Siena poll: New York 27th District - TIE
Sunday, October 7, 2012
Siena
Hochul (D) 47
Collins (R) 47
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Race Even Despite District Favoring Romney & Rep. Control of House
Loudonville, NY. With just over four weeks until Election Day, Democratic incumbent Representative Kathy Hochul and her Republican challenger Chris Collins are in a dead-even tie, with 47 percent of likely voters saying they plan to vote for each, according to a Buffalo News/WGRZ-TV/Siena College Research Institute poll of likely 27th C.D. voters released today.
Mitt Romney leads President Obama 51-42 percent (little changed from 53-41 percent in August). By a margin of 53-41 percent (virtually unchanged from 54-40 percent), voters want to see Republicans control the House of Representatives.
“In seven weeks since the last Buffalo News/ WGRZ-TV/Siena College poll, the race for Congress is largely unchanged,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg. “What was a 47-45 percent race favoring Collins is now a dead-even contest with 47 percent of likely voters supporting each candidate.
“Both candidates continue to do well with voters in their own party, however, independent voters have flipped, now giving Hochul an eight-point lead after previously favoring Collins by six points. Erie County provides Hochul with a six-point edge after being even, while the other counties favor Collins 48-44 percent, up slightly from 46-44 percent. The gender gap has narrowed as Collins had led men by 16 points and now leads by seven, and Hochul had led women by 12 points and now leads by five,” Greenberg said.
http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/sri/27th%20CD%20October%202012%20Poll%20Release%202%20--%20FINAL.pdf