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MrWendel

(1,881 posts)
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:29 PM Feb 2016

Gravis Nevada Poll: Clinton 53, Sanders 47

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/18/1487363/-Latest-Nevada-Poll-Clinton-53-Sanders-47



From One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, released today:

One America News Network, (“OAN”), commissioned Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, to conduct a random survey of 1,366 registered, likely voters in Nevada. The poll was conducted from February 14th to the 15th and includes 687 Republican Caucus participants, 516 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in a caucus, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [4% for Republican and Democratic caucuses]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted separately for each population in the question presented.


On the Republican side, Donald Trump is in first place with 39 percent, followed by Ted Cruz with 23 percent and Marco Rubio with 19 percent.
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Gravis Nevada Poll: Clinton 53, Sanders 47 (Original Post) MrWendel Feb 2016 OP
Excellent! DCBob Feb 2016 #1
I'll take Gravis record and Bernie consistently over performing morningfog Feb 2016 #2
Gravis had Hillary up 11 in Iowa ram2008 Feb 2016 #3
As previously stated, its a crap poll... hoosierlib Feb 2016 #4
The Hispanic vote will be the biggest factor in Nevada. DCBob Feb 2016 #5
Union votes, too, many of which are Hispanic. Double whammy for Hillary. stopbush Feb 2016 #6
Turnout is key. These polls of "likely" voters don't tell the whole story... TheBluestEye Feb 2016 #7
Looks good for Hillary workinclasszero Feb 2016 #8
Yet Fox News SheenaR Feb 2016 #9
Gravis = garbage. Another thread to trash... (eom) mak3cats Feb 2016 #10
 

hoosierlib

(710 posts)
4. As previously stated, its a crap poll...
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:40 PM
Feb 2016

It assumes 18 - 29 year olds will only make up 9% of the overall electorate in Saturday. For perspective, in IA it was 18% and in NH it was 19%...

It the trend of Bernie winning this group 85% to 15% continues and they actually make up 13%, its a tied race...

So keep that in mind...

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
5. The Hispanic vote will be the biggest factor in Nevada.
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:43 PM
Feb 2016

And by all accounts they are going to Hillary.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
6. Union votes, too, many of which are Hispanic. Double whammy for Hillary.
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:48 PM
Feb 2016

My old union friends in Vegas seem to have missed the "rank-n-file are switching to Bernie" trend announced by the BSers. They're all with Hillary. Not giving it a second thought.

 

TheBluestEye

(97 posts)
7. Turnout is key. These polls of "likely" voters don't tell the whole story...
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 09:25 PM
Feb 2016

Bernie has ignited the young and the discontented. These groups are hardly "likely" voters.

Just keep the ground game strong. Bernie has this!

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