in November, only to be eventually stonewalled by our own "scared of their own shadow" members of the House and Senate when it comes to bold legislation. Just ask Obama.

[George II]

68. Lol.

[JI7]

7. this helps her more than if it was announced yesterday

[KingFlorez]

9. I knew she would win

A hard fought win based on good ground game.

[Alfresco]

10. Way to go Hillary. Onward to the nomination.

[panader0]

11. From 30 points down, Sanders came within .02 points of winning.

Yeah Bernie!. And that's not counting the shenanigans documented here on DU by the Hill campaign.
This is a big deal for Bernie. And a big blow for the Hillarians.

[John Poet]

18. A huge victory for Hillary that you need

a microscope in order to see

[livetohike]

12. K&R

[AZ Progressive]

14. Yep, right after noontime EST

Right after everyone has seen the news in the morning.

[Go Vols]

26. but,its breaking tho

:/

[Starry Messenger]

15. Knew she would be.

[panader0]

22. You called those coin flips eh?

[Starry Messenger]

23. Sour grapes taste great!

[panader0]

25. No sour grapes here. I'm thrilled by Bernie's performance.

From down 30 points to .02 points. Fan-fucking-tastic!
Game on Hillarians.

[Starry Messenger]

27. Well, he'll probably get New Hampshire, so you've got that to look forward to too.

After that, probably Vermont. But he was polling pretty close in Iowa, so it could have gone either way, but didn't! I'm glad we both have something to celebrate!

[panader0]

31. He started out 30 points back--is that polling pretty close?

And when he wins in New Hampshire, it won't be by .02 points or a coin flip.

[Starry Messenger]

34. For the past several months, he's been polling pretty close.

When he was down 30 points, he'd barely started running. Obviously he was never going to stay that low, that's silly.

[jkbRN]

17. Sad to say

Hillarys camp doesn't feel like it was a win, because basically, it wasn't.

But there are three reasons why this apparent victory for Clinton feels more like a loss. One, there's already controversy, with the Sanders camp alleging that due to Iowa Democratic Party mismanagement, reports were late coming in from about 90 precincts, per NBC's Danny Freeman. And in an interview with NBC's Kasie Hunt, Sanders didn't rule out challenging the results. Two, winning essentially by one vote (err, five state delegate equivalents) instead of 1 percentage point, denied Clinton the opportunity to use ANY win as momentum heading into New Hampshire, where Sanders enjoys a sizable lead.

And three, if you don't want to take our word for it, here's the attitude inside Clinton Land. "Clinton advisers … said they did not know if a significant staff shakeup was at hand, but they said that the Clintons were disappointed with Monday night's result and wanted to ensure that her organization, political messaging and communications strategy were in better shape for the contests to come," the New York Times writes.

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read-why-clinton-s-apparent-iowa-win-feels-more-n509606

[SheenaR]

19. Congrats on your 1 delegate win

Let's have a parade

[randome]

20. She looks angry and loud.

[hr][font color="blue"][center]There is nothing you can't do if you put your mind to it.
Nothing.[/center][/font][hr]

[SunSeeker]

21. Considering all the shit that was dumped on her just a few days before the primary, I'm happy.

She was down in Iowa just a few weeks ago and managed to climb back and pull out a win. She's a fighter, and so are her supporters!

[pangaia]

38. Gafaaw!!!

[Beacool]

24. Congratulations, Hillary!!!!

First woman to win the IA caucus.



Also congratulations to Sen. Sanders. It was a well fought and extremely close race.

[onehandle]

33. Congrats!

[img][/img]

[bowens43]

35. lol 10 years of prep and she 'wins' by less then 1%

[Matariki]

36. You must have really been worried to be *so* excited over 2/10 of a percent

I think South Carolina is going to be a much more significant test.

[workinclasszero]

39. Woo-hoo!

Congratulations Hillary!

[stonecutter357]

40. K&R!

[Cali_Democrat]

41. .

.

[liberalnarb]

42. Don't feel too comfortable

She won by a few VOTES not points.

[LibDemAlways]

43. At least half of those who participated in the

caucuses as Democrats (and perhaps more because we don't know the raw vote totals) chose the other guys (including O'Malley supporters, too). This despite Hillary's enormous advantages in terms of money, organization, and endorsements. I would hardly be jumping up and down, and your all caps headline, as though Hillary took it by a landslide, is just obnoxious. For all intents and purposes Iowa was a draw. Now it's on to New Hampshire and let's see what happens there.

[frylock]

44. Congratulations on not totally choking away a 30-point cushion!

[DesertRat]

45. Hillary just became the first woman to win the Iowa Caucus!

[Number23]

46. My interest level in Iowa was about 9%. My interest in NH is even lower. But a win is a win

K&R

[modestybl]

47. Congratulations HRC for eking out the win...

... just before the trendlines caught up with you...


http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-iowa-presidential-democratic-caucus


last pollster trend: HRC 47.7
BS 44.6


last night: HRC 49.8
BS 49.6

You guys didn't it coming ...

[ljm2002]

48. From the article you cite:

The Iowa results — the closest in the history of the Iowa Democratic caucuses — were far tighter than Mrs. Clinton and her advisers had expected. But her team embraced the result as a significant win given her previous troubles in the state — she came in third place in the 2008 caucuses — and Mr. Sanders’s popularity with many liberals here. (In a poll last month, 43 percent of likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers described themselves as socialists.) Still, the close margin privately frustrated Mrs. Clinton and former President Bill Clinton, according to advisers, because they had hoped that a strong win would give her much-needed political momentum in New Hampshire, where Mr. Sanders has a solid lead in opinion polls.

Mrs. Clinton quickly sought to capitalize on the skin-of-her-teeth victory, presenting herself as a winner during a rally in New Hampshire on Tuesday morning as she and Mr. Sanders intensified their competition to win the primary there.

Don't know if I'd break out the fireworks just yet. A sparkler or two, certainly. Congrats.

[Betty Karlson]

49. She won by 0.2% and by six coin flips! She is so lucky!!!!!!

(Lucky, or supported by the establishment. Because she certainly doesn't inspire enthousiasm or votes. She lost the youth votes by 70 percent. Going with her would be a GE disaster that would put 2014 in the shadow.)

[mcar]

50. Congratulations Madame Secretary

[Perogie]

51. Congrats on winning 6 coin flips

That's what it came down to. Not that more people wanted HRC. She just had better luck on the coin flips.


Great job Hillary.
With all your powerful backers and endorsements. All the big money contributors.
The name recognition from running for President since 2006.
Bringing in the big dawg Bill into Iowa.

You won it by a coin toss. I sincerely congratulate HRC on her luck.

[DrDan]

55. you really don't understand the purpose of those coin-flips, do you

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511123143

[Bobbie Jo]

59. WRONG

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511123143

[DrDan]

52. well-deserved - the first of many

[Nanjeanne]

53. I found their speeches last night telling

Hillary gave a speech very much like one would expect from someone who is the "winner". And because she touts her experience as the primary reason to vote for her - her speech was all about what "I will do".

Bernie, on the other hand, gave a gracious speech about both his competitors, while pointing out the truth, that the results were a virtual tie - and his speech was all about what "We can do".

[riversedge]

54. For the 1st TIME in US History a woman- wins Iowa Caucus! The Force was with Hillary--->V-I-C-T-O-R-

For the 1st TIME in US History a woman- wins Iowa Caucus! The Force was with Hillary--->V-I-C-T-O-R-Y …

[Katashi_itto]

56. 13 mill spent for a .05% win. From a 30 point lead.

And you get 1 delegate. Like Napoleon declaring the Russian campaign a successful victory since they still had troops left.

[SoapBox]

57. And after New Hampshire next week...she will be behind!

The Annointed One did NOT sweep Iowa!

She didn't even get 50%!

[ismnotwasm]

58. Ok, I going to use this smilie for the first time I can remember

Eh, didn't do anything for me.

Congratulations to Hillary Clintion! Let's take her to the White House!

[ORjohn]

60. Hillary for coin flipper in Chief

[pandr32]

61. Madame President!

Won't be long now!

[Spitfire of ATJ]

62. Do you hear that?

It's a funny squeaking sound.

[Hortensis]

63. She looks so happy in that picture.

I'm glad. It may be a marginal win, but it's a win, and she worked so hard for it.

(I think just one of Hillary's typical days would kill me. Thrown in cold anyway.)

[basselope]

64. LMAO

[George II]

65. Wonderful! According to the Des Moines Register she gets 23 delegates to Sanders' 21...

...plus at least six Super Delegates.