Today's Nate's 538 Primary Polls-Only Forecast: Texas-Hillary-99%, Bernie-1%

[Alfresco]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/texas-democratic/#polls-only

According to our latest polls-only forecast, Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Texas primary.

[Vinca]

1. And her odds of winning Texas in the general? Zero.

[sufrommich]

4. The General isn't a race for primary delegates.

I don't understand why people are confusing the primary for the general,they aren't even a little comparable.

[Vinca]

6. I'm not confusing the primary and the general.

I'm puzzled everyone is so excited she's winning the primary in Texas. That's not going to make her president. It's the Texas general election vote that matters and hell would freeze over before she wins that.

[brooklynite]

2. So, write off all the Democrats in the Red States?

Actually, that seems to be what Sanders is doing.

[Gothmog]

3. Thanks for posting

I have already voter in Texas primary

[workinclasszero]

5. Hillary will take 150 plus delegates from Texas alone

Winning!

[NurseJackie]

7. 99-to-1% chance?? WOW!! Bernie's campaign is COLLAPSING!

He'll NEVER be the nominee if things continue like this.

Go, Hillary! We love you!

[thesquanderer]

8. Has anyone ever thought he could win Texas?

I'd be thrilled if he manage to come within 10 points or so. Heck, he could be 20+ points down, and still walk away with a whole bunch of delegates.

[TBF]

9. All I can say is of course -

but Texas goes red in the general so if I were Hillary I wouldn't be picking out curtains for my oval office just yet.

[lunamagica]

10. K&R. Go Hillary! Can't get any better than that!