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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWashington Post: "Hillary Clinton’s polling this year looks a lot like 2008"
link; excerpt:Here's how Hillary Clinton's lead is faring in this year's average vs. how it evolved in 2008. ... About five months before the New Hampshire primary (which was a month earlier in 2008), Clinton's lead was at about 15. This cycle, that was a big plunge; in 2008, it was pretty much where she'd been. Then the lead in each cycle grew a bit, putting her back up into the 20-point range with about three months out. Then, quick drops, usually after voting happened. In 2008, the giant plunge came right after Iowa.
On Feb. 20, 2008, Clinton was already trailing Barack Obama, as she would permanently. This week, we saw a major poll for the first time putting Bernie Sanders in the lead.... Thanks to what happened with that yellow line in 2008, Clinton should know what to watch out for.
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Washington Post: "Hillary Clinton’s polling this year looks a lot like 2008" (Original Post)
Attorney in Texas
Feb 2016
OP
dana_b
(11,546 posts)1. Go Bernie!!
The momentum is there and what he is doing is working. No smears and keep talking about the issues. I love it!
cui bono
(19,926 posts)2. But with a much bigger fall.
That's gotta hurt.
.
Red Oak
(697 posts)3. It seems that the more people see her on the campaign trail...
... the more they vote for the other candidates. She is just obviously not very good at campaigning.
Why would the DNC think she could win the GE easier than Bernie?
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)4. This has had a 2008 feel for a while now
cui bono
(19,926 posts)8. Sadly, in more ways than just the polling.
SMH
.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)9. Yup, and I predict it will get worst than 2008
on a personal level it already has.
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)5. she is going down on every poll
and sanders just goes up and up
Jarqui
(10,130 posts)6. No wonder they're panicking, lying, pulling dirty tricks
If that graph doesn't convince someone that Hillary's campaign is in trouble ...
If she loses Nevada today ... her lead will be gone - and she may find herself 5 pts behind
kristopher
(29,798 posts)7. k/r
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)10. Groundhog Day!
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)11. Historically she's at her ceiling and her numbers don't go up.