2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhy the CT Senate race is tied- McMahon hired the swift boaters.
Heres a very good article from western Connecticut about how Linda McMahon (Pimp and Steroid pusher) - CT, has spent MILLIONS hiring top republican consultants to demonize Chris Murphy.
Murphy has had a basically low key, local campaign, but now the DSCC has stepped in and is helping.
http://www.newstimes.com/local/article/McMahon-Murphy-s-inner-circles-a-sharp-contrast-3924972.php
(snip)
McMahon, Murphy's inner circles a sharp contrast
In her second attempt to win election to the U.S. Senate, Greenwich millionaire Linda McMahon has assembled a team of the most aggressive, take-no-prisoners Republican political operatives that money can buy.
Among the advisers she has hired are consultants associated with some of the GOP's most successful negative campaigns ever: The 2004 Swift Boat Veterans attacks on U.S. Sen. John Kerry when he was the Democratic presidential candidate and the so-called Willie Horton TV ad of 1988, credited with helping defeat Democratic presidential candidate Michael Dukakis.
On the other side, 5th District Congressman Chris Murphy began his campaign with a much smaller team of advisers, many of them home-grown without a lot of experience in high-stakes races. But in the face of a withering TV assault from McMahon that took its toll on Murphy's approval ratings, the Democrat has now ceded some control of his campaign to Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee operatives from Washington, including its deputy political director, who were rushed to Connecticut to bolster his operation.
McMahon's campaign was well-primed to go after Murphy right after the Aug. 14 primary, and pursue him it did, airing a blitz of TV ads seeking to portray him as financially irresponsible in his personal life and less than diligent in his attention to his congressional duties. The Democrat's initial responses were halting and inconsistent.
(snip)
Panasonic
(2,921 posts)Murphy will win.
Was never tied.
McMahon is not going to give Vince McMahon an extension.
All they have to do is review their failed business ventures.
Bonhomme Richard
(9,000 posts)in the past few years it has become very balanced. Much to the chagrin and annoyance of the teabaggers.
Exultant Democracy
(6,594 posts)It may appear that the democratic party in MA or CT is strong when in fact it i simply entrenched. Scott Brown won because MA democrats were week stupid and vain and both CT and MA have a long history of electing terrible republicans as Gov for the same reason.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)As Martha Coakley did in MA in 2010.
But at least the DSCC has realized the problem a month in advance and is helping Murphy out. I'm not sure why people thought he could go up against the resources of McMahon all by himself.
I'm beginning to think that Bill Clinton should make a stop in CT to help Murphy once he's done in AZ with Richard Carmona on Wednesday.
Now although the polls are still apparently tied, Nate Silver does give the edge to Murphy because of the 'state fundamentals' (eg. top of the ticket Dem Presidential advantage etc.) Nate currently says Murphy has a 69% chance of winning.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)Gov in Mass.
She was an actual moderate Republican who did not change her mind a million times. I didn't vote for her but Romney was way worse. She was pro choice in the 80's and pro choice when she left office.
And Chris Murphy is not Martha Coakley, he is a young, less well known Rep that has less money then multi millionaire Linda McMahon.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Do you feel in retrospect that was an en error in judgment?
Would it have been better to choose Susan B?
She was just not as popular after trying to run for AG and not having the credentials to run for it.
Murphy is not THAT unknown. Our state is small. I know Himes, Larson, Courteny and DeLauro very well. We only have 5 Reps so Chris Murphy was known as well as those other Reps. It is just Linda McMahon is a celebrity here, so she is REALLY well known and has tons of money.
Exultant Democracy
(6,594 posts)a skilled political team would have had no problem taking back the governors mansion after Roland. Murphy also had plenty of time to define himself before McMahon did it for him.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)give you that.
trayfoot
(1,568 posts)I am in VA, and I see a slew of McMahon ads on cable networks. I haven't seen any Murphy ads. Is this race realy this unfairly balanced?
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)I just posted this in GD. Please DU the poll in this article of the debate: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021489599
but 65 to 35 for McMahon.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)I mean, it was 4 ads during The Voice last week. It is almost overkill and can backfire when people tire of you.
Murphy has started to have good ads run recently.
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)He would connect the dots for folks. He does that very well. Murphy was trying out the "a vote for McMahon is a vote for RW republicanism" in today's debate but Bill could just nail it in one of his really concise lines.
LiberalFighter
(50,943 posts)How much of her income is not taxed?
Which countries does she keep her savings?
How does a man have sex with a woman with her physique?
Does she wear size 13 men's shoes?
Does she have to shave because of all of the steroids she uses?
TroyD
(4,551 posts)FIVETHIRTYEIGHT PROJECTIONS DEM REP MARGIN
Polling average 45.4 44.3 (Murphy +1.1)
Adjusted polling average 46.8 45.5 (Murphy +1.3)
State fundamentals 53.0 35.3 (Murphy +17.7)
Now-cast 47.6 44.2 (Murphy +3.4)
Projected vote share 50.7 47.3 (Murphy +3.4)
Chance of winning 69% 31%
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/