2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama +2 in Wisconsin??
He's had double digit leads for better part of 2 weeks, now +2?...I know his debate performance wasnt that great, but Jesus Christ ate potato cakes at Arby's it wasn't THAT bad, when it first ended, I TRULY thought it was a draw...No gaffes, no "your no Jack Kennedy" type lines from etch a sketch, no looking at the watch a la Bush 41 in 1992 debate....
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/06/latest_swing_state_polls.html
I guess i get worked up over polls
rocktivity
(44,576 posts)"Unclean! UNCLEAN!!!"
rocktivity
longship
(40,416 posts)They don't stand a chance with Kolchak: The Night Stalker on the case.
Link: http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kolchak:_The_Night_Stalker
(sorry, DUcode doesn't accept punctuation in "links".)
TroyD
(4,551 posts)fugop
(1,828 posts)If you look at the other PPP tweets, they also said today 's polling looks like pre-debate polling again. So as with ipsos, it may have been a short-lived bounce, mot a new trend.
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)"No movement in WI among Indys"
(On their Twitter)
ProSense
(116,464 posts)PPP's newest Wisconsin poll finds a big debate bump for Mitt Romney in the state. Two weeks ago he trailed Barack Obama by 7 points there, 52-45. Now he's pulled to within two points, with Obama's lead now just 49-47.
There's not much doubt it was Romney's strong debate performance on Wednesday night that's given him this boost. Voters think he won the debate by a 61/25 margin, including a 60/19 margin with independents. 95% of Republicans think Romney won the debate, while only 50% of Democrats claim to think Obama was the winner. Romney's image has seen significant improvement over the last couple weeks with 49% of voters now expressing a positive opinion of him to 48% with a negative one. That's up a net 8 points from a 44/51 spread on our last poll.
The main shift compared to 2 weeks ago in Wisconsin is an increase in Republican enthusiasm about Romney and the election in general. He's gone from leading Obama by 79 points with Republicans (89-10) to an 85 point advantage (92-7). One thing that might be reassuring for Democrats is that Obama's held steady with independents in the state, continuing to hold a 9 point lead.
There's also been a big uptick in Republican enthusiasm about the election. Two weeks ago there was basically no enthusiasm gap with 65% of Democrats and 63% of GOP voters saying they were 'very excited' to vote this fall. Now the Republicans are seeing an advantage on that question with their share of 'very excited' voters climbing to 72% while the Democrats have declined to 63%.
- more -
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-lead-down-to-2-in-wisconsin.html
If Obama is staying steady and winning independents by the same pre-debate margin, Romney's plus is all Republicans.
treestar
(82,383 posts)Or are just soaking that up from the chattering classes, right wingers, and hand-wringing "disappointed" liberals (who are always so helpful to our candidates and elected officials)
fanfan0711
(46 posts)The electorate is fickle. I know he was bad in the debate, but these 2 guys are so different I don't know how anyone can be disappointed in one and change their vote to the other.
By the way, PPP (on Twitter) says their Saturday (today's) polling numbers look more like the numbers PRE debate (when Obama had a wider margin) than yesterday's when they were horrid, so let's just wait and see. These poll numbers will look worse in the next couple of days before improving.
My Pet Goat
(413 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Team Obama needs to make use of the positive Jobs Report to reverse Romney's bump and turn it into one for Obama!