2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGravis Nevada Poll: Clinton 53, Sanders 47
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/18/1487363/-Latest-Nevada-Poll-Clinton-53-Sanders-47From One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, released today:
One America News Network, (OAN), commissioned Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, to conduct a random survey of 1,366 registered, likely voters in Nevada. The poll was conducted from February 14th to the 15th and includes 687 Republican Caucus participants, 516 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in a caucus, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [4% for Republican and Democratic caucuses]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted separately for each population in the question presented.
On the Republican side, Donald Trump is in first place with 39 percent, followed by Ted Cruz with 23 percent and Marco Rubio with 19 percent.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Hillary looking good!
morningfog
(18,115 posts)It's gonna be a good weekend.
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Saturday is going to be veryyyyy interesting.
hoosierlib
(710 posts)It assumes 18 - 29 year olds will only make up 9% of the overall electorate in Saturday. For perspective, in IA it was 18% and in NH it was 19%...
It the trend of Bernie winning this group 85% to 15% continues and they actually make up 13%, its a tied race...
So keep that in mind...
DCBob
(24,689 posts)And by all accounts they are going to Hillary.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)My old union friends in Vegas seem to have missed the "rank-n-file are switching to Bernie" trend announced by the BSers. They're all with Hillary. Not giving it a second thought.
TheBluestEye
(97 posts)Bernie has ignited the young and the discontented. These groups are hardly "likely" voters.
Just keep the ground game strong. Bernie has this!
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)Who has a better poll rating than Gravis is laughed at. Gravis is a joke