Suffolk University calls Florida and Virginia for Romney

[mim89]

Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos said Tuesday that he’s stopped polling Florida, Virginia and North Carolina because he’s already concluded that President Barack Obama will lose those swing states.

“In places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states,” Paleologos told Fox News’ Bill O’Reilly.

The remark surprised O’Reilly.

“That’s interesting. Let me stop you there. You’re convinced, your polling agency is convinced that Florida, North Carolina and Virginia are going to go for Romney?” O’Reilly said.

“That’s right, and here’s why. Before the debate the Suffolk poll had Obama winning 46 to 43 in the head-to-head number, a poor place to be for a couple of reasons,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk University Political Research Center.

He continued: “Number one, his ballot test, his head-to-head number was under 47 [percent] before the debate and it’s very difficult when you have the known quantity, the incumbent, to claw your way up to 50. So that was a very, very poor place for him to be. And so we’re looking at this polling data not only in Florida but in Virginia and in North Carolina and it’s overwhelming.”

Recent polling since last week’s presidential debate in Denver has shown GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney closing the gap with Obama.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82248.html#ixzz28ujImNru

[fugop]

1. No one pay any attention!

We're calling the whole election now. No need to vote. Obama is done. Can we just fast forward to January now? Go back to your Honey Boo Boo and your Monday Night Football. Election is over. Good night democracy.

[mim89]

2. Who is this guy?

Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos, does he have a R bias? I mean he has to right

[center rising]

3. Obviously, this asshole drinks the Republican kool-aid

[gabeana]

4. Pollster made same mistake in '48

http://www.disabledworkerlaw.com/uploads/image/ObamaCare%20Upheld!.jpg

[WI_DEM]

5. This dimwit's last poll of VA had Obama up by 2

and yes, it is this kind of shit that gave pollsters a bad name in 1948.

[TroyD]

6. The only question that matters is:

Will this guy's odd predictions have any effect in the media?

[leveymg]

7. Very skeptical about credibility here -1) never heard of this pollster, 2)the Source (FuxNewz),

3) the second-hand source (PolitiCorp); 3) the conveyor.

[S_E_Fudd]

8. He is discounting third parties here in Virginia

Not only is Gary Johnson and Jill Stein on the ballot...but Virgil Goode is as well...

Unless there is a breakout one way or the other, no one is getting to 50%. Goode is pretty popular in his home base and could pull 4% or more of the vote statewide...

He also commits the sin of assuming his poll is the definitive one. Obama's number is some polls pre debate were over 50%...

[helpisontheway]

9. I don't know anything about this guy

But I have a bad feeling about Virginia. It is feeling red to me in my area. Last time around it was different. . Hope Northern Va is still strong.

[tabbycat31]

18. what part of VA

I know that Southwest VA is VERY red, but Obama also lost the area by 20 points in 2008.

I think that VA will go Blue and that Kaine also wins the senate seat.

[Panasonic]

10. I call Mr. Suffolk University a poser

because he speaks to O'Lielly, and it is an automatic discredit.

Rmoney has no way to overcome his lack of humility and emotion to acquire virginia and florida.

No way.

[TroyD]

11. The new UNF poll just released contradicts this guy

It shows Obama +4

What does he have to say now?

[tarheelsunc]

13. Didn't you know, only Suffolk matters, the rest are skewing!

Perhaps Suffolk is skewing as well, since they had Obama in the lead in the only VA survey they took.

[cinemaguru]

12. This all means nothing

until election day. Obama 2012!

[Blue Idaho]

14. Let's all hope the republicans believe this crap.

then they will send all their campaign workers somewhere else.

[hrmjustin]

15. He must be on the romney payroll.

[Daniel537]

16. Lol, this guy's an amateur

4 weeks is a lifetime in an election. This guy must be either paid off or just plain fruit loops.

[TexasCPA]

17. Tell the Republicans to stay home and not vote in NC, VA, and FL

It has already been called for them. Why should they bother showing up?

[Onlooker]

19. Here's what other pollsters are saying about him

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/10/suffolk-poll-paleologos.html

"I think all three of those states are still toss-ups," Public Policy Polling's Tom Jensen told us. "We’ve already polled Virginia since the debate and Obama was up by 3. I don’t agree with his assessment, and I don’t know why he would have made it without even conducting any polling after the debates."

Gary Langer, who runs the ABC News/Washington Post poll, quipped tartly, "With that kind of foresight, we should find out who he likes in the fifth at Aqueduct."

SurveyUSA CEO Jay Leve was harsher. "This guy from Suffolk is obviously a jackass," he said.