Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 03:46 PM Feb 2016

HRC up big in new SC Poll

West Long Branch, NJ – Hillary Clinton continues to hold a large lead over Bernie Sanders in the South Carolina primary according to the latest Monmouth University Poll. Clinton is seen as the stronger candidate on issues of concern to African-Americans and those who are struggling financially.

Clinton currently holds a 59% to 30% lead over Sanders among those likely to vote in South Carolina’s Democratic primary next week. This is down somewhat from the 69% to 21% lead she held in November, but is still a sizable margin.

Among white voters under the age of 50, Sanders has a small, statistically insignificant lead of 48% to 44% over Clinton, but among black voters under 50, Clinton has a sizable 60% to 26% advantage. This is only slightly smaller than Clinton’s 69% to 12% lead among black voters age 50 and older and is actually wider than the 59% to 39% lead she holds among older white voters in South Carolina.

“Sanders needs to convince minority voters that his economic inequality message addresses their specific concerns. If he is unable to do that in the South Carolina contest, it could be a very tough road for him in the southern-heavy Super Tuesday contests a few days later,” said Patrick...

http://www.monmouth.edu/university/monmouth-university-polling-institute.aspx

19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

mhatrw

(10,786 posts)
19. This poll was TOTALLY RIGGED in Clinton's favor!
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 02:55 AM
Feb 2016

67% of the likely voters in this poll were non-white and 60% were female!

The numbers:

242 of the 403 polled were women (60.0%)

234 of 403 were black (58.1%)

just 134 of 403 were white (33.3%)

35 of 403 were other (8.7%)

Mike__M

(1,052 posts)
12. Still "up" in the sense of position
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 04:10 PM
Feb 2016

not upward in the sense of direction; no, that would be downward, the general polling trajectory.

Spazito

(50,371 posts)
17. Your post was alerted on...
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 04:37 PM
Feb 2016

by a banned poster, very strange:

The Bernites are going to Romnitize the polls.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1265808

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

When I called Hillary supporters Hillbots, i was banned. Double standard.

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Thu Feb 18, 2016, 12:00 PM, and the Jury voted 1-6 to LEAVE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: I can't wait for the primary season to be over.
Juror #4 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Bernites? Romnitize? WTF?
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It's an opinion. Rebut, don't alert.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Hmmm, if the alerter was banned, how can they alert? The post doesn't violate ANY of the criteria needed to vote to hide.
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It's GD: P.

Live with it for a few more months and grow some thicker skin, alerter.

Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.

 

Kentonio

(4,377 posts)
6. Since when was 48-44 considered 'small, statistically insignificant'?
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 03:52 PM
Feb 2016

The margin of error is only 4.9.

mikehiggins

(5,614 posts)
10. So HRC only lost ten points since November.
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 04:08 PM
Feb 2016

That must really cheer her up.

Of course, why should she lose any points at all?

kenn3d

(486 posts)
14. But she'll still need to win SC big, for it not to be a "loss".
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 04:22 PM
Feb 2016

She lost 10 and Bernie gained 9 for a net -19pts since the previous Monmouth (2 months ago)
The trends are definitely in Bernie's favor, but he's not likely to close that huge gap with only 10 days left.

All these races are closing rapidly as respective election dates approach. It's got to feel like free fall to Hillary's campaign. He's giving her one helluva run for her (big) money.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»HRC up big in new SC Poll