This is How a Blow-Out Starts

[babylonsister]

http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2012/10/1/22175/7859

This is How a Blow-Out Starts

by BooMan
Mon Oct 1st, 2012 at 10:17:05 PM EST


According to the WMUR Granite State poll, Romney's campaign in New Hampshire has utterly collapsed. Obama leads with independents 47%-29% and he has a 27% advantage with women. Add that up and Obama leads 52%-37% overall and 54%-39% once you push leaners. It seems almost certain that Obama will top 55% in the state, while Romney will struggle to top 40%. That means we will almost certainly win both House seats in the state. The Democrats have a 12% advantage in motivation, too, which shows that it has been important to hammer home the fact that Romney is going to lose. The New Hampshire GOP has received the message and they no longer give a shit.

This is how a campaign crumbles. Remember, I compared it to arm-wrestling. It can look competitive for a long time, but ultimately one side is stronger and the victory can be sudden and jarring. Pollsters were seeing an enthusiasm gap that favored Republicans all year long, and their likely voter models reflected that. But the enthusiasm gap has been closed, or even reversed in some places. That's why the GOP has launched this absurd campaign about unskewed polls. They can't let their troops realize the game is over or the floor will fall out below them. And, in New Hampshire, it already has.

[joycejnr]

1. Win or lose, it will be interesting to compare these polls to actual votes and...

...exit polls. I can't remember reading any stories that told us that voting machine "irregularities" have been repaired.

Did I miss a story on the infamous Diebold machines?

[angstlessk]

3. I think they don't do exit polls since bush won in 2000 and the exit polls did not match the actual

voting...so in 3rd world countries exit polls are absolutely accurate, here in the US, where even the Carter Commission cannot claim fair voting...exit polls are OUT

[joycejnr]

6. We'll see if the media can resist. n/t

[yellowcanine]

2. John Sununu calls that poll "garbage" so we know it must be so.

He didn't think Clinton was going to beat Bush in 1992 either.

[K Gardner]

5. Sununu and Chuck Todd need to get a room. They've both been disgusting. n/t

[SoFlaJet]

4. Well not according to Chucky Todd on Hardball

It's his opinion that there is still a big enthusiasm gap for republicans. Of course he got that tidbit from his GOP buddies that he's been talking to. We dems are psyched-we have fresh in our minds ALL of the shit the Tea Party assholes pulled from spitting on Rep Cummings to blocking EVERYTHING that would have helped this country get out of this depression that THEY caused. Fuck them and I'm sorry I'm swearing, but I still feel the scabs of the wounds inflicted on us all and me and my family personally. I want the Hose, the senate AND the executive....no mercy Sis...no mercy