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magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 02:46 PM Feb 2016

Nate Silver's 538 puts Sanders' odds of winning New Hampshire above 99 percent

ilver's team calculated the Vermont senator’s chances to win the first-in-the-nation primary on Tuesday as greater than 99 percent, based on a weighted average of 84 polls dating back to last year.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-nate-silver-218974#ixzz3zhKhKqv9


Let's make it a landslide win!

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Nate Silver's 538 puts Sanders' odds of winning New Hampshire above 99 percent (Original Post) magical thyme Feb 2016 OP
Okay I like him again. eom NowSam Feb 2016 #1
he's fine as long as he sticks to analyzing numbers. as soon as he tries to understand what gives magical thyme Feb 2016 #4
So he's out from under the bus for now. Hoyt Feb 2016 #2
But he is on the bubble. Hassin Bin Sober Feb 2016 #5
Personally I don't give a shit whether he is under the bus or not 2pooped2pop Feb 2016 #7
For now. He had HIllary winning NH just a few weeks ago, which was just stupid. morningfog Feb 2016 #8
That is a very weak win artislife Feb 2016 #3
Uh Oh -- get ready for a Clinton upset Armstead Feb 2016 #6
 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
4. he's fine as long as he sticks to analyzing numbers. as soon as he tries to understand what gives
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 02:53 PM
Feb 2016

behind the numbers...what is going on with people and why...he's out of his depth. People are either good with numbers or good with people. Very rare bird that can bridge that gap, lol.

That's my take, anyway...

 

2pooped2pop

(5,420 posts)
7. Personally I don't give a shit whether he is under the bus or not
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 03:15 PM
Feb 2016

I'm not sure that he matters. He just feeds the polls into his formula. His predictions change as the peoples opinions are swayed. To impress me he would need to make an unchanging prediction that pans out in the end.

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