The Super Tuesday States I think Bernie will take

[cali]

Vermont

Massachusetts

Oklahoma

Minnesota

Colorado

Alaska

[SwampG8r]

1. Maybe Florida

I am on grou d here.a d sbe has no presence that i can see
No signs no.stickers
Bernie has signs all over my neighborhood including the yards of several more moderate republicans
She is not well received here.

[Hortensis]

8. Florida comes after and will be a winner take all state.

Certainly both candidates would love its over 200 I think delegates. I'm afraid that at this point Hilary does seem to be well ahead in most parts of the state, if not your neighborhood.

[SwampG8r]

27. Im all over the state all the time

Except for retirement villages i see no support for her
That bei v said i ha ent been to miami/west palm or tampa in a while and they are about the only majority dem areas in the state.

[brooklynite]

29. WRONG!

214 of 246 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are pledged to presidential contenders based on the results of today's Presidential Primary. A mandatory 15 percent threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be pledged National Convention delegates at either the congressional district or statewide level.

140 district delegates are to be pledged proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State's 27 congressional districts.

74 delegates are to be pledged to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/FL-D

There are, in fact, NO Democratic Primaries that are Winner Take All. Only the Republican Primary has these.

[Rocky the Leprechaun]

2. Me?

I think Clinton will lose all but 2 of her Super Tuesday states, but still collect delegates.

[kaiden]

9. Oh, Rocky! I know you!

We would buy our Christmas tree from you every year...you are no Democrat so what are you doing on Democratic Underground? Hahaha!

[Rocky the Leprechaun]

10. :)

Things aren't what it appears to be.

[kaiden]

11. Did you go to San Francisco?

[Rocky the Leprechaun]

13. Never been to San Francisco.

Although that's on the horizon in the future... been to Southern California alot, but never been to San Francisco or the Bay Area. I have friends who were from Colorado living over there.

[Erich Bloodaxe BSN]

3. I think somebody fed me a bogus list of Super Tuesday states.

I don't remember seeing half of those states on the last list I saw posted. Didn't even know Vermont was a Super Tuesday state.

[bigwillq]

7. Wiki link

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016

[yesphan]

4. I know he's

putting a lot of resources in Oklahoma.

[morningfog]

5. With you on most. OK and Alaska will be close.

I also expect Bernie to make a good showing in the southern states.

Texas is huge, though, and Hillary will win there. I think when the dust settles, the delegate allocation from Super Tuesday will be nearly an even split.

At any rate, it won't be the knock out that Hilary's most obnoxious fans have been claiming it will be for months.

[cali]

6. Definitely not a knockout

[Hortensis]

12. Didn't mean to be obnoxious, if I was. :) Certainly nothing is won or lost until it happens.

I think I did at one point note the second big bruiser bout that comes after Super Tuesday, on March 15th. Florida, Illinois, Missouri, South Carolina, Ohio. I think three or more of these are winner take all, but aside from Florida I don't remember which.

Cali's projection seems possible at this point.

[morningfog]

14. There are no winner take all states in the Dem primaries.

There are some on the republican side.

[Hortensis]

16. Oh my gosh, you're right. Screwed my head on backwards this morning.

Florida's a hoot because it went winner take all specifically to give Jeb the state. Look out, here comes the Donald...

[cali]

17. There are no winner take all states in the Democratic primary

None. I keep. Posting that information.

The Democratic Party always uses a proportional method for awarding delegates. The percentage of delegates each candidate is awarded (or the number of undecided delegates) is representative of the mood of the caucus-goers or the number of primary votes for the candidate. For example imagine a state with ten delegates and three candidates. If 60% of the people supported candidate X, 20% supported candidate Y, and 20% supported candidate Z, candidate X would receive six delegates and candidates Y and Z would each receive two delegates.

https://votesmart.org/education/presidential-primary#.VsXPSpBOlpU

[Hortensis]

18. Thanks, Cali. You're right of course.

Notably more Democratic, natch, pun intended.

[cali]

19. Definitely more democratic than the republicans

[JonLeibowitz]

28. Meanwhile they have only 3 supers per state...

[HereSince1628]

15. I'm with you. I think 'ties' and close losses will be the story of super-Tuesday

None of the contests are winner-take-all. Staying competitive in the delegate race is the objective.

I don't have any grasp of current preference in OK or AL, I've been looking but not seeing much polling on those. I don't see enough to disagree or agree with predictions on those two.

Frankly there isn't much current polling on the other states, either.

I do think that the landscape of the primary isn't ever solid ground. It shifts with each contest. NV and SC are very capable of leveraging the balance of what will be a lot of split decisions for the not so super super-Tuesday contests.

[JRLeft]

20. I think people are in denial in this thread, Bernie will be lucky to get 3 or 4 states.

It will take a miracle to make up that much ground.

[cali]

21. He is ahead in Vermont, Massachusetts and Alaska. Tied in Oklahoma

And in Vermont, he may well shut her out completely.

[JRLeft]

22. I said 3 or 4 states, he's way behind in majority of the states.

[cali]

23. He's catching up and as you may not know, there are no winner take all states

[JRLeft]

24. I know that, but I expect Hillary to pull way ahead in the delegate count after Super Tuesday.

[daleanime]

26. But not by much, and the longer this campaign goes on....

the more people will get to see the two candidates. And that's a win for Bernie.

[JRLeft]

30. I hope so, we will see.

[kristopher]

25. Well according to Rachel's implication, Hillary is playing catchup because Bernie has more offices

Odd she didn't point out that name recognition might be a factor in campaign staffing decisions.