2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDoes anyone really believe that the majority of Americans would choose Trump?
I don't buy it. I think we're getting railroaded by the media and corruption of the
voting system. If the Donald wins I think that's evidence of a voting scam.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)If he's running against Sanders? Nope.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)She will strongly depress the Dem turnout and motivate the hell out of the reichwing base that has been waiting to vote against her for 25 years. They will do everything short of come out of graves to vote against her. She's a win-win for whomever Repig emerges from their pigpen.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)TheUndecider
(93 posts)The majority will be watching the Kardashians! Sigh
CBGLuthier
(12,723 posts)The answer is.
Yes. Yes, I think they have.
LexVegas
(6,067 posts)It's the other way around.
Hillary is the establishment everyone wants to shit-can.
LexVegas
(6,067 posts)Try again.
LexVegas
(6,067 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)In the one we live in, Bernie's our best shot in November.
vi5
(13,305 posts)I think you all know the rest.
TCJ70
(4,387 posts)...yes. I think it will happen in a few different ways:
1. Republicans will come out in droves to vote against Clinton. One of their mantras this time around is "No More Clintons/Bush's"
2. Independents don't support Clinton enough to make up for number 1
3. There are a certain number of Sanders supporters that will/can not vote for Clinton. This is largely due to the fact that she represents the exact opposite of Sanders in so many regards, it would require them to give up core principles to support her.
She's not the best suited candidate to go after Trump, Sanders is. He's proved it over and over again.
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)The logic is pretty straightforward though.
"America is on the wrong track. My paycheck is stagnant while prices keep going up. Life is harder and harder, and I think it will be even harder for my kids. We need a change. We need new blood. So my choices are the archetypical Washington insider who promises incremental improvements on what we already have and a loud-mouthed outsider who promises something new."
Some people, maybe many people, will go for door number 2.
Bryant
TDale313
(7,820 posts)AxionExcel
(755 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)Hillary will beat the crap out of him.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)She embodies the establishment people are sick to death of.
She has zero appeal to independents, the disaffected and Millennials.
The Repub base will do everything short of coming out of the grave to vote against her. They've been waiting to vote against her for 25 years and are not going to miss their chance.
She has completely alienated the left/liberal base of the Democratic Party.
So just how does she win?
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)If that guy could get in the White House twice, anything is possible.
Lodestar
(2,388 posts)of the 'hanging chads' and the discovery of the Republican owned electronic voting
machines, and all manner of sketchy voting disruptions, etc. A corrupt election if ever there was one. And I think we'll see it again,
djean111
(14,255 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)But also everyone should take Donald seriously, he has a chance of beating BOTH our candidates.
TheUndecider
(93 posts)Used to think he was the ideal foe, now he just scares me
peacebird
(14,195 posts)They are so disgusted with status quo. People want someone to address income inequality, and people believe that politicians in general are in league with corporations.
Guess what? People are tired of seeing our politicians become millionaires while our wages are stagnant.
Will they vote for The Donald over Hillary? Hell yes.
Katashi_itto
(10,175 posts)A good portion says they flat out the will vote Donald over Hillary if she's the Nominee.
I can see their reasoning. Why support a political system that doesn't remotely represent you?
peacebird
(14,195 posts)Octafish
(55,745 posts)Friend of Roy Cohn. Speed Freak. Divorces and no VD. Bankruptcy with Benefits...
Guy carries more baggage than Ivanka's footman.
nichomachus
(12,754 posts)Armstead
(47,803 posts)flamingdem
(39,313 posts)togetherforever
(71 posts)She is despised by most Americans .
Even by many Democrats
JudyM
(29,250 posts)Proud Public Servant
(2,097 posts)Look at the electoral map from 2012, and ask:
1) Would there be any Dem pickups against Trump? (I'd say no)
2) What would Trump be able to pick up, and would it be enough?
To that second question, I'd say he could perhaps pick up FL (anti-immigration would play well), OH (angry blue-collar resentment country), NH and CO. That's not enough. I don't think VA would buy what he's selling, thankfully. The big if would be PA, which is usually more safely Dem than the press likes to admit, but Trump would play very well in the middle (Republican) part of the state and could pick off blue collar support in Philly and Pittsburgh.
So, yeah: it's a fairly narrow path to victory, but it's a path.
EmperorHasNoClothes
(4,797 posts)It has nothing to do with a "majority of Americans". It has everything to do with turnout and swing voters.
Zorra
(27,670 posts)in the primaries so far.
The young voters who Bernie has brought into the Democratic party are motivated to participate in the process because Bernie reflects their values and knows what he has to do to give them the springboard opportunities they need for a saner and more rewarding future.
If Hillary gets the nomination, many of these young voters will throw up their hands in disgust and stay home for the GE, or vote third party, or leave simply not cast a vote for a presidential candidate.
Many longtime Dems and left independents have been alienated beyond the tipping point of being able to tolerate holding their noses and voting for the lesser of two evils. They will no longer allow themselves to be held hostage in a two party system where oligarchs control both parties and use them for their own profit and power accumulation purposes. Many longtime Dems will most likely vote third party or not cast a vote for a presidential candidate.
So here we are, standing at the crossroad.
JudyM
(29,250 posts)hoosierlib
(710 posts)Most Americans are uniformed idiots...and unfortunately the come out and vote regularly...
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)he could resign and whoever we would have whoever Trump picks. For all who wants to disparage either Hillary or Sanders and allow Trump or any Republican to be elected.
Nitram
(22,802 posts)...against either Democratic candidate.
Basement Beat
(659 posts)and idiocy that is pervasive in the good ol' country from the top down, I would say yes. Yes Trump has a great chance. The most outrageous and racist he gets, the more support comes out.
Contrary1
(12,629 posts)Mufaddal
(1,021 posts)It just needs to be the majority of voters. And in a Clinton-Trump election, I think there is an extremely good chance that Clinton would lose. With any other candidate, that's less of a worry for me. With Trump, it's a big one.
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)We have a lot of misinformed people out there.
eppur_se_muova
(36,263 posts)it only takes about 28% of the voting population to win. If Trump wins, it will be due to inaction.
olddots
(10,237 posts)from what I see on TV I beleive Trump will be the president of the dumbest brain washed place on earth . By watching all this shit we are becoming what we see .
Marr
(20,317 posts)Look around you-- this is a Kim Kardashian/Michael Bay's Transformers sort of time you're living in.
Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)voter turnout at the 2008 election was 57%, in 2012 it was 55%. Which means that the winner will be decided by around 30% of eligible voters. Winning a majority of people who can be bothered to vote is a rather different thing than winning a majority of Americans.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)People seem to want change and he's saying what they want to hear.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)But the corporate media will do him all the favors - continuous uncritical coverage of every piece of nonsense he forwards, while providing enough occasional "criticism" through the irrelevant punditry just enough to feed the liberal media myth.
And you can also rely on them to treat "terror" and the like as crises, and to continue playing everything in terms of a personal soap opera, while ignoring every issue that matters and is truly a threat to the people and the medium and long term survival of civilization and the human race.
I'm genuinely curious about how the big PAC money will go, but expect it to line up behind him as if he were any Republican.
So there are no guarantees. Obviously I think Sanders is the stronger candidate but no guarantees.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)The same things were said about Ronald Reagan. He was a "joke candidate" for several cycles until he won.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)I think our Dem will win, whoever we're talking about as nominees.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)That's why Rove, Republicans and DINOs all agree on one thing: "I don't want all people to show up at the polls"
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Of the remaining minority who will participate, Trump can win.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)Has absolutely nothing to do with the majority of Americans.
It has to do with winning a few specific locations in a few specific states.
dchill
(38,497 posts)Motivated Repub high turnout.
President Trump.
JustAnotherGen
(31,824 posts)The majority is white and based on a discussion I'm having elsewhere on DU -
There are too many poor white men - and those are the people voting for them.
If Americans had not voted for Reagan when I was a little kid - this wouldn't be a problem.
So they voted against their interests then and this guy comes along and is promising to take things away from blacks, hispanics, asians, women, glbt, of all socio economic backgrounds and give it to them.
And that's why Trump can win.
.
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)1. Bush.
2. Re-elected.
Never ever ever ever underestimate the insanity of the US electorate.
Arugula Latte
(50,566 posts)Poor KKKarl had his heart set on the same game plan in '12, which is why he was left sputtering when Obama won Ohio.
But, yeah, the point is that enough Americans actually did vote for the evil schmuck to get him within cheating distance of a win and they were also stupid enough to vote for Ronnie twice. So I won't be surprised if it happens again.
Beowulf
(761 posts)That turned out so well for us.
TheSarcastinator
(854 posts)I mean, you can claim the first round was stolen by a conspiracy of Naderites, but the second round made things a little more clear, really. Every Dem I know thought Kerry could take Dubya in a cakewalk...and we know how that worked out.
Hubris, they name is Team Clinton.
gwheezie
(3,580 posts)I think we have a slim chance of keeping the WH and the candidate who faces trump will a tough fight. It's going to be ugly.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)won't want that monster in the WH.
There is no way he can win without all those groups
TheFarseer
(9,323 posts)So who knows what could happen. Also, if democraticunderground is generating tons of Hillary hate, guess what the country at large will do.