Brand Spanking New Univision National Hispanic Poll Clinton 57% Sanders 28%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/national/washington-post-univision-news-national-survey-of-hispanic-voters/1970/

[bettyellen]

1. but it's not a completely inaccurate entrance poll!

[workinclasszero]

2. Dolores Huerta blowback

Good job bros

[hoosierlib]

3. The poll was conducted before Huerta's stunt...

[workinclasszero]

5. Whoa really!?

I guess the floor will totally fall out from under Bernie then

[hoosierlib]

6. Up from 3% in June...HRC's popularity is based solely on name recognition

As people turn in and realize they have a choice, they are leaving Hillary in droves

[workinclasszero]

8. Theres another brand new poll just got posted

That shows Hillary with a commanding lead also.

[hoosierlib]

10. I don't doubt it...its also a national poll and HRC has name recognition...

[brooklynite]

12. ..and Sanders has only been running for 10 months.

[hoosierlib]

13. And Hillary has been running since 1992...

[MaggieD]

16. If only people knew him, eh?

LOL!

[brooklynite]

18. I guess Hispanic voters just can't be relied on to pay attention to politics, huh?

[hoosierlib]

20. Exactly...I would not label the American electorate as engaged...

[brooklynite]

19. Remind me what happened in 2008...

...Maybe you're more successful if you appeal to ALL of the Democratic electorate.

[hoosierlib]

23. People had a choice other than HRC and they flcoked to it...

You're seeing a repeat with the exception being that HRC learned from 2008 and has the Democratic political establishment locked down (she has twice the number of super delegates as she did at this time in 2008 and less pledged delegates).

[politicaljunkie41910]

46. Yes, it's hard to compete with someone who's offering a lot of FREE STUFF.

[Nanjeanne]

29. Why are you so proud of a false story perpetrated solely to damage a Democratic candidate?

[LexVegas]

4. Wait until the Huerta backlash hits his numbers. nt

[hoosierlib]

7. Lol...keep dreaming...outside of DU, no one cares...

[Lucinda]

25. Wanna bet? n/t

[hoosierlib]

31. Yep...the two Latinos I work with don't care...

And most Latinos under 40 don't even know who Dolores Huerta is or about the BS lie she tried spreading...

[lunamagica]

59. Two Latinos you work wth don't care? Well, that's does it, then

Please

[lunamagica]

58. Among anglos, maybe...But Ms. Huerta is a hero and an icon in the Latino community

[BernieforPres2016]

43. Which backlash?

You mean the backlash against Hillary because her surrogate Huerta told a blatant lie to try to disparage the Sanders campaign?

[gyroscope]

9. Why are 9 out of 10 pro-Clinton threads always about her poll numbers?

and almost never about the issues?

[hoosierlib]

11. Becuase their support isn't based on issues...its "Fanboy" support

[MaggieD]

15. My support is certainly based on issues

In fact I know a good number of Clinton supporters and all of them support her based on issues. Funny that you would think otherwise.

[hoosierlib]

26. My anecdotal experience says otherwise...

Just curious...what issues?

[BernieforPres2016]

44. Sound of crickets chirping

EOM.

[Lucinda]

27. We talk about the issues in the group where they will be much less likely to be hidden.

[MaggieD]

14. Unsurprising

That pretty much matches the actual voting results in NV.

[Lucinda]

28. Yep. Right about the same percentage as in the Latino area caucuses.

[CoffeeCat]

17. Actually, this is a national poll, so this is not unexpected

Bernie is trailing in the majority of national polls, so of course he'd be trailing in national polls of Hispanics.

It's not that Hispanics don't like him, they just aren't as familiar with his message--and they are familiar with Hillary Clinton due to name recognition. Bernie is down in many of the states that he has not campaigned in yet. That doesn't mean that people in South Dakota or Nebraska don't like him. The campaigns just haven't rolled into those states yet. Clinton has high name recognition, so of course she is polling well in these statel polls. But as we've seen in IA, NH and NV--those stats can change dramatically.

When we look at the states in which Sanders has campaigned--he does extremely well with Hispanics. In Iowa, he won 64 percent of the precincts that had the highest numbers of Hispanic voters. I spoke with a LULAC leader in Des Moines. He was one of the principals involved in Hispanic outreach for the Iowa caucuses. He was a Hillary precinct captain. He told me that the Hispanic community supported Bernie more than Hillary. He also told me that Hispanic turnout in 2016 increased 300 percent from 2008--which was a record-breaking turnout year and that those Hispanics broke for Bernie. He also went so far as to tell me that he thought Bernie secured his strong tie, in part, due to the Hispanic vote in Iowa.

And in Nevada, Bernie did very well with the Hispanic voters. Those entrance polls may not be entirely accurate. However, it was a poll and at those particular precincts, Bernie was beating Clinton by 9. That's a good sign. Those entrance polls may not give us the total picture--but polling ahead of Clinton by 9 in select precincts--is amazing--especially considering that he was behind by 25 points in NV--a month before the NV caucuses.

Bernie's message seems to resonate with Hispanics, similar to what I was told by the Iowa LULAC leader.

If you're using national polls to make some statement about Bernie not having support in the Hispanic community--you're drawing conclusions that can't be drawn from the data. Bernie is behind in those national polls, but just like in NV--he catches up and is a formidable opponent when the full brunt of his campaign if felt in the state.

Of course, some states Bernie will do better than Hillary; and in some states Hillary will beat Bernie. However, to make generalizations about Bernie's support in the Latino community--due to a state poll where he hasn't been actively campaigning--is a a stretch.

I think the Texas outcome will tell us quite a bit. I am hoping that some decent exit polling data is done, so we can have some reliable numbers.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. "I think the Texas outcome will tell us quite a bit..."

"I think the Texas outcome will tell us quite a bit..."

Me too

In the Democratic Primary, it's Clinton 61%, Sanders 32%. Sanders is backed by 58% of the youngest voters, but Clinton is backed by 70% of middle-aged voters and 82% of seniors. Clinton
leads Sanders 4:1 among black voters and Clinton leads Sanders by 40 points among Hispanic voters. Sanders draws near to Clinton, but still trails, among Democratic primary voters who say
they are "falling behind" financially. But Clinton overpowers among voters who say they are "doing well" financially or "just getting by." Of those Democratic primary voters who voted for Clinton in
2008, 86% stick with her in 2016. Among Democratic primary voters who voted for Barack Obama in 2008, Clinton leads Sanders 58% to 33%. Clinton polls at or above 60% in North TX, East TX,
Central TX and South TX. Sanders comes close to Clinton in West TX, but still trails her there 48% to 42%. Texas likely voters are split on whether the current President of the United States or the
next President should appoint the next Justice for the Supreme Court. Of those Republican primary voters who say the current President should appoint the next Justice, Trump and Rubio lead,
each with 27% of the vote. Of those Republican primary voters who say the next President should appoint the Justice, Cruz narrowly leads Trump, 36% to 33%. About: SurveyUSA interviewed
1,750 adults from the state of Texas in the respondent's choice of Spanish or English 02/21/16 through 02/22/16. Interviews were completed after the results of the South Carolina Republican
Primary were known, but before the results of the Nevada Republican caucuses were known. Of the 1,750 Texas adults, 1,531 were registered to vote in Texas. Of the registered voters,
SurveyUSA identified 1,293 as likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election for president, 645 who had either already voted in the Texas Republican primary or were certain to do so on or before
03/01/16, and 569 who had either already voted in the Texas Democratic primary or were certain to do so on or before 03/01/16. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode.
Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were
shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/TEGNA_SurveyUSA_Texas_Poll.pdf

73-18 among African American /66-28 among Hispanics

[CoffeeCat]

30. Yes, it will be interesting to see if those numbers hold

Sanders supporter had it beat into them that Iowa and NH didn't matter because those states were lily white--and that Sanders couldn't possibly do well with Hispanics in NV. That was Clinton's firewall.

Well, some indicators have him doing well with Hispanics. And he only lost the state by 5 points, after being behind by 25.

I am looking forward to Texas and seeing just exactly where things are.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

34. The poll indicates he's losing the Lone State by nearly thirty points.

Nate gives them an A

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

[workinclasszero]

36. The poll indicates he's losing the Lone State by nearly thirty points.

Nate gives them an A

Happy days are here again!!! Cmon Super Tuesday!!!!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

37. Top of the list !!!

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

[workinclasszero]

45. Awesome sauce for Hillary!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

47. I suspect we are seeing a Nevada bump and we will see a South Carolina bump./nt

[workinclasszero]

48. If she gets a 30pt bump from a 5% win...

OMG what will she get after a 30% win!?

[CoffeeCat]

38. Holy crap! The Texas polls are all over the place Clinton up anywhere from 10-30 points.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_democratic_presidential_primary-4158.html

I'm guessing that it is likely that she is trending upward there, due to her NV win (and the subsequent media coverage).

Most likely, those more recent polls are more accurate--due to the flurry of activity.

[cannabis_flower]

49. In Houston

I live in an area that used to be mostly white but now is mostly Hispanic. I know this is just anecdotal but I look at yard signs and bumper stickers. There aren't a lot out yet. But I see way more Bernie Sanders yard signs. In fact, I haven't seem a Hillary yard sign. There are at least 4 Bernie signs within about 6 blocks of my place. No Hillary signs. And I have seen a lot of Bernie stickers around. I have only seen one Ready for Hillary sticker in the last month and I look for them. And every school public school I go to I see at least one other Bernie bumper sticker besides me, and usually no other political bumper stickers.

Of course, I also see Trump and Cruz stickers (but mostly not at school). But on the Democrat side, I pretty much only see Bernie campaign advertising.

Another interesting thing, I have had two Republicans this week tell me they liked Sanders and Trump, but were going to vote for Trump, because they were Republicans. They also indicated that they would vote for Sanders before they would vote for Cruz which I also thought was interesting.

[Thinkingabout]

52. Don't rely on the bumper stickers nor the yard signs. I am not allowed to

have yard signs in my yard. I don't put bumper stickers on my vehicles.

[cannabis_flower]

53. You know that's illegal

Doesn't matter if neighborhood associations say so. It's still illegal. I think the law is within 30 days of the election.

[Thinkingabout]

55. Again, don't rely on yard signs and bumper stickers. The election is in November

so there you go.

[DCBob]

22. Wow.. great numbers!

[Lucinda]

24. +1 for the news and +Eleventy billion for Carlos!

[TheFarseer]

32. Oh Good

That for sure means she'd be a better president. Everyone should vote for her since she won some weird poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

35. What's weird?

Everyone should vote for her since she won some weird poll.

What's weird about the largest Spanish language television station in the nation commissioning a poll of Hispanics?

Do their voices matter?

Thank you in advance.

[TheFarseer]

40. Of course their voices matter

but do they matter more than Jewish people, Catholics, or Asian people? I haven't seen a single poll on any of those. I really dislike cherry picked polls. Either do a state or the country. That's the only thing that matters. I don't remember seeing anything about the Latino primary. I'm sorry to meltdown on your thread, but I'm sick of people deciding who to vote for based on who's winning.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

42. I have seen polls done exclusively of millennials.

Hispanics are the largest non white group in the U.S.

[jillan]

33. Hahahaaaa! - this shows that Hillary's support among Latinos went DOWN 41% & Bernies went UP 25%

in the last 6.5 months.

Page 3 on the bottom.

Cómo te gustan las manzanas?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

41. African American and Latino unemployment were at its lowest level in a generation under Bill Clinton

Also, African American and Latino home ownership were at its highest level in a generation under Bill Clinton.

If you all are that ignorant

SMH

[MaggieD]

50. I wonder how Bernie plans to win without the Latino or AA vote

That should be interesting.

[Persondem]

51. Cool to see clinton with that advantage. Nice video as well. K & R nt

[Vattel]

54. I guess the lies and distortions are working.

[NurseJackie]

56. More than DOUBLE!!!

[lunamagica]

57. Thank you for this AUTHENTIC Univision poll (not bogus, like the other one recently reported)

[lunamagica]

60. I just saw the poll reported on Univision's nightly news

Great numbers for Hillary!

[Alfresco]

61. Fantastic!

[Number23]

62. That's a thumpin' right there

[DemocratSinceBirth]

63. Robust sample size too.