2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMatt Karp: Why Bernie Can Win
The Pundits Are Wrong. Bernie Sanders is the Most Electable Candidate This November
"...A final line of argument, exemplified by Ruth Marcus in the Washington Post, insists that Sanderss platform is simply too left-wing for a moderate American electorate. Usually this is trotted out amid broad national surveys that find the country divided between ostensibly coherent blocs of liberal, moderate, and conservative voters.
But as political scientists Shawn Treier and D. Sunshine Hillygus have argued, two-dimensional surveys of voter ideology do not provide a useful guide to the American electorate. To the great disappointment of the Post editorial board, many self-identified moderates are not sober Beltway centrists but in fact cross-pressured by a mix of strong liberal and conservative beliefs.
The unstable and multidimensional identity of the moderate voter helps explain why Sanderss own polling numbers have regularly confounded the prejudices of pundits. In New Hampshire, for instance, where experts repeatedly stressed his strength with liberals, Sanders actually did even better with moderate/conservative voters.
It might also help explain why Sanders polls well in places like Nevada and Alaska states not known as liberal bastions, but home to a large number of independent voters..."
Much more.
Gregorian
(23,867 posts)femmedem
(8,203 posts)So many people prefer Bernie's policies but think he isn't as electable in the GE as Hillary. This can help us dispel that myth.
lasttrip
(1,013 posts)Peace.
LT
femmedem
(8,203 posts)I was happy to read it; figured others would be happy to read it, too.
lasttrip
(1,013 posts)femmedem
(8,203 posts)I checked before I posted, but I think we were cutting and pasting at the same time.
Great photo! You might run into some trouble with copyright though; I think our rules are that we can only post four paragraphs and a link. It was hard to choose because the entire article is so good!
lasttrip
(1,013 posts)It was a good read.
Peace.
LT
noretreatnosurrender
(1,890 posts)Well laid out piece with very convincing arguments.