2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver's 538 puts Sanders' odds of winning New Hampshire above 99 percent
ilver's team calculated the Vermont senators chances to win the first-in-the-nation primary on Tuesday as greater than 99 percent, based on a weighted average of 84 polls dating back to last year.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-nate-silver-218974#ixzz3zhKhKqv9
Let's make it a landslide win!
NowSam
(1,252 posts)magical thyme
(14,881 posts)behind the numbers...what is going on with people and why...he's out of his depth. People are either good with numbers or good with people. Very rare bird that can bridge that gap, lol.
That's my take, anyway...
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Hassin Bin Sober
(26,335 posts)2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)I'm not sure that he matters. He just feeds the polls into his formula. His predictions change as the peoples opinions are swayed. To impress me he would need to make an unchanging prediction that pans out in the end.