Reuters/Ipsos poll: Obama 47, Romney 45

[VirginiaTarheel]

Romney "surge" has stalled. Obama was up by same margin Friday.

[helpisontheway]

1. Good news...

Holding on to any of the good news so I don't start stressing about the debate performance again.

[regnaD kciN]

2. Very good news...

As I've written below, data from Friday (Gallup and Rasmussen) and Thursday-Friday (Ipsos) polling had suggested a 12-point-or-more Romney gain; if this had continued into Friday-Saturday, we should have seen Romney ahead by a point or so in today's release. Instead, it would appear that today's numbers reverted back to where they were shortly before the debate. It's only one data-point in one poll, but it's the first suggestion that the "Romney surge" might turn out to be merely a one- or two-day phenomenon, rather than a lasting trend. Polls in the next few days will tell more of the story.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. At First I Didn't Understand Your Mathematical Argument But Now I Do

Is it possible to deconstruct a poll with that amount of specificity?

[Vietnameravet]

3. This is even better because

the national polls are skewed toward Romney because of very strong support in the red states.. this means that Obama has strong support in the swing states and that is where the election will be decided...

[jenmito]

4. Link?

[Jennicut]

5. Right here:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/06/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE8931E420121006

Good findings in this poll for Obama:

Just a month before the November 6 election, the Democratic president is ahead of his Republican challenger on character attributes that can win over undecided voters who have not been swayed on policy points.

"We haven't seen additional gains from Romney. This suggests to me that this is more of a bounce than a permanent shift," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

The poll did not show Obama backers shifting to Romney. Rather, Romney's small gains on a few of the issues came from people who had been undecided.

[VirginiaTarheel]

6. I can't access internals right now on phone

But I hear the internals are great for Obama in swing states

[jenmito]

13. Thanks, other Jen!

[RichGirl]

7. Looks like...

Big Bird sat on Romneys bump!

[Zalatix]

8. The Cheat Sheet caught up with him!

[barnabas63]

9. ....hope it's downhill from here for Willard. nt

[union_maid]

10. Did you read this article on the poll?

Really, really nice stuff. It's Yahoo, but very cheery stuff.

[NYC Liberal]

12. And it will reverse in the polls next week after the jobs news.