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Nate Silver now has Hillary winning Nevada at a 75% probability. (Original Post) RBInMaine Feb 2016 OP
Simply Not Enough to Speculate Much Stallion Feb 2016 #1
Keeping my fingers crossed. BlueMTexpat Feb 2016 #2
She has a ground game in the rural precincts. MohRokTah Feb 2016 #3
steady as riversedge Feb 2016 #4

Stallion

(6,476 posts)
1. Simply Not Enough to Speculate Much
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:02 PM
Feb 2016

and I'm for Clinton. Now in South Carolina we have so many quality Polls essentially saying pretty much the same thing

BlueMTexpat

(15,369 posts)
2. Keeping my fingers crossed.
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:03 PM
Feb 2016

NV is tough to call.

Caucus states are unpredictable. Everything depends on attendance.

I am cautiously optimistic, but ....

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
3. She has a ground game in the rural precincts.
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:05 PM
Feb 2016

That can be where the delegate outcome is determined.

A candidate can get thousands more people to show up for them by having huge numbers in Vegas and Reno, but without a good turnout in the rural precincts they can still lose the delegate count and that's all that matters in a caucus.

Obama learned this about Nevada the hard way in 2008.

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