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Lodestar

(2,388 posts)
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:31 AM Feb 2016

Does anyone really believe that the majority of Americans would choose Trump?

I don't buy it. I think we're getting railroaded by the media and corruption of the
voting system. If the Donald wins I think that's evidence of a voting scam.

65 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Does anyone really believe that the majority of Americans would choose Trump? (Original Post) Lodestar Feb 2016 OP
Maybe a plurality but less likely than not./nt DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2016 #1
If he's running against Hillary? Yup. Le Taz Hot Feb 2016 #2
Agreed. hifiguy Feb 2016 #43
No one elected will be getting the votes of a "majority of Americans". n/t PoliticAverse Feb 2016 #3
Too true TheUndecider Feb 2016 #21
The real question is does anyone believe the majority of Americans have lost their fucking minds. CBGLuthier Feb 2016 #4
If Bernie is the nominee Trump will win. nt LexVegas Feb 2016 #5
LOL. Fawke Em Feb 2016 #13
By everyone you mean mostly white people. nt LexVegas Feb 2016 #25
Srsly? hifiguy Feb 2016 #46
See SC this weekend to see the difference between Bernie's base and the Democratic base. nt LexVegas Feb 2016 #48
Perhaps in the Star Trek goatee universe. Lizzie Poppet Feb 2016 #31
What's the quote? "Nobody ever went broke......" vi5 Feb 2016 #6
If he's running against Clinton... TCJ70 Feb 2016 #7
I hope they won't but I think it's possible. el_bryanto Feb 2016 #8
If we nominate Hillary? Yes. TDale313 Feb 2016 #9
Seig Trumpen Furher! AxionExcel Feb 2016 #10
NO Stuckinthebush Feb 2016 #11
How. hifiguy Feb 2016 #47
Two words: w bush BillZBubb Feb 2016 #12
Yes, but he was 'selected' by SCOTUS and that was also the year Lodestar Feb 2016 #14
That's what I was thinking. n/t djean111 Feb 2016 #15
Wrong forum... Agschmid Feb 2016 #16
Oh crap TheUndecider Feb 2016 #22
Over Hillary, yes. I do believe it. Hell, I have friends who are actively supporting him because peacebird Feb 2016 #17
Yeah my friends and aquaintances are the same way. Katashi_itto Feb 2016 #57
Sadly I can understand their reasoning also. peacebird Feb 2016 #58
More people know about Trump, the less they like him. Octafish Feb 2016 #18
Just like Hillary n/t nichomachus Feb 2016 #29
Unfortunately he is also covered with Teflon Armstead Feb 2016 #35
Roy Cohn? There must be photos of him dancing at Studio 54! nt flamingdem Feb 2016 #64
Against Hillary it's a no brainer togetherforever Feb 2016 #19
Welcome to DU, togetherforever. JudyM Feb 2016 #26
Don't think majority, think map Proud Public Servant Feb 2016 #20
Bush was reelected in 2004 EmperorHasNoClothes Feb 2016 #23
Yes, if he was running against Hillary Clinton. Republicans are getting record turnouts Zorra Feb 2016 #24
Srsly. Remember how many voted for Shrub's 2nd term? Inexplicable. JudyM Feb 2016 #27
Yes...a majority of the electoral college... hoosierlib Feb 2016 #28
He is disliked by 50% of republicans but what is more scary is he will pick his VP, Thinkingabout Feb 2016 #30
I don't believe Trump would win either the popular or the electoral vote... Nitram Feb 2016 #32
Judging by the overt racism... Basement Beat Feb 2016 #33
Yep. Nearly 20% of Trump Fans Think Freeing the Slaves Was a Bad Idea Contrary1 Feb 2016 #41
It doesn't need to be a majority of Americans Mufaddal Feb 2016 #34
Having survived Reagan, Bush and Bush, yes I do believe it. Cobalt Violet Feb 2016 #36
Well, only a bare majority of Americans even turn out to vote ... eppur_se_muova Feb 2016 #37
most of us see "most " -Americans on TV olddots Feb 2016 #38
Majority? Possibly. Enough to win the election? Absolutely. Marr Feb 2016 #39
Nope, but then a majority of Americans don't have to Spider Jerusalem Feb 2016 #40
Yes bigwillq Feb 2016 #42
No. A majority of Americans will not back Trump. JackRiddler Feb 2016 #44
After Reagan? Sure, why not? jberryhill Feb 2016 #45
Not I. Orsino Feb 2016 #49
Reagan won a landslide with just 27 % of the votes of all eligeable voters. Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #50
No, I believe the majority of Americans will not participate out of disgust at their two choices. jeff47 Feb 2016 #51
American voting EdwardBernays Feb 2016 #52
Unmotivated Dem low turnout... dchill Feb 2016 #53
I do JustAnotherGen Feb 2016 #54
Two words for you. gcomeau Feb 2016 #55
Well, not legitimately re-elected, but tampering in Ohio did the trick. Arugula Latte Feb 2016 #65
We asked that same question in 1980. Beowulf Feb 2016 #56
you DO remember that GWB was RE-elected, dontchya??? TheSarcastinator Feb 2016 #59
I think Trump can beat both of them gwheezie Feb 2016 #60
No I don't. Blacks, Latinos, other PoC, Muslims, LGBT, Jews, REAL Christians, most women lunamagica Feb 2016 #61
I wouldn't have believed we'd reelected Bush TheFarseer Feb 2016 #62
I don't believe it. bettyellen Feb 2016 #63
 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
43. Agreed.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:59 PM
Feb 2016

She will strongly depress the Dem turnout and motivate the hell out of the reichwing base that has been waiting to vote against her for 25 years. They will do everything short of come out of graves to vote against her. She's a win-win for whomever Repig emerges from their pigpen.

CBGLuthier

(12,723 posts)
4. The real question is does anyone believe the majority of Americans have lost their fucking minds.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:33 AM
Feb 2016

The answer is.

Yes. Yes, I think they have.

 

Lizzie Poppet

(10,164 posts)
31. Perhaps in the Star Trek goatee universe.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:57 AM
Feb 2016

In the one we live in, Bernie's our best shot in November.

TCJ70

(4,387 posts)
7. If he's running against Clinton...
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:35 AM
Feb 2016

...yes. I think it will happen in a few different ways:

1. Republicans will come out in droves to vote against Clinton. One of their mantras this time around is "No More Clintons/Bush's"

2. Independents don't support Clinton enough to make up for number 1

3. There are a certain number of Sanders supporters that will/can not vote for Clinton. This is largely due to the fact that she represents the exact opposite of Sanders in so many regards, it would require them to give up core principles to support her.

She's not the best suited candidate to go after Trump, Sanders is. He's proved it over and over again.

el_bryanto

(11,804 posts)
8. I hope they won't but I think it's possible.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:35 AM
Feb 2016

The logic is pretty straightforward though.

"America is on the wrong track. My paycheck is stagnant while prices keep going up. Life is harder and harder, and I think it will be even harder for my kids. We need a change. We need new blood. So my choices are the archetypical Washington insider who promises incremental improvements on what we already have and a loud-mouthed outsider who promises something new."

Some people, maybe many people, will go for door number 2.

Bryant

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
47. How.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:07 PM
Feb 2016

She embodies the establishment people are sick to death of.

She has zero appeal to independents, the disaffected and Millennials.

The Repub base will do everything short of coming out of the grave to vote against her. They've been waiting to vote against her for 25 years and are not going to miss their chance.

She has completely alienated the left/liberal base of the Democratic Party.

So just how does she win?

Lodestar

(2,388 posts)
14. Yes, but he was 'selected' by SCOTUS and that was also the year
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:39 AM
Feb 2016

of the 'hanging chads' and the discovery of the Republican owned electronic voting
machines, and all manner of sketchy voting disruptions, etc. A corrupt election if ever there was one. And I think we'll see it again,

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
16. Wrong forum...
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:41 AM
Feb 2016

But also everyone should take Donald seriously, he has a chance of beating BOTH our candidates.

peacebird

(14,195 posts)
17. Over Hillary, yes. I do believe it. Hell, I have friends who are actively supporting him because
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:42 AM
Feb 2016

They are so disgusted with status quo. People want someone to address income inequality, and people believe that politicians in general are in league with corporations.

Guess what? People are tired of seeing our politicians become millionaires while our wages are stagnant.

Will they vote for The Donald over Hillary? Hell yes.

 

Katashi_itto

(10,175 posts)
57. Yeah my friends and aquaintances are the same way.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:22 PM
Feb 2016

A good portion says they flat out the will vote Donald over Hillary if she's the Nominee.

I can see their reasoning. Why support a political system that doesn't remotely represent you?

Octafish

(55,745 posts)
18. More people know about Trump, the less they like him.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:43 AM
Feb 2016

Friend of Roy Cohn. Speed Freak. Divorces and no VD. Bankruptcy with Benefits...

Guy carries more baggage than Ivanka's footman.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
20. Don't think majority, think map
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:49 AM
Feb 2016

Look at the electoral map from 2012, and ask:

1) Would there be any Dem pickups against Trump? (I'd say no)

2) What would Trump be able to pick up, and would it be enough?

To that second question, I'd say he could perhaps pick up FL (anti-immigration would play well), OH (angry blue-collar resentment country), NH and CO. That's not enough. I don't think VA would buy what he's selling, thankfully. The big if would be PA, which is usually more safely Dem than the press likes to admit, but Trump would play very well in the middle (Republican) part of the state and could pick off blue collar support in Philly and Pittsburgh.

So, yeah: it's a fairly narrow path to victory, but it's a path.

EmperorHasNoClothes

(4,797 posts)
23. Bush was reelected in 2004
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:54 AM
Feb 2016

It has nothing to do with a "majority of Americans". It has everything to do with turnout and swing voters.

Zorra

(27,670 posts)
24. Yes, if he was running against Hillary Clinton. Republicans are getting record turnouts
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:07 AM
Feb 2016

in the primaries so far.

The young voters who Bernie has brought into the Democratic party are motivated to participate in the process because Bernie reflects their values and knows what he has to do to give them the springboard opportunities they need for a saner and more rewarding future.

If Hillary gets the nomination, many of these young voters will throw up their hands in disgust and stay home for the GE, or vote third party, or leave simply not cast a vote for a presidential candidate.

Many longtime Dems and left independents have been alienated beyond the tipping point of being able to tolerate holding their noses and voting for the lesser of two evils. They will no longer allow themselves to be held hostage in a two party system where oligarchs control both parties and use them for their own profit and power accumulation purposes. Many longtime Dems will most likely vote third party or not cast a vote for a presidential candidate.

So here we are, standing at the crossroad.



 

hoosierlib

(710 posts)
28. Yes...a majority of the electoral college...
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:43 AM
Feb 2016

Most Americans are uniformed idiots...and unfortunately the come out and vote regularly...

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
30. He is disliked by 50% of republicans but what is more scary is he will pick his VP,
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:54 AM
Feb 2016

he could resign and whoever we would have whoever Trump picks. For all who wants to disparage either Hillary or Sanders and allow Trump or any Republican to be elected.

Nitram

(22,802 posts)
32. I don't believe Trump would win either the popular or the electoral vote...
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:02 PM
Feb 2016

...against either Democratic candidate.

Basement Beat

(659 posts)
33. Judging by the overt racism...
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:03 PM
Feb 2016

and idiocy that is pervasive in the good ol' country from the top down, I would say yes. Yes Trump has a great chance. The most outrageous and racist he gets, the more support comes out.

Mufaddal

(1,021 posts)
34. It doesn't need to be a majority of Americans
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:05 PM
Feb 2016

It just needs to be the majority of voters. And in a Clinton-Trump election, I think there is an extremely good chance that Clinton would lose. With any other candidate, that's less of a worry for me. With Trump, it's a big one.

Cobalt Violet

(9,905 posts)
36. Having survived Reagan, Bush and Bush, yes I do believe it.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:08 PM
Feb 2016

We have a lot of misinformed people out there.

eppur_se_muova

(36,263 posts)
37. Well, only a bare majority of Americans even turn out to vote ...
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:09 PM
Feb 2016

it only takes about 28% of the voting population to win. If Trump wins, it will be due to inaction.

 

olddots

(10,237 posts)
38. most of us see "most " -Americans on TV
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:10 PM
Feb 2016

from what I see on TV I beleive Trump will be the president of the dumbest brain washed place on earth . By watching all this shit we are becoming what we see .

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
39. Majority? Possibly. Enough to win the election? Absolutely.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:11 PM
Feb 2016

Look around you-- this is a Kim Kardashian/Michael Bay's Transformers sort of time you're living in.

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
40. Nope, but then a majority of Americans don't have to
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 12:13 PM
Feb 2016

voter turnout at the 2008 election was 57%, in 2012 it was 55%. Which means that the winner will be decided by around 30% of eligible voters. Winning a majority of people who can be bothered to vote is a rather different thing than winning a majority of Americans.

 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
44. No. A majority of Americans will not back Trump.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:03 PM
Feb 2016

But the corporate media will do him all the favors - continuous uncritical coverage of every piece of nonsense he forwards, while providing enough occasional "criticism" through the irrelevant punditry just enough to feed the liberal media myth.

And you can also rely on them to treat "terror" and the like as crises, and to continue playing everything in terms of a personal soap opera, while ignoring every issue that matters and is truly a threat to the people and the medium and long term survival of civilization and the human race.

I'm genuinely curious about how the big PAC money will go, but expect it to line up behind him as if he were any Republican.

So there are no guarantees. Obviously I think Sanders is the stronger candidate but no guarantees.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
45. After Reagan? Sure, why not?
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:05 PM
Feb 2016

The same things were said about Ronald Reagan. He was a "joke candidate" for several cycles until he won.
 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
50. Reagan won a landslide with just 27 % of the votes of all eligeable voters.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:09 PM
Feb 2016

That's why Rove, Republicans and DINOs all agree on one thing: "I don't want all people to show up at the polls"

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
51. No, I believe the majority of Americans will not participate out of disgust at their two choices.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:10 PM
Feb 2016

Of the remaining minority who will participate, Trump can win.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
52. American voting
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:11 PM
Feb 2016

Has absolutely nothing to do with the majority of Americans.

It has to do with winning a few specific locations in a few specific states.

JustAnotherGen

(31,824 posts)
54. I do
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:14 PM
Feb 2016

The majority is white and based on a discussion I'm having elsewhere on DU -

There are too many poor white men - and those are the people voting for them.

If Americans had not voted for Reagan when I was a little kid - this wouldn't be a problem.

So they voted against their interests then and this guy comes along and is promising to take things away from blacks, hispanics, asians, women, glbt, of all socio economic backgrounds and give it to them.

And that's why Trump can win.
.

 

gcomeau

(5,764 posts)
55. Two words for you.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:14 PM
Feb 2016

1. Bush.

2. Re-elected.






Never ever ever ever underestimate the insanity of the US electorate.

 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
65. Well, not legitimately re-elected, but tampering in Ohio did the trick.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 03:40 PM
Feb 2016

Poor KKKarl had his heart set on the same game plan in '12, which is why he was left sputtering when Obama won Ohio.

But, yeah, the point is that enough Americans actually did vote for the evil schmuck to get him within cheating distance of a win and they were also stupid enough to vote for Ronnie twice. So I won't be surprised if it happens again.

TheSarcastinator

(854 posts)
59. you DO remember that GWB was RE-elected, dontchya???
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:29 PM
Feb 2016

I mean, you can claim the first round was stolen by a conspiracy of Naderites, but the second round made things a little more clear, really. Every Dem I know thought Kerry could take Dubya in a cakewalk...and we know how that worked out.

Hubris, they name is Team Clinton.

gwheezie

(3,580 posts)
60. I think Trump can beat both of them
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 01:44 PM
Feb 2016

I think we have a slim chance of keeping the WH and the candidate who faces trump will a tough fight. It's going to be ugly.

lunamagica

(9,967 posts)
61. No I don't. Blacks, Latinos, other PoC, Muslims, LGBT, Jews, REAL Christians, most women
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 02:46 PM
Feb 2016

won't want that monster in the WH.

There is no way he can win without all those groups

TheFarseer

(9,323 posts)
62. I wouldn't have believed we'd reelected Bush
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 03:16 PM
Feb 2016

So who knows what could happen. Also, if democraticunderground is generating tons of Hillary hate, guess what the country at large will do.

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