New Post Debate Presidential Poll for Colorado: Obama 47% - Romney 43%

[writes3000]

It's a University of Denver/Selzer poll...

Even though Colorado said Romney won the debate by a 68% - 19% margin, President Obama leads independents in the state by a 48% - 31% margin.


debate2012.du.edu/archive/stories/poll

[Drunken Irishman]

1. BUT...BUT...BUT OBAMA IS LOSING! LIKE ERMAHGERD

[Indpndnt]

2. O.M.G.

[Indpndnt]

3. So much for the 90 minutes of the debate.

Willard lies and wants to kill Big Bird. End stop.

Wait until the jobs numbers are factored into the next poll. Even better results then.

[speedoo]

4. "The debate’s major effect was reinforcing existing views of likely voters ....

rather than changing them."

Very encouraging. Now, let's see what happens to Romney's support as people see how he lied.

[Cha]

5. thanks writes!

[TroyD]

6. What is the history of this pollster?

Is it usually reliable?

Does it lean a particular way or is it independent?

[Drunken Irishman]

7. I tend to trust University polls over partisan polls...

[TroyD]

8. This should offset the (+3) Romney Gravis poll for Colorado

[Moses2SandyKoufax]

11. Selzer is pretty reliable.

I'm sure the cross tabs aren't showing Romney with 57% support from African Americans!

[AnnieK401]

9. Obviously skewed numbers to keep Republicans from voting.

Last edited Sun Oct 7, 2012, 02:32 PM - Edit history (1)

[littlemissmartypants]

10. Welcome to the DU!

[AverageJoe90]

12. Don't forget your sarcasm tags, Miss. nt =)

[AnnieK401]

19. Done

Thanks for reminding me.

[hedda_foil]

13. Selzer will be answering press questions tomorrow.

View the complete poll findings and full description of the methodology (PDF).

Dr. Peter Hanson, among the poll conductors, will be available for interviews from 11 a.m. - 2 p.m. MST (1 - 4 p.m. EST) on Sunday, Oct. 7. To arrange an interview, call 720-608-0240, or e-mail [e-mail].

I'd like to ask him about this result, which bothers me.

Fifty-nine percent of respondents said jobs and the economy were the most important issues in the election—and by a margin of 50-45, they said Gov. Romney would do a better job.

Significantly, among voters who cited jobs and the economy as their top concerns, Gov. Romney leads President Obama, 56-32.

"The poll found a significant amount of polarization in the Colorado electorate in regards to the economy," noted University of Denver political scientist Dr. Seth Masket. "Democrats are much more likely to see the economy and their overall economic situation to have improved over the past year. Republicans, meanwhile, have strongly negative views of the economy and their own economic situation over the past year. Independents are more likely to say that the economy has gotten worse over the past year."

[TroyD]

14. Survey was taken on October 4th and 5th

News of the new Jobs Report didn't come out until the morning of the 5th, and many people wouldn't have had time to digest it or see it until at least later that day.

So since this survey was taken largely pre-Jobs Report, we'll need to see one on the economy done now that Obama has achieved his goal of lowering unemployment below 8%.

[Moses2SandyKoufax]

15. This poll should please DUers for many reasons:

1) Selzer is a highly respected polling firm, one of the best in the entire country actually.

2) Pole was conducted post-debate Thursday 10/4 and Friday 10/5 (Two of President Obama's worst polling days during the campaign).

3) The surveys probably didn't pick up any of Friday's good economic/unemployment news.

I wonder what this poll would look like had it been conducted on Oct. 6th, and Oct 7th.

[writes3000]

18. Good point about the poll not picking up the full reaction to the jobs news.

[7worldtrade]

16. Rand Family Life Poll has Obama at 48.95 and Romney at 45.1

Obama's drop was much less from yesterday's polling, it appears. he dropped about 7/10 of a percent from Thursday to Friday and 1/4 of a percent from Friday to Saturday. Romney jumped about 3/4 of a percent from Thursday to Friday and went up about 1/4 of a percent Friday to Saturday. This is a 7 day rolling average so it now includes 3 post debate days and one post-jobs report, massive Dem haul days. At least it looks like the surge is blunted. Now I'd like to see it move back in the other direction.

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election

[RichGirl]

17. Thank you for some good news this morning!!