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George II

(67,782 posts)
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:48 PM Feb 2016

Project 538 Forecast of Clinton's chances of winning upcoming states - updated this afternoon!

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/nevada-democratic/

Chances of winning the Caucus/Primary:

Hillary Clinton’s CHANCE of winning (not polling results):

Saturday (2 days from today):

75% Nevada

Feb 27 (9 days from today):

99% South Carolina

March 1 (12 days from today):

99% Arkansas
>99% Georgia
81% Oklahoma
99% Tennessee
99% Texas
98% Virginia

March 8 (19 days from today):

95% Michigan

March 15 (26 days from today):

98% North Carolina

For any states between now and Super Tuesday II that are not mentioned, there is no forecast yet.

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Project 538 Forecast of Clinton's chances of winning upcoming states - updated this afternoon! (Original Post) George II Feb 2016 OP
Great news, George II! BlueMTexpat Feb 2016 #1
nice! k&r DesertRat Feb 2016 #2
Depending upon how big the win is in Texas,... MohRokTah Feb 2016 #3

BlueMTexpat

(15,369 posts)
1. Great news, George II!
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:59 PM
Feb 2016

I'm really keeping my fingers crossed for NV, but am cautiously hopeful, especially with the updated projections.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
3. Depending upon how big the win is in Texas,...
Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:40 PM
Feb 2016

the pledged delegate count after Super Tuesday could be so lopsided that even the media may conclude there is no path to victory for Sanders.

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